Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Nov 2026

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Atlético MG To Win @ -164

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

There are several reasons to back Atlético Mineiro on the Full-Time Result betting market, especially at value odds of -164. We think that the favourites will prove too strong for Grêmio.

Explore our full Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio betting preview, which features the complete write-up for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Preview

Série A teams Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio meet, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Saturday 7 November.

Atlético Mineiro lost on the road in their last game. Botafogo won 1-0 in Série A. Galo dominated possession with 68% of the ball and recorded three shots on target.

Grêmio were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Flamengo claimed a 3-1 Série A victory. Renato Gaucho's team had 46% possession and four shots on goal, while Francis Amuzu found the net.

H2H: Grêmio Beat Atlético When Teams Last Met

It was a 2-0 home win for Grêmio when they last played Atlético. Grêmio have won six of the past 10 matches that these teams have played, with Atlético landing four victories.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Atlético MG	34	14	8	12	44	40	4	44:40	50
18	Grêmio	34	9	10	15	38	47	-9	38:47	37

View Full Table

Main Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Atlético Mineiro will have the edge in this Copa do Brasil clash, then you can back the home team at -164. We’re expecting a nice potential return with this match winner bet.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league and Copa do Brasil matches):

• Atlético MG have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Atlético MG have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• Grêmio have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Grêmio have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Copa do Brasil stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 62.1% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you think that Atlético are too skinny for the win but expect them to achieve a bloodless victory, then you can wager them on the Result + BTTS No market at bigger odds.

Before placing your next bet, explore our complete guide to the best betting offers, promotions and welcome bonuses today.

Atlético MG To Win @ -164 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 5, 22:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 2 - 0 Grêmio

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Atlético to win 2-0. The odds of +650 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Thiago Borbas Over 1.5 Shots On Target +130

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG) is available to cover the shots on goal total at +130. He looks like a value bet on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop pick.

Latest Thiago Borbas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+165

First

+400

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Shots

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-

---

Tomás Cuello to Score +215

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG) has netted three goals in his past seven home matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +215 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Tomás Cuello Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+215

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 62% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Atlético Mineiro are favourites to come out on top in this Copa do Brasil clash and they’re available at -164 with the bookmakers. If you want to wager on the underdog, Grêmio have been priced up at +410.

Taking Atlético -0.75 against Grêmio means a full Asian Handicap payout at -132 if they win by 2+ goals. The second prize is a half-stake payout and half-stake refund if they win by one.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -130.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Copa do Brasil game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-164

X

+280

2

+410

Half-Time Result

1

+105

X

+123

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-417

X2

+123

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+265

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-132

2 Hcp +0.75

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-104

Over 2.5

-127

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-130

No

-110

The First Goalscorer favourite is Thiago Borbas at +400. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

First

+400

Anytime

+165

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+185

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

First

+480

Anytime

+195

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+215

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+260

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

First

+700

Anytime

+280

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+700

Anytime

+290

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+320

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+340

Fred (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+360

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+370

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+370

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

First

+1050

Anytime

+400

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+460

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

First

+1400

Anytime

+575

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

First

+1700

Anytime

+750

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Fred (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-417

Under 1.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-217

Under 1.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Fred (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-370

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-312

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa do Brasil and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atlético Mineiro Stats

Grêmio Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.89 corners awarded and 5.67 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 7.25 corners awarded and 4.25 corners against in the last 8 home matches
• An average of 11.56 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 8 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 8 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.11 corners awarded and 6.44 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 4.63 corners awarded and 6.50 corners against in the last 8 away matches
• An average of 11.56 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 11.13 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 6 of the last 8 away matches

Possession

• An average of 51.78% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 54.13% possession in the last 8 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 8 home matches

Possession

• An average of 46.89% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 51.13% possession in the last 8 away matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 8 away matches

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages