Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Sep 2026

Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Fluminense Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -114

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Fluminense have a strong chance against Atlético Mineiro and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -114 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

We analyse several betting angles in our Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Preview

Atlético Mineiro square off against Fluminense, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Saturday 12 September.

Atlético Mineiro have banked back-to-back Série A home victories. Their last league game was a 2-0 road defeat against São Paulo. Galo had 48% possession, but were unable to record a shot on target.

On Wednesday night, Atlético were defeated 2-0 away to Santos in the Copa Sudamericana.

Fluminense won their previous Série A game which was at home. It was a 1-0 triumph against Vasco da Gama. The Rio de Janeiro side had 45% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Luciano Acosta on target in the 61st minute.

Four days ago, Fluminense triumphed 2-0 at home to Platense in the Copa Libertadores.

H2H: 1-0 Win for Fluminense in Pair’s Last Meeting

Fluminense have won the last two encounters against Atlético, landing winning home scorelines of 1-0 and 3-0. The teams have four wins apiece along with two draws in the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50	41	9	50:41	51
6	Atlético MG	31	14	8	9	42	35	7	42:35	50

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. Atlético have had 47.9% possession and 4.1 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.9 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts, while being awarded 6.4 corners.

Reinier, Vitor Hugo and Tomas Cuello are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Bernard is the top assists maker with 3.

Fluminense have 3 victories, 1 defeat and 6 draws, with an average of 1.3 goals from 14.4 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 57.3% possession, 6.1 corners in their favour and 5.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 13.1 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Hulk with 4, Ignacio on 3 and Kevin Serna 2. Yeferson Soteldo and Agustin Canobbio are the top assist makers, managing 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Delfim (GK), Natanael, Vitao, Vitor Hugo, Kaua Pascini, Alan Franco, Kevin Castano, Tomas Cuello, Fred, Bernard, Reinier.

Fluminense confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Fabio (GK), Julio Fidelis, Igor Rabello, Juan Freytes, Guilherme Arana, Agustin Canobbio, Otavio, Nonato, Jefferson Savarino, Rodrigo Castillo, Luciano Acosta.

Main Match Prediction

We’ll side with Fluminense +0.25 for this Série A clash, with an attractive -114 available. Our verdict is that they’ll perform strongly and the Asian Handicap line looks generous for this outcome.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Fluminense in 9 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Fluminense in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 2 consecutive games against Fluminense.

We’re always focused on the Série A form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 53.2% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Fluminense Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 10, 22:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 0 - 1 Fluminense

There are odds of +800 available that Fluminense land a 1-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bernard Over 0.5 Shots On Target +150

Bernard (Atlético MG) is available to finish with one or more shots on goal at +150. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Bernard Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

---

Agustín Canobbio to Score +550

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense) has registered three goals in his past six Série A away matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +550 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Agustín Canobbio Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Fluminense Over 4.5 Corners -115

Fluminense have been awarded an average of 6.40 corners in the past 5 matches, while the corner count against Atlético Mineiro has been more than 4.5 in the previous six games. We’re going to take the Overs for Fluminense Team Corners, with this line standing out and you can get odds of -115.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

10.50 4.10 6.40

Home

10.50 5.10 5.40

Away

9.90 3.70 6.20

Fluminense

Total

11.20 6.10 5.10

Home

11.20 7.30 3.90

Away

10.00 4.40 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-135

Atlético Corners

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-120

Fluminense Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-161

X

+650

2

+160

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of +104 suggest that Atlético Mineiro are likely victors and there’s a 49% probability that the favourites win this Série A clash. The +265 means that Fluminense are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

You can back Atlético at -222 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Fluminense are +150 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -115 and No at -120.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Série A matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

+104

X

+225

2

+265

Half-Time Result

1

+165

X

+110

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-312

X2

-135

Draw No Bet

1

-222

2

+150

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+102

2 Hcp +0.5

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-120

You will find favourite Mateo Cassierra at +500 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +210 that he finds the net any time.

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

First

+500

Anytime

+210

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

First

+650

Anytime

+280

Givanildo Hulk (Fluminense)

First

+700

Anytime

+290

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+330

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+330

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+370

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

First

+1000

Anytime

+410

Rodrigo Castillo (Fluminense)

First

+1050

Anytime

+440

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+1050

Anytime

+450

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+1050

Anytime

+450

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+460

Fred (Atlético MG)

First

+1100

Anytime

+475

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+480

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Yeferson Soteldo (Fluminense)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Nonato (Fluminense)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Kevin Duvan Castaño (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Alan Franco (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Givanildo Hulk (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Castillo (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Fred (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Yeferson Soteldo (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Nonato (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Kevin Duvan Castaño (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Alan Franco (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Givanildo Hulk (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Fred (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Castillo (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Jefferson Savarino (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Yeferson Soteldo (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Nonato (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Atlético vs Fluminense without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with the latest injury news.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Fluminense Team Page

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