Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2026

Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Atléti To Win @ -116

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We’re going for a straight pick on Atlético Madrid when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory against Villarreal, with odds of -116 currently available.

Our Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Preview

Atlético Madrid host Villarreal at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Sunday 23 August.

Atlético Madrid made a winning start to the new season, securing a 2-0 home win over Málaga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's side enjoyed 53% possession and had six shots on target, while Kang-In Lee and Alejandro Baena scored one goal apiece.

Villarreal opened their campaign with a 2-2 away draw against Racing Santander at Estadio El Sardinero. El Submarino Amarillo recorded 59% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Pape Gueye and Nicolas Pepe on the scoresheet.

H2H: 5-1 Win for Villarreal in Last H2H Clash

The last encounter between Villarreal and Atléti saw the former win at home. It was a 5-1 scoreline at Estadio de la Ceramica. We’ve seen five of the previous 10 H2H meetings end in a draw, with Atléti winning three and Villarreal landing two victories.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Atlético Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	9	16:7	16
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	1	13:12	8

View Full Table

Atléti have 5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.5 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 48.0% possession, 449.8 passes and 5.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 14.1 attempts and 5.5 corners.

Top scorer is Alexander Soerloth on 3 goals, while Ademola Lookman and Nico Gonzalez have both racked up 2. Leading assistor is Antoine Griezmann with 3, while goalies Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have 3 clean sheets between them.

Villarreal have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 10.7 attempts, 4.4 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. Inigo Perez's team average 48.8% possession, 449.8 passes, 5.5 corners awarded and 6.2 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts.

Nicolas Pepe and Georges Mikautadze top the team’s scoring charts on 4 goals, with Ayoze Perez on 3. Look no further than Nicolas Pepe for the top assist maker (4) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marc Pubill, Robin Le Normand, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Morten Hjulmand, Rodrigo Mendoza, Alejandro Grimaldo, Kang-In Lee, Ademola Lookman.

Villarreal confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Luiz Junior (GK), Santiago Mourino, Juan Foyth, Renato Veiga, Carlos Romero, Nicolas Pepe, Santi Comesana, Pape Gueye, Alberto Moleiro, Ayoze Perez, Georges Mikautadze.

Main Match Prediction

We believe that Atlético Madrid are excellent value at -116 when it comes to this La Liga encounter. The odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• Atléti have won 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• Atléti have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Atléti have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Villarreal are winless in their last 4 away games.

The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the La Liga form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 53.8% chance of delivering a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re looking for a wager at bigger odds, then Atléti on the Double Result market could be a way forward. You need them to lead at the halfway stage and then claim a win.

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Atléti To Win @ -116 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 21, 17:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 1 - 0 Villarreal

Let’s go for Atléti to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +700. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Georges Mikautadze Over 0.5 Shots On Target -137

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal) has tallied one or more shots on goal in three straight La Liga games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of -137 now available.

Latest Georges Mikautadze Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

---

Ademola Lookman to Score +220

Ademola Lookman (Atléti) has managed two goals in his past five La Liga matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +220 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Ademola Lookman Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+160

First

+460

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Villarreal Over 3.5 Corners -139

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Villarreal in their past seven games, while the previous 10 Atlético Madrid matches have seen them concede an average of 5.50 corners. The amount of Villarreal corners could be bigger than the Team Corners line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -139.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

11.30 5.80 5.50

Home

10.40 6.90 3.50

Away

11.30 5.40 5.90

Villarreal

Total

11.70 5.50 6.20

Home

10.60 5.00 5.60

Away

9.50 4.00 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-100

Atléti Corners

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-109

Villarreal Corners

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+102

Most Corners

1

-204

X

+650

2

+200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 56% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Atlético Madrid are favourites to prosper in this La Liga encounter and they’re available at -127 with the bookies. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Villarreal are trading at +320.

Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting Atléti -0.75 at -102 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Villarreal by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -161 on the Both Teams to Score market.

The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every La Liga game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

-127

X

+285

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+138

2

+330

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-400

X2

-102

Draw No Bet

1

-303

2

+195

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-102

2 Hcp +0.75

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+116

Over 2.5

-149

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+120

Alexander Sørloth is the First Goalscorer favourite at +360 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +130.

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+360

Anytime

+130

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+370

Anytime

+130

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+460

Anytime

+160

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

First

+575

Anytime

+210

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

First

+700

Anytime

+260

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+290

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

First

+850

Anytime

+300

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

First

+900

Anytime

+330

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+950

Anytime

+350

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+950

Anytime

+350

Thomas Lemar (Atléti)

First

+950

Anytime

+380

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

First

+1050

Anytime

+390

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

First

+1100

Anytime

+400

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+1050

Anytime

+420

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

First

+1200

Anytime

+430

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

First

+1500

Anytime

+550

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Morten Hjulmand (Atléti)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Santi Comesaña (Villarreal)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Koke (Atléti)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Obed Vargas (Atléti)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Alexander Freeman (Villarreal)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

José Giménez (Atléti)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Carlos Romero (Villarreal)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Thomas Lemar (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Santi Comesaña (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Morten Hjulmand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Freeman (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Romero (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Koke (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Obed Vargas (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

José Giménez (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 3.5

-106

Under 3.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Thomas Lemar (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Morten Hjulmand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Santi Comesaña (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Freeman (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Romero (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 La Liga matches only.
Atléti have seven victories and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Villarreal have gone without an away win in the last four games. El Submarino Amarillo have recorded four draws, four losses and two wins in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

In the last meeting at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Atléti defeated Villarreal by a 2-0 scoreline. The past 8 H2H meetings at Riyadh Air Metropolitano have resulted in four Atléti wins, three draws and one Villarreal success.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		7-0-3	2.80	1.80	1.00	5	5	4	6
Villarreal Away Stats		2-4-4	2.50	1.00	1.50	4	6	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Atléti vs Villarreal team news. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Villarreal Team Page

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