Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 07 Oct 2026
Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Predictions
We’re siding with Deportes Tolima on the Asian Handicap +1 at -125, with a confident feeling that they can win or draw when going up against Atlético Nacional. There’s the bonus of a one-goal defeat meaning our stake is refunded.
Read our in-depth Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Preview
Atlético Nacional host Deportes Tolima, with kick-off set for 21:20 on Wednesday 7 October.
Atlético Nacional were victorious when last playing, landing a 3-1 home success over Junior de Barranquilla.
Deportes Tolima played Boyacá Chicó at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw.
H2H: Nacional Overcame Tolima in Last Head-to-Head
Nacional have beaten Tolima in the last two head-to-head encounters. There was a 3-1 home win after triumphing 1-0 away. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in five Nacional victories and three Tolima wins. There have also been two draws.
| Categoria Primera A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlético Nacional |
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21:10 | 22 |
| 8 | Tolima |
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15:13 | 19 |
Main Match Prediction
If you are in agreement that Deportes Tolima +1 are a good Asian Handicap wager, then you can land -125 that the underdogs win or draw this Primera A clash. This bet provides a safety net if they lose by a goal.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Primera A stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
There’s a chance to land a larger price and this can be attained by moving the line. Increase your odds for your selection by taking a different wagering stance.
Ready to boost your bet? Explore a huge selection of welcome bonuses in our regularly updated betting offers guide.
Correct Score Prediction
The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +510. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Adrian Parra (Tolima) can be backed at +380 to be among the goals. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a same-game multi, then we’ve got Tolima to cover the +1 Asian Handicap, no more than two goals to be scored along with Adrian Parra (Tolima) to find the net.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Atlético Nacional as -200 favourites for this Primera A encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 67% likely to triumph. Deportes Tolima are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +460.
For those wanting an alternative, Nacional are +102 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Tolima being priced up at +420 and the draw is +135.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -127.
For those visiting the best betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Primera A games. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.
Alfredo Morelos can be backed to find the net anytime at -103. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +250.
- Categoria Primera A: 24/05 2026 Atlético Nacional 3 Deportes Tolima 1
- Categoria Primera A: 17/05 2026 Deportes Tolima 0 Atlético Nacional 1
- Categoria Primera A: 02/03 2026 Deportes Tolima 1 Atlético Nacional 0
- Categoria Primera A: 03/08 2025 Deportes Tolima 0 Atlético Nacional 0
- Categoria Primera A: 20/03 2025 Atlético Nacional 4 Deportes Tolima 3
- Categoria Primera A: 23/12 2024 Atlético Nacional 2 Deportes Tolima 0
- Categoria Primera A: 19/12 2024 Deportes Tolima 1 Atlético Nacional 1
- Categoria Primera A: 15/11 2024 Deportes Tolima 1 Atlético Nacional 0
- Categoria Primera A: 28/04 2024 Atlético Nacional 3 Deportes Tolima 1
- Categoria Primera A: 09/11 2023 Atlético Nacional 2 Deportes Tolima 3
Atlético Nacional League Stats
Deportes Tolima League Stats
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Atlético Nacional this season are Alfredo Morelos (9), Juan Rengifo (6), Andres Sarmiento (3)
- Top Assistors for Atlético Nacional this season are Juan Rengifo (5), Andres Sarmiento (3), Alfredo Morelos (2)
Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Nacional vs Tolima team news before you bet. Stay updated with confirmed Primera A lineups and the latest injury reports.
Previous Atlético Nacional Lineups
Previous Deportes Tolima Lineups
Atlético Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Lucas Gonzalez
Deportes Tolima Player Stats & Squad
Primera A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | América de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | DIM | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Boyacá Chicó | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América de Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Atlético Nacional | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18:11 | 21 |
| 7 | DIM | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Tolima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Boyacá Chicó | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Fortaleza | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
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