Brazil vs Japan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Jun 2026
Brazil vs Japan Predictions
We’ll back Brazil with a fair degree of confidence when they clash with Japan. At betting odds of -152 on the Full-Time Result market, this looks a value pick and we expect a return.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Brazil vs Japan, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Brazil vs Japan Preview
Brazil square off against Japan in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 at Houston Stadium (NRG Stadium), with kick-off set for 13:00 on Monday 29 June.
Houston Stadium, featuring a closed retractable roof on match day, will manage conditions to beat the summer heat. Outside temperatures are expected to be around 33°C (91°F) at kick-off, while the temperature inside the stadium will be at a comfortable 22°C (72°F).
Brazil topped Group C on goal difference ahead of Morocco after both teams collected seven points. The Selecao opened their campaign with a 1-1 draw against Morocco before beating Haiti 3-0.
Carlo Ancelotti's side then secured top spot with a 3-0 victory over Scotland at Miami Stadium. Brazil enjoyed 54% possession and registered nine shots on target, with Vinicius Junior scoring twice and Matheus Cunha also getting on the scoresheet.
Japan finished second in Group F on five points, two behind group winners the Netherlands. Hajime Moriyasu's men began with a 2-2 draw against the Dutch before cruising to a 4-0 victory over Tunisia.
The Samurai Blue rounded off the group stage with a 1-1 draw against Sweden at Dallas Stadium. Japan had 52% possession and registered three shots on target, with Daizen Maeda scoring their only goal.
Japan Claimed First Win Over Brazil in 2025
The teams have met 14 times, with Brazil recording 11 wins, Japan claiming one victory and two matches ending in draws. Their most recent meeting came in a friendly at Tokyo Stadium in October 2025, when Japan won 3-2.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brazil |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 |  Japan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7:3 | 5 |
5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 9.6 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. Brazil have had 56.1% possession and 4.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 8.7 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal, while earning 3.8 corners.
Vinicius Junior leads the way with 6 goals, Matheus Cunha has 4, with Estevao and two others on 1. Bruno Guimaraes has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Alisson Becker has 2 clean sheets.
Japan have 1 victory and 2 draws, averaging 9.7 attempts, 3.7 shots on goal and 2.3 goals. The Samurai Blue average 51.3% possession, 438.3 passes, 3.7 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts.
Daichi Kamada and Ayase Ueda have scored 2, followed by Daizen Maeda with 1. Ritsu Doan, Ko Itakura and Keito Nakamura have had 1 assists in the last 3 games, while Zion Suzuki has one clean sheet to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Brazil confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Alisson Becker (GK), Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Douglas Santos, Bruno Guimaraes, Casemiro, Lucas Paqueta, Rayan, Matheus Cunha, Vinicius Junior.
Japan confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Zion Suzuki (GK), Takehiro Tomiyasu, Shogo Taniguchi, Hiroki Ito, Ritsu Doan, Kaishu Sano, Daichi Kamada, Keito Nakamura, Junya Ito, Daizen Maeda, Ayase Ueda.
Main Match Prediction
We’re confident with our selection of Brazil to land a victory, with odds of -152 looking really generous. We think they have the ability to claim a win in this Round of 32 game.
We have been impressed by Brazil's performances so far and both the underlying statistics and xG data support our view. The Selecao have created plenty of chances while remaining solid defensively, making them worthy favourites here.
Japan have performed admirably, but the absence of key players such as Takefusa Kubo and Wataru Endo leaves them looking vulnerable. We expect Brazil's superior quality to shine through and are backing them to get the job done.
We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the World Cup action.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 60.2% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you think Brazil will win and keep a clean sheet, there is the opportunity to back them to win + Both Teams to Score No at a bigger price than the Full-Time Result selection.
Smart bettors check the promos first. Browse our updated guide for the best welcome bonuses available today.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Japan
You can secure odds of +650 that Brazil are able to land a 2-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.
Player Prop Picks
Vinicius Junior (Brazil) can be backed at +107 to cover the shots on goal line. We’ll have a play when it comes to this Shots on Target selection as the betting odds look appealing.
Matheus Cunha (Brazil) can be backed to be among the goals at +185. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi which has the following: Brazil to succeed, two or less goals to be registered together with Vinicius Junior (Brazil) to manage over 1.5 shots on target.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Brazil vs Japan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Brazil are the shortest price to win this World Cup clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 57% probability due to their -135 betting odds. Japan are seen as the most unlikely winner at +390.
There’s -105 when it comes to Brazil -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Japan lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.
If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -114 and No at -122.
Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every World Cup match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.
Those interested in Vinicius Junior to find the net anytime can get +140, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +360.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Brazil Stats
Japan Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 2.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.67 corners awarded and 5.33 corners conceded in the last 3 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 2 away matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 3 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 2 away matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 2 of the last 3 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 1 of the last 2 away matches
- An average of 56.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
Brazil vs Japan Lineups & Team News
The Brazil vs Japan team news could change everything — review it before betting. Expect the predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups along with timely injury updates.
Brazil Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Japan Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Brazil Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Japan Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Brazil Substitutes
- 2Ederson
- 6Alex Sandro
- 10Neymar
- 12Weverton
- 14Gleison Bremer
- 15Leo Pereira
- 17Fabinho
- 18Danilo
- 19Endrick
- 21Luiz Henrique
- 22Gabriel Martinelli
- 24Roger Ibanez
- 25Igor Thiago
Japan Substitutes
- 2Yukinari Sugawara
- 4Ko Itakura
- 5Yuto Nagatomo
- 6Shuto Machino
- 7Ao Tanaka
- 8Takefusa Kubo
- 9Keisuke Goto
- 12Keisuke Osako
- 16Tsuyoshi Watanabe
- 17Yuito Suzuki
- 19Koki Ogawa
- 20Ayumu Seko
- 23Tomoki Hayakawa
- 25Junnosuke Suzuki
- 26Kento Shiogai
Previous Brazil Lineups
Previous Japan Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Brazil Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Carlo Ancelotti
Japan Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
Predictions
18:00 - Wed 12 Aug
Copa Sudamericana
Bragantino
Atlético Mineiro
Predictions
18:00 - Wed 12 Aug
Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteño
Predictions
20:00 - Wed 12 Aug
WNBA
Toronto Tempo
Dallas Wings
Predictions
20:30 - Wed 12 Aug
Copa Libertadores
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Predictions
20:30 - Wed 12 Aug
Copa Sudamericana
Santa Fe
River Plate
Predictions
Where to Bet on Football Games
Where to Trade Football Games
Availability varies by jurisdiction. Some platforms featured may not be accessible in your location. Please check the relevant review page for details.
Top Football Pages
- Football Predictions
- Football Lineups
- Football Injuries
- Football Fixtures
- Football Standings
- Football Transfer News
- Football Live Streaming
- Football Betting Sites
- Football Betting Explained
- FIFA World Cup Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Predictions
- Premier League Predictions
- La Liga Predictions
- Serie A Predictions
- Bundesliga Predictions