Bologna vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Apr 2026

Europa League Quarter-Final Betting Preview: Bologna vs Aston Villa

Italian Serie A outfit Bologna host Premier League team Aston Villa in the first leg of this Europa League quarter-final at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 9 April.

After weighing everything up, the price of -137 for Under 2.5 Goals looks to be the sensible wager. Neither Bologna or Aston Villa might be prolific and this Total Goals pick provides lots of value.

Bologna head into this match eighth in Serie A with 45 points from 31 games, while Aston Villa sit sixth in the Premier League with 54 points from 31 matches.

Bologna won their last game. It was on their travels where Cremonese were beaten 2-1 at Stadio Giovanni Zini in Serie A. The Emilia-Romagna outfit had most of the ball enjoying 63% possession and seven shots on target, while Joao Mario and Jonathan Rowe scored one goal each.

Villa claimed a 2-0 Premier League home victory over West Ham United at Villa Park in their previous game. Unai Emery's side enjoyed 59% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with John McGinn and Ollie Watkins on the scoresheet.

In the Europa League round of 16, Bologna secured a 4-3 extra-time away win after a 3-3 draw in normal time in the second leg against Roma (5-4 on aggregate), while Villa claimed a 3-0 aggregate victory over LOSC Lille.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa came out on top when the teams last met, securing a 1-0 home win over Bologna at Villa Park in the league phase in September.

Europa League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Aston Villa	8	7	0	1	14	6	8	14:6	21
10	Bologna	8	4	3	1	14	7	7	14:7	15

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. Bologna have had 52.3% possession, 439.8 passes and 5.1 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.9 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.

Top scorers are Jonathan Rowe and Federico Bernardeschi on 3 goals, while Joao Mario has racked up 2. Leading assistors have been Juan Miranda and Jonathan Rowe with 2, while goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski has 5 clean sheets.

Villa have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 13.7 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.1% possession, 475.3 passes, 5.7 corners in their favour and 4.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 11.2 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

John McGinn and Ollie Watkins top the team’s scoring charts on 2 goals, with Leon Bailey on 1. Jadon Sancho is top assists provider with 3, while Emiliano Martinez has kept 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Bologna confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Federico Ravaglia (GK), Joao Mario, Jhon Lucumi, Torbjoern Lysaker Heggem, Juan Miranda, Lewis Ferguson, Remo Freuler, Tommaso Pobega, Federico Bernardeschi, Santiago Castro, Jonathan Rowe.

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Bologna vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

Approach Bologna vs Aston Villa fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, best corners advice, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 in the first leg. This wager gives us the opportunity to land odds of -137 and we feel confident of securing a return.

When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Europa League stats that can also help to shape our picks.

Key Bologna vs Aston Villa Europa League & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Bologna games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Bologna games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Bologna games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Villa games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Villa games.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 57.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you want to land a larger price, then there’s a chance to choose Under 2.5 Goals accompanied by a winning team. This is on offer thanks to the Result & Total Goals market.

Our quick-access guide helps you unlock the best betting offers, generous promos, and the freshest free bets today.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -137 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 7, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bologna 1 - 1 Aston Villa

We’re sweet on the prospect of a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +440. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Federico Bernardeschi Over 1.5 Shots +115

Federico Bernardeschi (Bologna) has totalled over 1.5 shots in three straight games. Out of the prop bets currently on offer, we’re opting for the +115 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.

Latest Federico Bernardeschi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+950

Shots

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

---

John McGinn to Score +540

John McGinn (Villa) has registered two goals in his past four games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +540.

Latest John McGinn Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1200

Shots

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Bologna Over 4.5 Corners -116

It’s been an average of 6.90 corners for Bologna in their past 10 home games, with Aston Villa conceding over 4.5 corners in the previous three matches. There’s a chance to go over the Bologna Team Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -116 on offer.

Europa League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bologna

Total

9.70 5.10 4.60

Home

9.80 6.90 2.90

Away

9.30 4.00 5.30

Aston Villa

Total

10.40 5.70 4.70

Home

10.10 5.90 4.20

Away

9.30 4.50 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-128

Bologna Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-114

Aston Villa Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-135

Most Corners

1

-110

X

+600

2

+115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bologna vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of +108 suggest that Aston Villa are likely victors and there’s a 48% probability that the favourites win this Europa League quarter-final. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +265 for Bologna.

If Villa only draw with Bologna, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at -128 if they’re able to land a victory.

A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, in terms of price, there’s not much to split Yes and No.

Europa League games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

+265

X

+230

2

+108

Half-Time Result

1

+310

X

+112

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-141

12

-313

X2

-370

Draw No Bet

1

+148

2

-217

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

+102

2 Hcp -0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-135

Over 2.5

+107

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-108

The First Goalscorer favourite is Ollie Watkins at +480, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+200

Anytime

+480

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Santiago Castro (Bologna)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Federico Bernardeschi (Bologna)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Ross Barkley (Villa)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Thijs Dallinga (Bologna)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Leon Bailey (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Jonathan Rowe (Bologna)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Nicolo Cambiaghi (Bologna)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Benjamín Domínguez (Bologna)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Jens Odgaard (Bologna)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Simon Sohm (Bologna)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Tommaso Pobega (Bologna)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Lewis Ferguson (Bologna)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Nikola Moro (Bologna)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Nadir Zortea (Bologna)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Castro (Bologna)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Thijs Dallinga (Bologna)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Jens Odgaard (Bologna)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Jonathan Rowe (Bologna)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Nicolo Cambiaghi (Bologna)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Ross Barkley (Villa)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Federico Bernardeschi (Bologna)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna)

Over 1.5

-217

Under 1.5

-

Leon Bailey (Villa)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Simon Sohm (Bologna)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Tommaso Pobega (Bologna)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Ferguson (Bologna)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Nikola Moro (Bologna)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Nadir Zortea (Bologna)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Bologna Stats

Aston Villa Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 55.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Bologna vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

The Bologna vs Villa team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Europa League along with up-to-date injury news.

Top Football Pages