Bolivar vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Aug 2026

Bolivar vs São Paulo Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -133

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Bolivar and São Paulo could score a few goals between them and we’re keen to back the -133 when it comes to Over 2.5. This can be wagered with confidence on the Total Goals market and we’re expecting a payout.

Read our in-depth Bolivar vs São Paulo betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Bolivar vs São Paulo Preview

Bolivian Primera División team Bolivar host Brazilian Série A club São Paulo in the first leg of their Copa Sudamericana round of 16 tie, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Tuesday 11 August.

Bolivar reached the knockout stage after finishing third in their Copa Libertadores group before progressing through the Copa Sudamericana knockout play-offs. São Paulo, meanwhile, advanced by winning Group C, two points clear of O'Higgins.

Bolivar, who sit second in the Bolivian Primera División, two points behind Always Ready, secured a 4-2 away victory over Aurora on Sunday.

São Paulo, currently 12th in the Série A, suffered a 2-1 away defeat to Grêmio on Saturday. Dorival Junior's side enjoyed 52% possession and registered five shots on target, with Marcos Antonio scoring their only goal.

In their most recent Copa Sudamericana outings, Bolivar secured a 1-0 away victory over Brazilian Série A club Grêmio to complete a 4-2 aggregate play-off win, while São Paulo beat Uruguayan Primera División side Boston River 2-0 at home in their final group-stage match.

Copa Sudamericana		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	São Paulo	6	3	3	0	6	1	5	6:1	12

Confirmed Lineups

Bolivar confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Carlos Lampe (GK), Jesus Sagredo, Xavier Arreaga, Santiago Echeverria, Jose Sagredo, Robson Matheus, Carlos Melgar, Erwin Saavedra, Patricio Rodriguez, Dairon Asprilla, Martin Cauteruccio.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Lucas Ramon, Robert Arboleda, Domingos Duarte, Iago, Pablo Maia, Newton, Damian Bobadilla, Luciano Neves, Marcos Antonio, Jonathan Calleri.

Main Match Prediction

This Copa Sudamericana tussle provides us with a strong betting angle considering we can wager on Over 2.5 Goals at the available odds of -133. Expect the two teams to run home the goals needed for a return.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Copa Sudamericana matches):

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Bolivar games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Bolivar games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 19 Bolivar games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 São Paulo games on the road.

The Copa Sudamericana experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 57.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you think Over 2.5 Goals is a good option but want bigger odds, then take the Bet Builder route to boost your price. You can cheer on multiple outcomes for the same game.

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Over 2.5 Goals @ -133 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 10, 02:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bolivar 2 - 1 São Paulo

There’s the option to wager on Bolivar to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Odds of +575 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Martín Cauteruccio Over 1.5 Shots On Target +115

Martín Cauteruccio (Bolivar) can be wagered to cover the shots on goal total at +115. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.

Latest Martín Cauteruccio Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+155

First

+400

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

---

Dairon Asprilla To Score +210

Dairon Asprilla (Bolivar) can be wagered at +210 to be on the scoresheet. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Dairon Asprilla Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bolivar vs São Paulo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bolivar are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Copa Sudamericana encounter. The -133 for them coming out on top suggests a 57% probability based on their latest betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, São Paulo are trading at +360.

One Asian Handicap bet involves backing Bolivar -0.75 at -105. If they beat São Paulo by 2+ goals, you get a full payout. You also get a return on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

You can get -116 for the Over 2.5 Goals pick and the same applies to Under 2.5 Goals. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -130.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Copa Sudamericana game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

-133

X

+255

2

+360

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+114

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-357

X2

+102

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+220

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-105

2 Hcp +0.75

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-116

Over 2.5

-116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-130

No

-106

The First Goalscorer favourite is Martín Cauteruccio at +400. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Martín Cauteruccio (Bolivar)

First

+400

Anytime

+155

Dorny Romero (Bolivar)

First

+525

Anytime

+200

Dairon Asprilla (Bolivar)

First

+550

Anytime

+210

Pato Rodríguez (Bolivar)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Leonel Justiniano (Bolivar)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Carlos Melgar (Bolivar)

First

+800

Anytime

+320

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+330

Jhon Velasquez (Bolivar)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Robson Matheus (Bolivar)

First

+900

Anytime

+360

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

John Garcia (Bolivar)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+420

Lucas Chávez (Bolivar)

First

+1050

Anytime

+430

Damián Batallini (Bolivar)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+1500

Anytime

+550

Luis Fernando Paz Vargas (Bolivar)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Ervin Vaca (Bolivar)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Jesús Sagredo (Bolivar)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

José Sagredo (Bolivar)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Escleizon Freita (Bolivar)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Xavier Arreaga (Bolivar)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Dorny Romero (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Dairon Asprilla (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Pato Rodríguez (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Robson Matheus (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Leonel Justiniano (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Melgar (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Jhon Velasquez (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

John Garcia (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Chávez (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Martín Cauteruccio (Bolivar)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Damián Batallini (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Luis Fernando Paz Vargas (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-

Ervin Vaca (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Jesús Sagredo (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

José Sagredo (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Escleizon Freita (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Xavier Arreaga (Bolivar)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Sudamericana and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Bolivar Stats

São Paulo Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Bolivar vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Check the Bolivar vs São Paulo team news before you place your bets. Expect the predicted and confirmed Copa Sudamericana lineups along with timely injury updates.

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