Botafogo vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Sep 2026

Botafogo vs Grêmio Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -110

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The top wager for this Botafogo vs Grêmio contest could involve a Total Goals pick. Our opinion is that Under 2.5 looks too good to miss based on the latest stats and the price of -110 stands out.

Continue reading for our complete Botafogo vs Grêmio betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Botafogo vs Grêmio Preview

Botafogo square off against Grêmio, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Wednesday 16 September.

Botafogo faced Red Bull Bragantino at home when last in action. It was a 1-1 draw. Rodrigo Bellao's team had six shots on target and enjoyed 64% possession, with Vitinho bagging the goal.

Grêmio have lost their previous four away games. Their latest contest was a 2-1 home defeat to Vasco da Gama. The Immortal Tricolor had 51% possession and five shots on goal, with Mathias Villasanti on the scoresheet.

H2H: Grêmio 5-3 Win in Previous Head-to-Head Encounter

Grêmio triumphed 5-3 at home when they last played Botafogo. Grêmio have landed victory in five of the past 10 H2H games, with Botafogo securing three wins along with two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Botafogo	26	8	8	10	38	41	-3	38:41	32
16	Grêmio	26	7	7	12	28	35	-7	28:35	28

View Full Table

Botafogo have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 17.6 attempts. The Rio de Janeiro outfit have averaged 46.0% possession and 5.6 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.2 goals from 5.8 shots on goal, 15.8 attempts and 5.9 corners.

Top scorer Santiago Rodriguez has found the net 2 times, with Vitinho, Alex Telles, Gabriel Justino and Lucas Emanuel getting 1 goals each. Alex Telles has recorded the most assists with 2.

Grêmio have won 3, lost 6 and drawn 1, averaging 3.9 shots on goal, 11.4 attempts and 1.2 goals. Luis Castro's men average 49.7% possession, 5.2 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 18.7 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Gustavo Martins and Cristian Pavon both have 2. Cristian Pavon has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Botafogo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Batista (GK), Vitinho, Arthur Chaves, Lucas Monzón, Alex Telles, Huguinho, Danilo, Lucas Villalba, Alvaro Montoro, Júnior Santos, Arthur Cabral.

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Diego Caito, Wallace, Walter Kannemann, Caio Paulista, Erick Noriega, Mathías Villasanti, Cristian Pavón, Filip Krovinović, Jovane Cabral, Carlos Vinícius.

Main Match Prediction

We hope you agree with our verdict of a low-scoring encounter, with an opportunity to back the -110 for the Under 2.5 Goals selection. We are not anticipating this Série A clash to yield goals.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Botafogo games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Botafogo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Botafogo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Grêmio games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Grêmio games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Grêmio games on the road.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Série A team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to secure bigger odds, then there’s an opportunity to select Under 2.5 Goals along with one of the teams to win. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.

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Under 2.5 Goals @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 15, 00:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Botafogo 1 - 0 Grêmio

Botafogo can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +650 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pereira Da Silva Danilo Over 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Pereira Da Silva Danilo (Botafogo) is available at -159 to have at least one shot on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.

Latest Pereira Da Silva Danilo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

---

Arthur Cabral to Score +190

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo) has netted four goals in his past seven Série A games on home soil. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +190 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Arthur Cabral Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 3.5

+107

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Botafogo vs Grêmio Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Botafogo are available at -135 to come away with a triumph in this Série A clash, meaning a 57% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Grêmio are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +375.

Botafogo -0.75 at -105 means you split your Asian Handicap stake between -0.5 and -1. You ideally want a win by two goals or more against Grêmio, although a one-goal victory means a half-stake return and a refund with the other half.

You’re able to back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at roughly the same price right now. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -133.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Série A matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-135

X

+250

2

+375

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+128

2

+380

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-357

X2

+104

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+225

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-105

2 Hcp +0.75

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-103

There is +190 available that Arthur Cabral finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +480.

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

First

+480

Anytime

+190

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

First

+550

Anytime

+220

Pereira Da Silva Danilo (Botafogo)

First

+550

Anytime

+220

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

First

+575

Anytime

+220

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+240

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Botafogo)

First

+650

Anytime

+260

Edenilson (Botafogo)

First

+700

Anytime

+280

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+320

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+370

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+390

Victor Hugo (Botafogo)

First

+1050

Anytime

+400

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+430

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+1150

Anytime

+450

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Cristian Medina (Botafogo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Marques Allan (Botafogo)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Paulinho (Botafogo)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Arthur Chaves (Botafogo)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Victor Vitinho (Botafogo)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Lucas Monzón (Botafogo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Gabriel Justino (Botafogo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Fernando Marçal (Botafogo)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Pereira Da Silva Danilo (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Edenilson (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Medina (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-

Paulinho (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Marques Allan (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Chaves (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Victor Vitinho (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Justino (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Monzón (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Marçal (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

Over 3.5

+107

Under 3.5

-

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Pereira Da Silva Danilo (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Medina (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Edenilson (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Marques Allan (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Paulinho (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Chaves (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Victor Vitinho (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Monzón (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Justino (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Marçal (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Botafogo vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Botafogo vs Grêmio team news. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest injury reports.

Botafogo Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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