Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Oct 2026

Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Athletico PR To Win @ +105

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Athletico Paranaense can’t be ignored when they meet Atlético Mineiro, especially as betting odds of +105 are available for this prediction. The Full-Time Result market offers strong value here, making the hosts an appealing option.

This Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro Preview

Athletico Paranaense clash with Atlético Mineiro, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Thursday 8 October.

Athletico Paranaense landed a 2-1 win last time out, beating Bahia at home. Odair Hellmann's men recorded six shots on target and had 49% possession, with Lucas Esquivel and Jorge Rivaldo scoring one goal apiece.

Atlético Mineiro claimed a home win in their previous game. A 1-0 victory occurred against Red Bull Bragantino. The Belo Horizonte team had three shots on goal and 40% possession, with Bernard on target in the 18th minute.

H2H: Teams’ Last Clash Saw 2-1 Atlético Win

Atlético have beaten Athletico in their last two encounters, winning by 2-1 and 1-0 scorelines when hosting. The past 10 H2H matches have seen Atlético triumph six times, one draw and three Athletico wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Athletico PR	28	14	7	7	43	32	11	43:32	49
7	Atlético MG	28	12	7	9	37	32	5	37:32	43

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 12.3 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. Athletico have had 42.9% possession and 3.9 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 17.2 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 6.9 corners.

Top scorer is Kevin Viveros on 7 goals, while Leozinho has racked up 4 and Joao Cruz 2. Leading assistor is Kerwin Vargas with 3.

Atlético have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 4, averaging 13.0 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. Eduardo Dominguez's side average 50.4% possession, 5.2 corners in their favour and 6.5 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 3.6 shots on goal and 15.7 attempts.

The leading scorers have been Reinier and Tomas Cuello with 3, while Bernard has 2. Look no further than Alan Minda for the top assist maker (2) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Athletico Paranaense predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Mycael (GK), Dantas, Carlos Terán, Arthur Dias, Gilberto, Jadson, Luiz Gustavo, Lucas Esquivel, Stiven Mendoza, João Cruz, Kevin Viveros.

Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Delfim (GK), Natanael, Lyanco, Léo Duarte, Renan Lodi, Maycon, Mamady Cisse, Tomás Cuello, Fred, Bernard, Reinier.

Main Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Athletico Paranaense can claim a Série A victory, then there’s the chance to get betting odds of +105 that this happens. We think that this price sticks out.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• Athletico PR have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Athletico PR have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Atlético MG have lost 12 of their last 20 games on the road.

Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent Série A stats before coming up with a verdict.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 48.8% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

One way of securing bigger odds when it comes to Athletico winning is by selecting them on the Double Result market. They need to be leading at the interval and the full-time whistle.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Athletico PR To Win @ +105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 7, 01:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Athletico 1 - 0 Atlético

Athletico are available at +510 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Fred Over 0.5 Shots On Target +150

Fred (Atlético MG) is available at +150 to register at least one shot on goal. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Fred Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

---

Kevin Viveros to Score +120

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR) has found the net in six of his past nine Série A home matches. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +120 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Kevin Viveros Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+120

First

+300

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Shots

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Athletico Over 5.5 Corners -149

Athletico Paranaense have had over 5.5 corners in three consecutive home games, while the previous 5 Atlético Mineiro away matches have seen them concede an average of 8.00 corners. We think this presents a convincing argument and we’ll bet on Athletico to cover the Team Corners line which is on offer at odds of -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Athletico

Total

10.80 3.90 6.90

Home

10.10 5.70 4.40

Away

10.70 3.80 6.90

Atlético

Total

11.70 5.20 6.50

Home

10.60 5.90 4.70

Away

9.90 3.70 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-108

Athletico Corners

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

-100

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-130

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+650

2

+165

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of +105 suggest that Athletico Paranaense are likely victors and there’s a 49% probability that the favourites win this Série A clash. Atlético Mineiro are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +275.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with Athletico needing to win at -100 for your bet to be successful. Atlético +0.5 at -132 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. There are two Both Teams to Score options, with Yes on offer at -125 and No at -110.

Hundreds of markets for every Série A match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+105

X

+215

2

+275

Half-Time Result

1

+163

X

+112

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-294

X2

-135

Draw No Bet

1

-238

2

+155

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-100

2 Hcp +0.5

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-139

Over 2.5

+108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-110

There’s the chance to back Kevin Viveros at +300 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR)

First

+300

Anytime

+120

Jorge Rivaldo (Athletico PR)

First

+410

Anytime

+170

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

First

+650

Anytime

+270

Leozinho (Athletico PR)

First

+700

Anytime

+300

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+300

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno (Athletico PR)

First

+750

Anytime

+300

Kerwin Vargas (Athletico PR)

First

+800

Anytime

+330

João Victor Machado Cruz (Athletico PR)

First

+800

Anytime

+340

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+350

Stiven Mendoza (Athletico PR)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+1000

Anytime

+430

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

First

+1150

Anytime

+450

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Bruno Zapelli (Athletico PR)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

First

+1400

Anytime

+575

Luiz Gustavo (Athletico PR)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Fred (Atlético MG)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Juan Camilo Portilla (Athletico PR)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Alejandro Garcia (Athletico PR)

First

+1800

Anytime

+800

Jádson Alves (Athletico PR)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Lucas Esquivel (Athletico PR)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Leozinho (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Stiven Mendoza (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Kerwin Vargas (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

João Victor Machado Cruz (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Jorge Rivaldo (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Zapelli (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Fred (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Luiz Gustavo (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-

Juan Camilo Portilla (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Garcia (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Jádson Alves (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Esquivel (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR)

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Leozinho (Athletico PR)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno (Athletico PR)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Jorge Rivaldo (Athletico PR)

Over 2.5

-238

Under 2.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Fred (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Zapelli (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Stiven Mendoza (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

João Victor Machado Cruz (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Kerwin Vargas (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Luiz Gustavo (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Juan Camilo Portilla (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Garcia (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Jádson Alves (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Esquivel (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

You can watch and bet on Série A games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

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Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Athletico vs Atlético team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Série A lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Athletico Paranaense Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page

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