Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Sep 2026

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Atléti Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -116

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

There’s a strong case for backing Atléti +0.5 on the Asian Handicap in their meeting with Real. Landing odds of -116 looks like great value and we simply need the hosts to avoid a defeat here.

This Atléti vs Real betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Preview

Atlético Madrid host Real Madrid at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Sunday 20 September.

Atlético Madrid made it back-to-back league wins in their last La Liga game. Landing a 4-0 home victory against Osasuna at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's team enjoyed 68% possession and had eleven shots on target, while Jonathan David, Kang-In Lee, Robin Le Normand and Alejandro Baena bagged a goal.

Real Madrid have triumphed in back-to-back La Liga games. A 3-2 win recently occurred on the road at Estadio Martínez Valero when playing Elche. Los Merengues managed four shots on goal and had 44% possession, with Matias Dituro (own goal), Kylian Mbappe and Carlos Espi finding the net.

H2H: Real Won 3-2 When Teams Last Met

The last head-to-head saw Real land a 3-2 home victory over Atléti at Santiago Bernabéu. The past 10 H2H matches have witnessed four draws along with three wins each.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Real Madrid	6	5	0	1	17	6	11	17:6	15
4	Atlético Madrid	6	4	1	1	14	6	8	14:6	13

View Full Table

Atléti have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 15.2 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 53.6% possession, 519.7 passes and 6.4 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.1 corners from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts.

Alejandro Baena is the top goalscorer with 4, Ademola Lookman has 3, with Jonathan David and two other players on 2. David Hancko, Marcos Llorente and Antoine Griezmann are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Jan Oblak managing 4 clean sheets.

Real have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 2.4 goals from 6.6 shots on goal and 17.3 attempts. Jose Mourinho's men have averaged 57.0% possession, 557.6 passes, 6.5 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts.

Kylian Mbappe is the leading scorer with 8 goals, followed by Jude Bellingham on 5, with Carlos Espi and two others bagging 2. Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Thibaut Courtois has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Cristian Romero, Robin Le Normand, Alejandro Grimaldo, Kang-In Lee, Koke, Johnny Cardoso, Alejandro Baena, Jonathan David, Ademola Lookman.

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella, Federico Valverde, Aurelien Tchouameni, Yan Diomande, Arda Guler, Vinicius Junior, Kylian Mbappe.

Main Match Prediction

Atléti +0.5 could be the best bet to have and the latest stats back this up. Take the hosts at -116 on the Asian Handicap for their La Liga clash, with this being a confident selection on the underdogs.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 8 of their last 10 games against Real.

The first port of call is to check out the La Liga injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

The top betting apps make it a 53.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to Atléti covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager.

Top up your wagering strategy by unlocking the top betting offers including free bets, promos, and sign-up deals.

Atléti Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 18, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 2 - 2 Real

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 2-2. We can’t pass up the odds of +850 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Vinicius Junior Over 2.5 Shots -132

Vinicius Junior (Real) has finished with over 2.5 shots in back-to-back La Liga games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -132.

Latest Vinicius Junior Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-

---

Kang-In Lee to Score +320

Kang-In Lee (Atléti) has managed two goals in his past six La Liga matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +320 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Kang-In Lee Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Atléti Over 4.5 Corners -141

Atléti have had over 4.5 corners in five straight home matches. There’s an opportunity to go over the Atléti Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -141 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

10.50 6.40 4.10

Home

9.70 6.50 3.20

Away

10.70 4.60 6.10

Real

Total

10.50 6.50 4.00

Home

10.60 6.80 3.80

Away

10.20 6.40 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-116

Under 10.5

-122

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

-102

Real Corners

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-147

Most Corners

1

+115

X

+650

2

-115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Real Madrid as -104 favourites for this La Liga encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 51% likely to triumph. The market suggests that Atlético Madrid are least likely to win at +260.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Real at -233 and Atléti at +155.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -250 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

If you’re betting on La Liga games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+260

X

+270

2

-104

Half-Time Result

1

+260

X

+155

2

+138

Double Chance

1X

-122

12

-370

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+155

2

-233

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-116

2 Hcp -0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+170

Over 2.5

-227

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-250

No

+175

Favourite Kylian Mbappé is priced at +260 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of -143.

Kylian Mbappé (Real)

First

+260

Anytime

-143

Carlos Espí (Real)

First

+450

Anytime

+140

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+550

Anytime

+180

Vinicius Junior (Real)

First

+575

Anytime

+180

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+575

Anytime

+190

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real)

First

+650

Anytime

+190

Yan Diomande (Real)

First

+650

Anytime

+210

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+650

Anytime

+210

Jonathan David (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+220

Jude Bellingham (Real)

First

+850

Anytime

+280

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

First

+950

Anytime

+320

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+1000

Anytime

+330

Arda Guler (Real)

First

+1150

Anytime

+370

Brahim Díaz (Real)

First

+1300

Anytime

+420

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

First

+1300

Anytime

+430

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+1300

Anytime

+450

Federico Valverde (Real)

First

+1400

Anytime

+450

Bernardo Silva (Real)

First

+1500

Anytime

+525

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+1500

Anytime

+550

Denzel Dumfries (Real)

First

+1600

Anytime

+550

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real)

First

+1700

Anytime

+600

Thiago Pitarch (Real)

First

+1800

Anytime

+600

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

Antonio Rüdiger (Real)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Raúl Asencio del Rosario (Real)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Kylian Mbappé (Real)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Jonathan David (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Yan Diomande (Real)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Arda Guler (Real)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Espí (Real)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Brahim Díaz (Real)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (Real)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Denzel Dumfries (Real)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Pitarch (Real)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Antonio Rüdiger (Real)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Raúl Asencio del Rosario (Real)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Kylian Mbappé (Real)

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-

Carlos Espí (Real)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Jonathan David (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Yan Diomande (Real)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Brahim Díaz (Real)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (Real)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Denzel Dumfries (Real)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Pitarch (Real)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Antonio Rüdiger (Real)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 La Liga matches only.
Atléti have swerved defeat at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in the previous four matches. Diego Simeone's team have clocked up seven wins, two defeats and one draw in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Real have five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

When the sides last met at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Atléti beat Real 5-2. It’s been three Atléti wins, three draws and two Real victories in the past 8 H2H meetings at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		7-1-2	3.20	2.10	1.10	6	4	5	5
Real Madrid Away Stats		5-1-4	2.50	1.30	1.20	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

You can watch and bet on La Liga games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

It’s great to watch live sports and you’ll find a wide range of choice with the leading betting apps.

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Atléti vs Real team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga together with updated injury news.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Real Madrid Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages