Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2026

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Atlético MG To Win @ -127

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Atlético Mineiro could land the money against Grêmio and we’ll take this pick on the Full-Time Result market. There are appealing odds of -127 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

Continue reading for our complete Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Preview

Atlético Mineiro host Grêmio, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 16 August.

Atlético Mineiro drew on their travels in their last Série A game. It was a 2-2 draw against Remo. Galo had most of the ball recording 59% possession and two shots on target, with Reinier and Bernard scoring one goal each.

Four days ago, Atlético claimed a 1-0 win in the Copa Sudamericana when facing Red Bull Bragantino on the road.

Grêmio won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 victory against São Paulo. The Porto Alegre side recorded five shots on goal and had 48% possession, with Wallace and Cristian Pavon both on target.

2-1 Victory for Grêmio in Last H2H

Grêmio have enjoyed three consecutive victories against Atlético. Their last clash saw Grêmio land a 2-1 home win. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved five Grêmio victories, one draw and four Atlético wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Atlético MG	21	8	5	8	27	27	0	27:27	29
14	Grêmio	21	6	7	8	24	27	-3	24:27	25

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. Atlético have had 47.1% possession and 4.5 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 13.7 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.3 corners.

Alan Minda, Maycon Barberan and Mateo Cassierra are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Bernard has made the most assists with 3.

Grêmio have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 8.6 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. Luis Castro's team average 47.7% possession, 4.4 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while conceding 1.3 goals from 15.2 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius got 3 goals, Gabriel Mec notched 2, while Wallace and two other players scored 1. Cristian Pavon has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Natanael, Ruan Tressoldi, Vitor Hugo, Renan Lodi, Alan Franco, Mamady Cisse, Maycon, Alan Minda, Mateo Cassierra, Bernard.

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Diego Caito, Gustavo Martins, Wallace, Marlon, Erick Noriega, Juan Ignacio Nardoni, Cristian Pavón, Mathías Villasanti, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius.

Main Match Prediction

Atlético Mineiro look like the real deal to claim a victory, especially as odds of -127 are available. You can back this value selection with confidence when they line up in this Série A clash.

We’re always monitoring the Série A team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• Grêmio have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 55.9% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

The Match Result & Total market provides bettors with a great alternative at bigger odds. It gives you the chance to back Atlético along with a certain number of goals being scored.

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Atlético MG To Win @ -127 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 14, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 1 - 0 Grêmio

Atlético are available to back at +500 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Francis Amuzu Over 0.5 Shots On Target +105

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) is available to finish with at least one shot on goal at +105. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Francis Amuzu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

---

Alan Minda to Score +260

Alan Minda (Atlético MG) has registered two goals in his past seven Série A matches. We’ll throw a dart at +260 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Alan Minda Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -120

Each of the previous ten Grêmio matches have featured under 10.5 corners. We think that the teams will come up short and this Total Corners wager can be backed at -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

8.80 4.50 4.30

Home

10.10 5.00 5.10

Away

8.90 4.20 4.70

Grêmio

Total

9.70 4.40 5.30

Home

10.20 5.50 4.70

Away

7.90 3.00 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-149

Atlético Corners

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

-105

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-213

X

+650

2

+205

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookies giving them a 56% probability of winning, Atlético Mineiro might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -127 when it comes to triumphing in this Série A clash. The market implies that Grêmio are the most unlikely to win at +340.

Atlético are -127 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as backing them on the 1x2 market. If you instead want to bet on Grêmio +0.5 at -100, you also get paid out if it’s a draw.

You’re able to back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at roughly the same price right now. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with the Yes and No options evenly-matched.

The best football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Série A matches.

Full-Time Result

1

-127

X

+250

2

+340

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+120

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-500

12

-345

X2

-103

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+205

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-127

2 Hcp +0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-120

Over 2.5

-108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-123

No

-112

Favourite Mateo Cassierra is priced at +410 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +165.

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

First

+410

Anytime

+165

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+525

Anytime

+210

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

First

+650

Anytime

+260

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+650

Anytime

+270

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+300

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+330

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+360

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+380

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+1000

Anytime

+390

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+1050

Anytime

+410

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

First

+1050

Anytime

+420

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+1100

Anytime

+420

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Gabriel Mec (Grêmio)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Iván Román (Atlético MG)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Lyanco (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Mec (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Iván Román (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Lyanco (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-244

Under 2.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-172

Under 2.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Mec (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-208

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-250

Under 1.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Lyanco (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

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Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Atlético vs Grêmio, check the team news first. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A as well as the latest injury reports.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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