Atlético Madrid vs Málaga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Aug 2026

Atlético Madrid vs Málaga Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Málaga Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -103

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Málaga +1.5 could be the real deal when it comes to the Asian Handicap. We’re able to back them at odds of -103 knowing that a one-goal defeat against Atlético Madrid would still see us land a payout from this wager.

This Atlético Madrid vs Málaga betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Atlético Madrid vs Málaga Preview

Atlético Madrid take on newly-promoted Málaga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 19 August.

Atlético Madrid finished fourth in La Liga last season with 69 points from 38 matches. They ended the campaign with a 5-1 defeat away to Villarreal at Estadio de la Cerámica. Los Colchoneros had 52% possession and registered four shots on target, with Marc Pubill scoring their only goal.

Málaga finished fourth in La Liga 2 last season with 73 points from 42 matches before earning promotion through the play-offs. After a 0-0 draw in the first leg of the promotion play-off final, they secured promotion with a 2-1 victory away to Almería at UD Almería Stadium. Juan Funes' side had 51% possession and registered five shots on target, with Chupe and David Larrubia finding the net.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Atlético Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Málaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 1.5 goals from 11.5 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. Atléti have had 47.4% possession, 448.1 passes and 5.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.9 goals from 15.3 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal, while earning 5.8 corners.

Top goalscorers are Ademola Lookman and Alexander Soerloth on 3 goals, while Nico Gonzalez has bagged 2. Antoine Griezmann is top assists maker with 3, while goalies Juan Musso and Jan Oblak have kept 2 clean sheets between them.

Málaga have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 13.1 attempts, 5.2 shots on goal and 1.9 goals. Los Boquerones average 53.7% possession, 4.3 corners in their favour and 3.4 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.

Chupe is top of the team’s scoring charts with 9, while David Larrubia and Joaquin Munoz both have 3. Joaquin Munoz, Chupe and Rafa Rodriguez have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (5-3-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marc Pubill, Robin Le Normand, David Hancko, Marcos Llorente, Alejandro Grimaldo, Johnny Cardoso, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Kang-In Lee, Ademola Lookman.

Málaga predicted lineup (4-3-3): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Angel Recio, Einar Galilea, Jose Salinas, Dani Lorenzo, Izan Merino, Rafa Rodriguez, David Larrubia, Chupe, Joaquin Munoz.

Main Match Prediction

We’ve identified Málaga +1.5 as a good bet for this La Liga encounter and we’ll back the visitors at a price of -103. There’s every chance that we can bag a return with this Asian Handicap wager.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 17 of their last 20 games.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest La Liga team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 50.8% chance of landing a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take Málaga to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.

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Málaga Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -103 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 17, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 2 - 1 Málaga

Our correct score prediction is a 2-1 win for Atléti which is available at odds of +750. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Álex Grimaldo Over 0.5 Shots On Target +135

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti) can be backed at +135 to register one or more shots on goal. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.

Latest Álex Grimaldo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

---

Ademola Lookman to Score +170

Ademola Lookman (Atléti) has managed three goals in his past six La Liga games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +170.

Latest Ademola Lookman Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Málaga Over 2.5 Corners -137

Málaga have been awarded an average of 5.20 corners in the past five games, while Atlético Madrid have yielded a corner average of 5.80 in their previous ten matches. If you agree with our verdict that the Málaga Team Corners line can be covered, then you can secure odds of -137 that this happens.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

11.10 5.30 5.80

Home

10.90 6.90 4.00

Away

11.30 5.40 5.90

Málaga

Total

7.70 4.30 3.40

Home

8.80 4.60 4.20

Away

9.10 4.20 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-111

Atléti Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-118

Málaga Corners

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-526

X

+800

2

+450

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Málaga Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a proposed 79% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -370 odds about Atlético Madrid coming out on top in this La Liga encounter. Málaga are the +1050 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

If you fancy Atléti to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -143. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Málaga at +750 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +163.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. Both Teams to Score betting is highly popular and the No pick on the BTTS market is chalked up at -164.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever La Liga game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

-370

X

+460

2

+1050

Half-Time Result

1

-143

X

+163

2

+750

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-714

X2

+265

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+600

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-122

2 Hcp +1.5

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+112

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+120

No

-164

Favourite Alexander Sørloth is priced at +260 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of -111.

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+260

Anytime

-111

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+290

Anytime

-100

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+480

Anytime

+170

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

First

+600

Anytime

+230

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+260

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Thomas Lemar (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+320

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+950

Anytime

+370

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+950

Anytime

+370

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

First

+1400

Anytime

+500

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+1400

Anytime

+550

Morten Hjulmand (Atléti)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Rafa Rodríguez (Málaga)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Obed Vargas (Atléti)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Koke (Atléti)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Thomas Lemar (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

David Larrubia (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-

Rafa Rodríguez (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Morten Hjulmand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Obed Vargas (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Koke (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Stats: La Liga matches only
Atléti have seven victories and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Málaga have won five on the bounce away from home. Los Boquerones have clocked up seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		7-0-3	2.70	1.70	1.00	5	5	4	6
Málaga Away Stats		7-2-1	3.40	2.30	1.10	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Atlético Madrid vs Málaga Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Atléti vs Málaga team news beforehand. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga together with updated injury news.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Málaga Team Page

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