Athletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Oct 2026

Athletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Athletico PR Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -118

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If you agree with our verdict that Athletico Paranaense can avoid defeat against Palmeiras, then you can back the home team with a +0.25 goal start at -118. This means our Asian Handicap stake is split equally between 0 and +0.5.

Continue below for our full Athletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras betting breakdown, where you can read the complete analysis of our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Athletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Preview

Athletico Paranaense go head-to-head with Palmeiras, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Saturday 17 October.

Athletico Paranaense triumphed in their last game. It was on their travels where Chapecoense were beaten 4-1. The Hurricane enjoyed 53% possession and eight shots on target, while Kevin Viveros bagged two, with Leozinho and Luiz Gustavo also scoring a goal.

Palmeiras claimed a home victory in their previous league game. A 4-1 triumph against Corinthians made it two Série A wins on the spin. The São Paulo club had eight shots on goal and boasted 55% possession, while Agustin Giay was on the scoresheet twice, with Alexander Barboza and Bidu (own goal) both able to net.

On Wednesday night, Palmeiras claimed a 2-1 victory when facing Fluminense away in the Copa Libertadores.

H2H: Palmeiras 1-0 to the Good in Previous Head-to-Head

Palmeiras have claimed back-to-back victories over Athletico. The most recent was a 1-0 home victory following a 2-0 away win. There have been four Palmeiras victories, three draws and three Athletico wins in the previous 10 H2H games.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	52	22	30	52:22	63
3	Athletico PR	30	15	8	7	49	35	14	49:35	53

View Full Table

4 wins, 1 loss and 5 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. Athletico have had 45.9% possession and 5.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 17.7 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.4 corners.

Top scorer Kevin Viveros has found the net 9 times, with Leozinho, Luiz Gustavo, Kerwin Vargas and Joao Cruz getting 2 goals each. Gilberto Junior and Kerwin Vargas are the top assists makers with 3.

Palmeiras have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, averaging 6.4 shots on goal, 19.3 attempts and 1.8 goals. Abel Ferreira's team average 57.1% possession, 6.1 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 10.9 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Mauricio is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, Jose Lopez has 3, with Agustin Giay and Vitor Roque both on 2. Jhon Arias has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Athletico Paranaense predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Mycael (GK), Juan Felipe Aguirre, Arthur Dias, Lucas Esquivel, Gilberto, Jadson, Luiz Gustavo, Stiven Mendoza, Leozinho, João Cruz, Kevin Viveros.

Palmeiras predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Carlos Miguel (GK), Murilo Cerqueira, Bruno Fuchs, Alexander Barboza, Khellven, Andreas Pereira, Marlon Freitas, Joaquín Piquerez, Mauricio, Jhon Arias, José Manuel López.

Main Match Prediction

Athletico Paranaense look a good bet in this Série A clash and we can back them at -118 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Athletico PR in 13 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Athletico PR in 19 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 4 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Athletico PR in 6 of their last 10 games against Palmeiras.

Understanding the injured players situation proves useful when assembling football picks. Once we’ve also considered the form guide, we use the latest stats and provide Série A betting predictions.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 54.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

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Athletico PR Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 16, 00:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Athletico 1 - 0 Palmeiras

We’re predicting Athletico to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at +800. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: João Victor Machado Cruz Over 0.5 Shots On Target +110

João Victor Machado Cruz (Athletico PR) is available at +110 to register a minimum of one shot on goal. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.

Latest João Victor Machado Cruz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

---

Kevin Viveros to Score +170

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR) has found the net in three straight Série A games. There are odds of +170 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Kevin Viveros Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+390

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Shots

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Palmeiras To Have Most Corners -100

Palmeiras have had a higher corner count in seven consecutive games. Palmeiras should be capable of having the most corners and the odds of -100 look value.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Athletico

Total

11.40 5.00 6.40

Home

10.50 6.60 3.90

Away

11.00 3.70 7.30

Palmeiras

Total

9.90 6.10 3.80

Home

10.40 6.90 3.50

Away

11.50 6.30 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-127

Athletico Corners

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+106

Palmeiras Corners

Over 4.5

-161

Under 4.5

+107

Most Corners

1

-100

X

+650

2

-100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Athletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Favourites Palmeiras are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Série A clash. The +123 about them triumphing means a 45% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. The market implies that Athletico Paranaense are the most unlikely to win at +215.

Palmeiras can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -172. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Athletico are +120.

For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -132.

For those wagering on Série A matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

+215

X

+230

2

+123

Half-Time Result

1

+255

X

+112

2

+190

Double Chance

1X

-161

12

-313

X2

-294

Draw No Bet

1

+120

2

-172

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-118

2 Hcp -0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-132

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-132

No

-105

Kevin Viveros can be backed to find the net anytime at +170, with +390 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR)

First

+390

Anytime

+170

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+200

Jorge Rivaldo (Athletico PR)

First

+550

Anytime

+240

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+260

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

First

+700

Anytime

+300

Leozinho (Athletico PR)

First

+750

Anytime

+320

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

First

+850

Anytime

+330

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+850

Anytime

+360

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+380

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno (Athletico PR)

First

+900

Anytime

+390

Kerwin Vargas (Athletico PR)

First

+1000

Anytime

+450

João Victor Machado Cruz (Athletico PR)

First

+1000

Anytime

+450

Stiven Mendoza (Athletico PR)

First

+1000

Anytime

+450

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Luiz Gustavo (Athletico PR)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Bruno Zapelli (Athletico PR)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Juan Camilo Portilla (Athletico PR)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Alejandro Garcia (Athletico PR)

First

+2000

Anytime

+1000

Jádson Alves (Athletico PR)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Jorge Rivaldo (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Leozinho (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Stiven Mendoza (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

João Victor Machado Cruz (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Kerwin Vargas (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Zapelli (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Luiz Gustavo (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Juan Camilo Portilla (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Garcia (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Jádson Alves (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Kevin Viveros (Athletico PR)

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-

Jorge Rivaldo (Athletico PR)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno (Athletico PR)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Leozinho (Athletico PR)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Bruno Zapelli (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Stiven Mendoza (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

João Victor Machado Cruz (Athletico PR)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Luiz Gustavo (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Juan Camilo Portilla (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Garcia (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Jádson Alves (Athletico PR)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

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Athletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Athletico vs Palmeiras before making your bets. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A and all current injury news.

Athletico Paranaense Team Page Palmeiras Team Page

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