Atlético Nacional SA
Football Categoría Primera A Wed 7 Oct 21:20
Club Deportes Tolima SA
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Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Tolima Asian Hcp +1 @ -125

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Don’t Write Off Tolima For This Clash

We’re siding with Deportes Tolima on the Asian Handicap +1 at -125, with a confident feeling that they can win or draw when going up against Atlético Nacional. There’s the bonus of a one-goal defeat meaning our stake is refunded.

Read our in-depth Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Preview

Atlético Nacional host Deportes Tolima, with kick-off set for 21:20 on Wednesday 7 October.

Atlético Nacional were victorious when last playing, landing a 3-1 home success over Junior de Barranquilla.

Deportes Tolima played Boyacá Chicó at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw.

H2H: Nacional Overcame Tolima in Last Head-to-Head

Nacional have beaten Tolima in the last two head-to-head encounters. There was a 3-1 home win after triumphing 1-0 away. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in five Nacional victories and three Tolima wins. There have also been two draws.

Categoria Primera A G W D L GF GA GD GD P
4 Atlético Nacional logo Atlético Nacional 10 7 1 2 21 10 11 21:10 22
8 Tolima logo Tolima 12 5 4 3 15 13 2 15:13 19
View Full Table

Main Match Prediction

If you are in agreement that Deportes Tolima +1 are a good Asian Handicap wager, then you can land -125 that the underdogs win or draw this Primera A clash. This bet provides a safety net if they lose by a goal.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

  • The +1 line has been covered by Tolima in 3 consecutive games.
  • The +1 line has been covered by Tolima in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +1 line has been covered by Tolima in 13 of their last 20 games.
  • The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 13 of their last 20 games.
  • The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 7 of their last 10 games against Tolima.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Primera A stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Tolima +1 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There’s a chance to land a larger price and this can be attained by moving the line. Increase your odds for your selection by taking a different wagering stance.

Ready to boost your bet? Explore a huge selection of welcome bonuses in our regularly updated betting offers guide.

Tolima Asian Hcp +1 @ -125 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 6, 03:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 03:27, 06 October 2026

Correct Score Prediction

Nacional Nacional logo 1 - 1 Tolima logo Tolima

The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +510. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adrian Parra To Score +380 BetMGM logo

Adrian Parra (Tolima) can be backed at +380 to be among the goals. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Adrian Parra Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Tolima +1 -125
Total Goals Under 2.5 -103
Anytime Goalscorer Adrian Parra +380

If you’re up for a same-game multi, then we’ve got Tolima to cover the +1 Asian Handicap, no more than two goals to be scored along with Adrian Parra (Tolima) to find the net.

We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bookies Giving Nacional Plenty of Respect

The bookmakers have Atlético Nacional as -200 favourites for this Primera A encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 67% likely to triumph. Deportes Tolima are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +460.

For those wanting an alternative, Nacional are +102 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Tolima being priced up at +420 and the draw is +135.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -127.

For those visiting the best betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Primera A games. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.

Alfredo Morelos Favourite to Score the First Goal

Alfredo Morelos can be backed to find the net anytime at -103. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +250.

Player Goals
Alfredo Morelos (Nacional)
First
+250
Anytime
-103
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Cristian Arango (Nacional)
First
+430
Anytime
+180
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Juan Rengifo (Nacional)
First
+475
Anytime
+190
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Marlos Moreno (Nacional)
First
+525
Anytime
+215
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Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Team Stats
Atlético Nacional logo Atlético Nacional League Stats
Deportes Tolima logo Deportes Tolima League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
  • 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists

Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Nacional vs Tolima team news before you bet. Stay updated with confirmed Primera A lineups and the latest injury reports.

Previous Atlético Nacional Lineups

30 Sep Categoria Primera A
Atlético Nacional 3-1 Junior
24 Sep Categoria Primera A
Atlético Nacional 1-1 Millonarios
20 Sep Categoria Primera A
Llaneros 2-0 Atlético Nacional
16 Sep Categoria Primera A
Inter Bogotá 2-3 Atlético Nacional
13 Sep Categoria Primera A
Atlético Nacional 2-0 Águilas Doradas
29 Aug Categoria Primera A
Alianza 1-5 Atlético Nacional

Previous Deportes Tolima Lineups

03 Oct Categoria Primera A
Tolima 0-0 Boyacá Chicó
27 Sep Categoria Primera A
Fortaleza 2-2 Tolima
20 Sep Categoria Primera A
Tolima 1-1 América de Cali
16 Sep Categoria Primera A
Once Caldas 1-0 Tolima
11 Sep Categoria Primera A
Santa Fe 1-0 Tolima
07 Sep Categoria Primera A
Llaneros 1-2 Tolima
Team Squads

Atlético Nacional Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Lucas Gonzalez

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Franco Armani 25 G 9 810 9 0 0 0 0 0
William Tesillo 16 D 9 810 9 0 0 0 2 0
Andres Sarmiento 7 F 9 638 8 2 4 0 0 1
Marlos Moreno 7 F 9 636 7 2 4 1 1 0
Andres Felipe Roman 6 D 8 608 7 1 2 1 1 1

Deportes Tolima Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Luis Suarez

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Jan Angulo 3 D 11 990 11 1 0 0 1 0
Anderson Angulo 2 D 10 900 10 0 0 0 3 0
Sebastian Guzman 32 M 12 869 10 2 2 1 3 0
Junior Hernandez 20 F 11 824 10 1 1 1 0 0
Homer Martinez 14 M 11 815 9 2 0 0 5 0
Colombia FlagPrimera A Table
Primera A Apertura
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Atlético Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Deportivo Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 América de Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Deportivo Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 DIM 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Águilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Boyacá Chicó 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Primera A Clausura
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 América de Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Deportivo Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atlético Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
7 DIM 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Águilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Boyacá Chicó 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Deportivo Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares 11 1 4 6 11:20 7

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