Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Sep 2026
Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Predictions
Paderborn +2 on the Asian Handicap looks like a value wager. A two-goal safety net at -125 means a payout if the underdogs win, draw or lose by one goal against Dortmund. Stakes are returned if they lose by exactly two.
Continue reading for our full Dortmund vs Paderborn betting analysis, outlining the core arguments for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Preview
Borussia Dortmund square off against Paderborn at Signal Iduna Park, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 12 September.
Borussia Dortmund have won two league games on the spin, triumphing 3-2 in their previous Bundesliga encounter. This was on their travels against Hoffenheim at PreZero Arena. BVB managed four shots on target and recorded 40% possession, while Serhou Guirassy, Fabio Silva and Albian Hajdari (own goal) scored one goal each.
On Tuesday night, Dortmund claimed a 3-2 Champions League victory at home to Villarreal.
Paderborn lost when last in action. In a home game at Home Deluxe Arena, they were turned over 1-0 by Freiburg. Ralf Kettemann's side boasted 59% possession and recorded three shots on goal.
H2H: BVB Extra Time Victory in Last Head-to-Head
Dortmund have claimed victories in the last two clashes against Paderborn. There was a 3-2 in extra time home victory at Signal Iduna Park after a 6-1 away success at Home Deluxe Arena. Aside from one draw, Dortmund have dominated the previous 3 H2H meetings with two wins.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Dortmund |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Paderborn |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0:1 | 1 |
Dortmund have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 2.0 goals from 13.3 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. Niko Kovac's men have averaged 51.9% possession, 475.4 passes and 4.4 corners per game, conceding 1.0 goals and 3.5 corners from 10.6 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.
Top goalscorer Serhou Guirassy has found the net 7 times, with Ramy Bensebaini and Fabio Silva scoring 3 and 2 respectively. Maximilian Beier and Julian Ryerson are the leading assists makers with 3, while goalie Gregor Kobel has kept 4 clean sheets.
Paderborn have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.4 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. The Black and Blues average 48.8% possession, 5.1 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 11.9 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Filip Bilbija on 6, followed by Laurin Curda and Stefano Marino with 2. Raphael Obermair and Calvin Brackelmann have been top assists providers with 2, while Nahuel Noll has kept one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Borussia Dortmund predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Gregor Kobel (GK), Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, Luca Reggiani, Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Konstantinos Karetsas, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy.
Paderborn predicted lineup (3-3-2-2): Nahuel Noll (GK), Jano ter Horst, Tjark Scheller, Mattes Hansen, Laurin Curda, Santiago Castaneda, Raphael Obermair, Laurin Ulrich, Gabriel Vidovic, Marvin Pieringer, Rayan Philippe.
Main Match Prediction
There’s a compelling case for betting Paderborn +2 on the Asian Handicap. A bright display is anticipated when it comes to this Bundesliga showdown and a price of -125 is appealing.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Sportsgambler.com boast Bundesliga expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
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Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Paderborn
Let’s take a chance on the +650 available that Dortmund secure a 2-1 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Konstantinos Karetsas (Dortmund) can be wagered to have one or more shots on goal at -154. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.
Laurin Curda (Paderborn) has racked up two goals in his past ten league matches. We’re content to land the +750 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 6.5 corners line has not been covered by Dortmund in their past nine games, while Paderborn have conceded 4.20 corners on average in their last 10 matches. We’re backing Dortmund to fall short when it comes to Team Corners and this pick is on offer at -118.
Dortmund
Paderborn
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our same-game multi, try Paderborn with an Asian Handicap of +2, Yes on the BTTS market combined with Konstantinos Karetsas (Dortmund) to have one or more shots on target.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Borussia Dortmund have been priced up as the overwhelming -455 favourites for this Bundesliga clash. This means the bookies give them a 82% chance of claiming victory. Paderborn are regarded as a long shot to win and you can back them at +1050.
If you fancy Dortmund to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -167. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Paderborn at +650 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +200.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -132.
If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Bundesliga game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.
Those interested in Sehrou Guirassy to find the net anytime are able to get -156. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +260.
Stats: League matches only
Dortmund have landed three straight wins at Signal Iduna Park. BVB have recorded eight victories and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.60 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Paderborn haven’t tasted defeat in three consecutive away matches. Ralf Kettemann's side have clocked up five draws, three victories and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.10.
When Dortmund last played Paderborn at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund won 3-2 in extra-time (2-2 after 90 mins).
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund Home Stats |
8-0-2 | 3.80 | 2.60 | 1.20 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | |
| Paderborn Away Stats |
3-5-2 | 2.20 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Borussia Dortmund League Stats
Paderborn League Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 2.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
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Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Dortmund vs Paderborn without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Borussia Dortmund Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Paderborn Predicted Lineup 3-3-2-2
Borussia Dortmund Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Paderborn Predicted Lineup 3-3-2-2
Previous Borussia Dortmund Lineups
Previous Paderborn Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Borussia Dortmund Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Niko Kovac
Paderborn Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augsburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 5 | Mainz 05 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 4 |
| 6 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Leverkusen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 8 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Frankfurt | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 14 | Schalke 04 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Union Berlin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 17 | B. M'gladbach | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:7 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 12 | Mainz 05 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 | Schalke 04 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 14 | B. M'gladbach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 16 | Paderborn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Frankfurt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
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