Atlético Mineiro vs Santos Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Oct 2026

Atlético Mineiro vs Santos Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Santos Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -127

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Santos +0.5 could be the value play when they clash with Atlético Mineiro. We’ll take the Asian Handicap price of -127 that the away team land a victory or draw, giving us a strong chance of a return.

Take a closer look at our complete Atlético Mineiro vs Santos betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Atlético Mineiro vs Santos Preview

Atlético Mineiro clash with Santos, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 11 October.

Atlético Mineiro drew away from home in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Athletico Paranaense. Galo enjoyed 49% possession and had nine shots on target, with Bernard and Lyanco each scoring one goal.

Santos played out a 2-2 draw against Flamengo in their previous game, with this being at home. Cuca's side had 45% possession and recorded four shots on goal, while Neymar found the net twice.

H2H: Last Head-to-Head Saw Atlético Triumph on Penalties

The last encounter between Atlético and Santos saw the former win on penalties. It was a home Copa Sudamericana victory (4-2 after 90 mins). Atlético have landed four victories, Santos have three wins and there’s been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Atlético MG	29	12	8	9	39	34	5	39:34	44
8	Santos	29	11	9	9	45	43	2	45:43	42

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. Atlético have had 50.3% possession and 4.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 16.7 attempts, while being awarded 7.1 corners.

The three top scorers are Bernard, Reinier and Tomas Cuello, with these players all scoring 3 goals. The leading assistor is Alan Minda with 2.

Santos have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.8 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 15.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 51.9% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts.

The top scorers have been Gabriel Barbosa with 6, Neymar on 4 and Christian Oliva 2. Benjamin Rollheiser has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Delfim (GK), Natanael, Vitão Fernandes, Lyanco, Renan Lodi, Mamady Cisse, Maycon, Alan Minda, Victor Hugo, Bernard, Reinier.

Santos predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Diogenes (GK), Rodinei, Lucas Verissimo, Luan Peres, Gonzalo Escobar, Christian Oliva, Gustavo Henrique, Gabriel Bontempo, Neymar Jr, Everton, Gabriel Barbosa.

Main Match Prediction

Santos +0.5 could be a value wager and we have the information to back this up. Bet them at -127 on the Asian Handicap when they clash with Atlético Mineiro and we feel confident of a payout.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Santos in 8 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Santos in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Santos in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 6 of their last 10 games against Santos.

The latest Série A injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 55.9% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

Get more from your bets with our detailed guide, featuring the best free bets and generous welcome bonuses.

Santos Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -127 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 9, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 1 - 1 Santos

One bet that has caught our eye is a 1-1 correct score draw. This selection is available at +525 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Renan Lodi Over 0.5 Shots On Target +140

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG) can be wagered to record a minimum of one shot on goal at +140. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.

Latest Renan Lodi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

---

Reinier to Score +370

Reinier (Atlético MG) has managed three goals in his past six Série A games. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +370 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Reinier Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Santos Under 4.5 Corners -152

Santos have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in five straight away games, while Atlético Mineiro have let the opposition have an average of 4.70 corners in their last 10 home matches. It looks a logical viewpoint that the Team Corners line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -152 for this Santos wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

12.00 4.90 7.10

Home

10.60 5.90 4.70

Away

10.20 3.70 6.50

Santos

Total

10.90 5.80 5.10

Home

10.50 7.00 3.50

Away

10.10 3.40 6.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-109

Under 10.5

-130

Atlético Corners

Over 5.5

-132

Under 5.5

-114

Santos Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+650

2

+165

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Mineiro vs Santos Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Atlético Mineiro betting odds are -100 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Série A encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 50% chance of winning. The market suggests that Santos are least likely to win at +260.

Atlético and Santos can be backed at -227 and +155 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -132 on the Both Teams to Score market.

If you’re betting on Série A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-100

X

+240

2

+260

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+120

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-333

X2

-128

Draw No Bet

1

-227

2

+155

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-104

2 Hcp +0.5

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-122

Over 2.5

-105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-132

No

-105

The First Goalscorer favourite is Thiago Borbas at +430, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

First

+430

Anytime

+195

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+200

Gabigol (Santos)

First

+500

Anytime

+215

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+575

Anytime

+230

Neymar (Santos)

First

+650

Anytime

+270

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+340

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+350

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+360

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+370

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

First

+950

Anytime

+390

Fred (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+400

Moisés Vieira da Veiga (Santos)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+420

Gustavo Caballero (Santos)

First

+1000

Anytime

+420

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+1050

Anytime

+430

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Ronielson Rony (Santos)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Thaciano Mickael Silva (Santos)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Miguel Terceros (Santos)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Santos)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Rodinei (Santos)

First

+1500

Anytime

+700

Cebolinha (Santos)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Gabigol (Santos)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Neymar (Santos)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Moisés Vieira da Veiga (Santos)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Caballero (Santos)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Fred (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Ronielson Rony (Santos)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Thaciano Mickael Silva (Santos)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Miguel Terceros (Santos)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Santos)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Rodinei (Santos)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Cebolinha (Santos)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-

Gabigol (Santos)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Neymar (Santos)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Fred (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Cebolinha (Santos)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Miguel Terceros (Santos)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Thaciano Mickael Silva (Santos)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Ronielson Rony (Santos)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Caballero (Santos)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Moisés Vieira da Veiga (Santos)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Santos)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Rodinei (Santos)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Franchescoli (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

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Atlético Mineiro vs Santos Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Atlético vs Santos team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A along with up-to-date injury news.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Santos Team Page

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