AFC Bournemouth
Football England - Premier League Vitality Stadium Sat 31 Oct 11:00
Leeds United
  1. Predictions
  2. Preview
  3. Odds
  4. Stats
  5. Team News
  6. Lineups
  7. Injuries
  8. Squads
  9. Table

Bournemouth vs Leeds Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -104

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We Think Under 2.5 Goals is the Value Bet

The Total Goals market offers us the opportunity to back our Under 2.5 Goals prediction. Bournemouth and Leeds might play out a fairly dull encounter and odds of -104 stick out on the coupon.

Continue below for our full Bournemouth vs Leeds betting breakdown, where you can read the complete analysis of our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Bournemouth vs Leeds Preview

Bournemouth meet Leeds at Vitality Stadium, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Saturday 31 October.

Bournemouth have won back-to-back Premier League games. The latest was on their travels where Manchester United were beaten 3-0 at Old Trafford. The Dorset club recorded just 38% possession and had four shots on target, while Rayan, Marcus Tavernier and Evanilson scored one goal each.

On Wednesday night, Bournemouth landed a 3-0 win at home to Aston Villa in the EFL Cup.

Leeds United played Sunderland away at Stadium of Light in their previous game, ending in a 0-0 draw. Daniel Farke's team were 49% in the possession stakes and recorded three shots on goal.

H2H: 2-2 Draw When Teams Last Met

Bournemouth have gone unbeaten in their past three games against Leeds, with the last encounter ending 2-2 at Vitality Stadium. The 4 previous H2H meetings have involved two draws, while Bournemouth and Leeds have both triumphed once.

Premier League G W D L GF GA GD GD P
7 Leeds logo Leeds 8 2 5 1 9 6 3 9:6 11
13 Bournemouth logo Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 12 13 -1 12:13 9
View Full Table
Bournemouth – Last 10 League Games

2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts. Bournemouth have had 49.0% possession, 426.4 passes and 4.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.4 corners.

Players to Watch

Marcus Tavernier is the top goalscorer with 6, Evanilson has 3, with Rayan and two other players on 1. Evanilson is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalkeeper Djordje Petrovic keeping 2 clean sheets.

Leeds United – Last 10 League Games

Leeds have 3 victories, 2 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 11.6 attempts, 3.6 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. The Whites average 47.3% possession, 375.8 passes, 4.4 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts.

Players to Watch

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, while James Justin, Noah Okafor, Jayden Bogle and Anton Stach have 1. Tarik Muharemovic is top assists provider with 2, while James Trafford and Karl Darlow have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Bournemouth predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Djordje Petrovic (GK), Adam Smith, James Hill, Antonio Silva, Adrien Truffert, Tyler Adams, Lewis Cook, Rayan, Justin Kluivert, Marcus Tavernier, Evanilson.

Leeds predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): James Trafford (GK), James Justin, Jaka Bijol, Tarik Muharemovic, Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Harry Wilson, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

Main Match Prediction

We could be set for a low-scoring Premier League encounter. We will therefore bet on Under 2.5 which can be backed at an eye-catching price of -104, with defences set to be on top for the most part.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Bournemouth games at home.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Bournemouth games at home.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Bournemouth games at home.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Leeds games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Leeds games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Leeds games.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Premier League action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Under 2.5 Probability

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 51% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

One alternative option is to combine Under 2.5 Goals with other picks if you want a bigger price. A Bet Builder provides lots of flexibility and allows you to combine different selections.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Under 2.5 Goals @ -104 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 29, 17:29). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 17:29, 29 October 2026

Correct Score Prediction

Bournemouth Bournemouth logo 1 - 1 Leeds logo Leeds

There are odds of +525 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ao Tanaka Over 0.5 Shots On Target +230 BetMGM logo

Ao Tanaka (Leeds) has recorded a minimum of one shot on goal in three consecutive Premier League matches. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Shots on Target line at odds of +230.

Latest Ao Tanaka Player Prop Odds

Marcus Tavernier to Score +300 BetMGM logo

Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth) has netted six goals in his past ten Premier League games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +300 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Marcus Tavernier Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -119 BetMGM logo

It’s been six consecutive Bournemouth matches where 9.5 corners has not been covered, while the same outcome has happened in four  straight Leeds games. There’s a chance to go under the Total Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -119 available.

League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Bournemouth Logo Bournemouth
Total
9.10 4.70 4.40
Home
9.90 6.30 3.60
Away
10.00 3.90 6.10
Leeds Logo Leeds
Total
9.10 4.40 4.70
Home
9.10 5.30 3.80
Away
10.70 3.30 7.40
Latest Corner Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bet Builder Tips

Total Goals Under 2.5 -104
Full-Time Result Draw +250
Shots On Target Ao Tanaka Over 0.5 +230

If you want to try a bet builder, have a play on less than three goals in total, the match to be drawn and also Ao Tanaka (Leeds) to finish with at minimum of one shot on target.

A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bournemouth vs Leeds Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bournemouth Full-Time Odds Suggest Victory

Bournemouth are the shortest price to win this Premier League clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 48% probability due to their +108 betting odds. If you’re interested in wagering Leeds United, you can get +250 for the underdog.

For those wanting some insurance backing Bournemouth, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s -130 that they manage to beat Leeds on this market.

The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -152 on the Both Teams to Score market.

Hundreds of markets for every Premier League match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Eli Junior Kroupi is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Eli Junior Kroupi is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +450, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Player Goals
Eli Junior Kroupi (Bournemouth)
First
+450
Anytime
+185
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Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)
First
+500
Anytime
+190
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Evanilson Barbosa (Bournemouth)
First
+500
Anytime
+205
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Rayan Vitor (Bournemouth)
First
+550
Anytime
+230
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Player Shots On Target
Evanilson Barbosa (Bournemouth)
Over 0.5
-278
Under 0.5
-
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Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)
Over 0.5
-250
Under 0.5
-
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Rayan Vitor (Bournemouth)
Over 0.5
-244
Under 0.5
-
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Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth)
Over 0.5
-167
Under 0.5
-
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Player Shots
Eli Junior Kroupi (Bournemouth)
Over 3.5
+105
Under 3.5
-
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Evanilson Barbosa (Bournemouth)
Over 3.5
+120
Under 3.5
-
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Rayan Vitor (Bournemouth)
Over 3.5
+130
Under 3.5
-
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Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)
Over 2.5
-159
Under 2.5
-
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Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Vitality Stadium
Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth Have Seven Draws from Past Ten Home Games

Stats: Last 10 Premier League matches only.
Bournemouth have racked up seven draws, two wins and one loss in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Leeds have not triumphed in three straight away matches. Daniel Farke's team have racked up six draws, two wins and two losses in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Bournemouth and Leeds played out a 2-2 draw when the teams last met at Vitality Stadium.

Last 10 League Games W-D-L G GF GA O2.5 U2.5 B-Y B-No
Bournemouth logo Bournemouth Home Stats 2-7-1 2.40 1.40 1.00 4 6 6 4
Leeds logo Leeds Away Stats 2-6-2 2.00 0.90 1.10 4 6 6 4
  • W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
  • G = Avg. Goals
  • GF = Avg. Goals For
  • GA = Avg. Goals Against
  • O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
  • U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
  • B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
  • B-No = Matches BTTS No
Team Stats
Bournemouth logo Bournemouth League Stats
Leeds logo Leeds League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 2 wins, 1 defeat and 7 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists

Bournemouth vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

Bournemouth Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1

Leeds Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1

Bournemouth Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1

1 Djordje Petrovic
15 Adam Smith 5 James Hill 14 Antonio Silva 3 Adrien Truffert
12 Tyler Adams 4 Lewis Cook
37 Rayan 19 Justin Kluivert 16 Marcus Tavernier
9 Evanilson
1 James Trafford
24 James Justin 15 Jaka Bijol 5 Tarik Muharemovic
2 Jayden Bogle 4 Ethan Ampadu 22 Ao Tanaka 3 Gabriel Gudmundsson
10 Harry Wilson 11 Brenden Aaronson
9 D. Calvert-Lewin

Leeds Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1

Previous Bournemouth Lineups

28 Oct EFL Cup
Bournemouth 3-0 Aston Villa
25 Oct Premier League
Man United 0-3 Bournemouth
22 Oct Europa League
Bournemouth 3-0 AC Milan
18 Oct Premier League
Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland
15 Oct Europa League
Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz
10 Oct Premier League
Chelsea 5-1 Bournemouth

Previous Leeds Lineups

25 Oct Premier League
Sunderland 0-0 Leeds
18 Oct Premier League
Leeds 1-1 Man United
10 Oct Premier League
Arsenal 2-1 Leeds
20 Sep Premier League
Leeds 0-0 Crystal Palace
14 Sep Premier League
Leeds 4-1 Newcastle
09 Sep EFL Cup
Chelsea 6-3 Leeds

Injuries & Suspensions

Bournemouth Injury Table
Type Name Info
Alex Scott Thigh
Alex Toth Thigh
Veljko Milosavljevic Knee
Julian Araujo Thigh
Leeds Injury Table
Type Name Info
Nico Elvedi Illness
Daniel James Low back
Joe Rodon Thigh
Mateo Joseph Ankle
Team Squads

Bournemouth Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Marco Rose

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Antonio Silva 14 D 8 720 8 0 0 0 3 0
Djordje Petrovic 1 G 8 720 8 0 0 0 0 0
James Hill 5 D 8 720 8 0 0 0 1 0
Adrien Truffert 3 D 8 713 8 0 0 1 2 0
Rayan 37 F 8 702 8 0 1 0 0 0

Leeds Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Daniel Farke

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Ethan Ampadu 4 M 8 720 8 0 0 0 3 0
James Trafford 1 G 8 720 8 0 0 0 0 0
Tarik Muharemovic 5 D 8 720 8 0 0 2 1 0
James Justin 24 D 8 708 8 0 1 1 1 0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 9 F 8 683 8 0 4 0 3 0
England FlagPremier League Table
Premier League Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Man City 8 7 0 1 20:9 21
2 Arsenal 8 7 0 1 13:5 21
3 Brighton 8 5 1 2 23:7 16
4 Liverpool 8 4 3 1 11:8 15
5 Chelsea 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
6 Brentford 8 2 5 1 14:9 11
7 Leeds 8 2 5 1 9:6 11
8 Newcastle 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
10 Hull 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Everton 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
12 Ipswich 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
13 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
14 Tottenham 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
15 Fulham 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
16 Man United 8 1 4 3 10:13 7
17 Crystal Palace 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
18 Nott’m Forest 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Coventry 8 2 0 6 6:15 6
20 Sunderland 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Man City 4 4 0 0 11:6 12
3 Brighton 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
4 Brentford 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
5 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
6 Everton 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Ipswich 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
8 Leeds 4 1 3 0 6:3 6
9 Hull 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
10 Bournemouth 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
11 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
12 Liverpool 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
13 Fulham 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
14 Man United 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
15 Aston Villa 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
16 Tottenham 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
17 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
18 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
19 Coventry 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
20 Nott’m Forest 4 0 1 3 0:3 1

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