Botafogo vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Sep 2026

Botafogo vs Grêmio Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -110

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The top wager for this Botafogo vs Grêmio contest could involve a Total Goals pick. Our opinion is that Under 2.5 looks too good to miss based on the latest stats and the price of -110 stands out.

Continue reading for our complete Botafogo vs Grêmio betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Botafogo vs Grêmio Preview

Botafogo square off against Grêmio, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Wednesday 16 September.

Botafogo faced Red Bull Bragantino at home when last in action. It was a 1-1 draw. Rodrigo Bellao's team had six shots on target and enjoyed 64% possession, with Vitinho bagging the goal.

Grêmio have lost their previous four away games. Their latest contest was a 2-1 home defeat to Vasco da Gama. The Immortal Tricolor had 51% possession and five shots on goal, with Mathias Villasanti on the scoresheet.

H2H: Grêmio 5-3 Win in Previous Head-to-Head Encounter

Grêmio triumphed 5-3 at home when they last played Botafogo. Grêmio have landed victory in five of the past 10 H2H games, with Botafogo securing three wins along with two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Botafogo	29	9	8	12	42	47	-5	42:47	35
18	Grêmio	29	7	9	13	31	39	-8	31:39	30

View Full Table

Botafogo have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 17.6 attempts. The Rio de Janeiro outfit have averaged 46.0% possession and 5.6 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.2 goals from 5.8 shots on goal, 15.8 attempts and 5.9 corners.

Top scorer Santiago Rodriguez has found the net 2 times, with Vitinho, Alex Telles, Gabriel Justino and Lucas Emanuel getting 1 goals each. Alex Telles has recorded the most assists with 2.

Grêmio have won 3, lost 6 and drawn 1, averaging 3.9 shots on goal, 11.4 attempts and 1.2 goals. Luis Castro's men average 49.7% possession, 5.2 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 18.7 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Gustavo Martins and Cristian Pavon both have 2. Cristian Pavon has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Botafogo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Batista (GK), Vitinho, Arthur Chaves, Lucas Monzon, Alex Telles, Huguinho, Danilo, Edenilson, Junior Santos, Alvaro Montoro, Arthur Cabral.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Diego Caito, Gustavo Martins, Wallace, Caio Paulista, Erick Noriega, Mathias Villasanti, Cristian Pavon, Filip Krovinovic, Jovane Cabral, Carlos Vinicius.

Main Match Prediction

We hope you agree with our verdict of a low-scoring encounter, with an opportunity to back the -110 for the Under 2.5 Goals selection. We are not anticipating this Série A clash to yield goals.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Botafogo games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Botafogo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Botafogo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Grêmio games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Grêmio games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Grêmio games on the road.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Série A team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to secure bigger odds, then there’s an opportunity to select Under 2.5 Goals along with one of the teams to win. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.

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Under 2.5 Goals @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 15, 00:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Botafogo 1 - 0 Grêmio

Botafogo can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +700 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pereira Da Silva Danilo Over 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Pereira Da Silva Danilo (Botafogo) is available at -159 to have at least one shot on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.

Latest Pereira Da Silva Danilo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

---

Arthur Cabral to Score +190

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo) has netted four goals in his past seven Série A games on home soil. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +190 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Arthur Cabral Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Botafogo vs Grêmio Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Botafogo are available at -147 to come away with a triumph in this Série A clash, meaning a 60% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Grêmio are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +370.

Botafogo -0.75 at -115 means you split your Asian Handicap stake between -0.5 and -1. You ideally want a win by two goals or more against Grêmio, although a one-goal victory means a half-stake return and a refund with the other half.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -156.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Série A matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-147

X

+275

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+118

X

+138

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-400

X2

+112

Draw No Bet

1

-385

2

+235

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-115

2 Hcp +0.75

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+116

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-156

No

+112

There is +170 available that Arthur Cabral finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +480.

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

First

+480

Anytime

+170

Pereira Da Silva Danilo (Botafogo)

First

+550

Anytime

+200

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

First

+550

Anytime

+200

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

First

+575

Anytime

+200

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+220

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Botafogo)

First

+650

Anytime

+230

Edenilson (Botafogo)

First

+700

Anytime

+260

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+300

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+330

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+360

Victor Hugo (Botafogo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+360

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

First

+950

Anytime

+370

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+1100

Anytime

+400

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Cristian Medina (Botafogo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

First

+1700

Anytime

+600

Marques Allan (Botafogo)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Paulinho (Botafogo)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Victor Vitinho (Botafogo)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Arthur Chaves (Botafogo)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Gabriel Justino (Botafogo)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Lucas Monzón (Botafogo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Mateo Ponte (Botafogo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Anthony Wesley Ciriano Oliveira (Botafogo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Fernando Marçal (Botafogo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Pereira Da Silva Danilo (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Edenilson (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Medina (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-

Marques Allan (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Paulinho (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Victor Vitinho (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Chaves (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Justino (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Monzón (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Ponte (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Marçal (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Anthony Wesley Ciriano Oliveira (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-

Pereira Da Silva Danilo (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Edenilson (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Medina (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Marques Allan (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Paulinho (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Victor Vitinho (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Chaves (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Justino (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Monzón (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Ponte (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Anthony Wesley Ciriano Oliveira (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Marçal (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Botafogo vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Botafogo vs Grêmio team news. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest injury reports.

Botafogo Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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