Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2026

Brighton vs Aston Villa Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Brighton To Win @ +123

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We’ve identified a value bet in the form of Brighton who are trading at odds of +123. There’s plenty of juice in the price when it comes to this Full-Time Result selection and they can beat Aston Villa.

Take a closer look at our complete Brighton vs Aston Villa betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Brighton vs Aston Villa Preview

Brighton welcome Aston Villa to American Express Stadium, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 23 August.

Fabian Hurzeler's Brighton have made several additions to their squad this summer, with centre-backs Luka Vuskovic and Pascal Struijk and right-winger Zadok Yohanna among their leading arrivals. There has also been movement in the opposite direction, with centre-backs Jan Paul van Hecke and Diego Coppola, goalkeeper Carl Rushworth and left-winger Jeremy Sarmiento among those to have left the team.

Brighton finished eighth in the Premier League last season with 53 points from 38 matches. Their final league outing resulted in a 3-0 home defeat to Manchester United at American Express Stadium. The Seagulls enjoyed 51% possession but registered just two shots on target.

Three days ago, Brighton played out a 0-0 draw away to Norwegian Eliteserien side Tromso in the first leg of their Europa Conference League play-off tie.

Aston Villa have seen several key players leave this summer, with attacking midfielder Morgan Rogers, central midfielder Youri Tielemans, centre-back Ezri Konsa, centre-forward Donyell Malen and left-back Lucas Digne among the main departures. The club have also made several additions, with central midfielders Johan Manzambi and Joao Gomes, goalkeeper Zion Suzuki and left-back Matteo Ruggeri among their leading permanent arrivals.

Villa enjoyed an excellent 2025/26 season, winning the Europa League and finishing fourth in the Premier League with 65 points from 38 matches. Their last league game saw them claim a 2-1 away victory over Manchester City at Etihad Stadium. Unai Emery's men had 49% possession and registered five shots on target, with Ollie Watkins scoring both goals.

8 Wins for Villa in Last 10 H2H Encounters

Villa have landed three straight victories over Brighton. In their last encounter, hosts Villa came out with a 1-0 win at Villa Park. The previous 10 H2H games have involved eight Villa triumphs, one Brighton win and one draw.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. Brighton have had 57.8% possession, 471.9 passes and 4.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.1 corners.

Top goalscorers Jack Hinshelwood and Danny Welbeck have found the net 3 times, with Yankuba Minteh scoring 2. Leading assistor is Maxim De Cuyper with 3, while goalie Bart Verbruggen has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Villa have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. The Villans have averaged 52.3% possession, 443.0 passes, 4.8 corners taken and 5.9 corners against, while conceding 1.9 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts.

Ollie Watkins has scored 8, followed by John McGinn, Morgan Rogers and Ross Barkley with 2 goals apiece. Lucas Digne, Ollie Watkins and John McGinn have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Emiliano Martinez has one clean sheet to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Brighton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Luka Vuskovic, Olivier Boscagli, Ferdi Kadioglu, Yasin Ayari, Pascal Gross, Diego Gomez, Jack Hinshelwood, Maxim De Cuyper, Georginio Rutter.

Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Marco Bizot (GK), Matty Cash, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen, Ross Barkley, Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn, Emiliano Buendia, Alejandro Garnacho, Ollie Watkins.

Main Match Prediction

We believe that Brighton are excellent value at +123 when it comes to this Premier League encounter. The odds look really attractive against a Villa side who have lost several key players this summer, and we’re confident of landing a return here.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• Brighton have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Brighton have scored two or more goals in 3 of their last 4 games at home.

Our Premier League experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 44.8% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 50%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There are some different ways to back Brighton if you’re in search of a bigger potential return. This includes the Asian Handicap where they have to win by a certain margin.

Unlock top value before betting. Our guide lists the latest offers and welcome bonuses you won’t want to miss.

Brighton To Win @ +123 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 21, 15:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Brighton 2 - 1 Aston Villa

A 2-1 win in favor of Brighton is available at odds of +750. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jack Hinshelwood Over 1.5 Shots -156

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton) has finished with over 1.5 shots in seven of his past ten Premier League games. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -156 up for grabs.

Latest Jack Hinshelwood Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

---

Georginio Rutter To Score +220

Georginio Rutter (Brighton) can be wagered at +220 to be on the scoresheet. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Georginio Rutter Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Aston Villa Under 4.5 Corners -147

Aston Villa have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in two consecutive matches, while Brighton have yielded an average of 3.60 corners in their previous 5 games. We think Villa might fall short of the mark, with odds of -147 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Brighton

Total

10.00 4.90 5.10

Home

8.80 4.80 4.00

Away

11.10 5.00 6.10

Aston Villa

Total

10.70 4.80 5.90

Home

10.70 5.80 4.90

Away

9.70 4.80 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

-104

Brighton Corners

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-143

Aston Villa Corners

Over 4.5

+105

Under 4.5

-149

Most Corners

1

-149

X

+650

2

+148

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Brighton vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of +123, the bookies make Brighton probable winners and there’s a 45% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this Premier League encounter. Aston Villa are the +200 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

Brighton -0.25 on the Asian Handicap can be backed at -110. It means your stake is split between 0 and -0.5, with a full payout if they beat Villa. Half your stake is refunded if we see a draw.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -172 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Premier League matches.

Full-Time Result

1

+123

X

+260

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+128

2

+245

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-357

X2

-156

Draw No Bet

1

-167

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-110

2 Hcp +0.25

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+110

Over 2.5

-139

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+125

Ollie Watkins is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +440. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +160.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+440

Anytime

+160

Promise David (Brighton)

First

+450

Anytime

+170

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+190

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

First

+575

Anytime

+220

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

First

+600

Anytime

+240

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+750

Anytime

+280

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+900

Anytime

+320

Johan Manzambi (Villa)

First

+1000

Anytime

+350

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+1000

Anytime

+380

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+1150

Anytime

+440

Alejandro Garnacho (Villa)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Ross Barkley (Villa)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Alysson (Villa)

First

+1400

Anytime

+500

Luka Vuskovic (Brighton)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

George Hemmings (Villa)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Pascal Struijk (Brighton)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Promise David (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Johan Manzambi (Villa)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Ross Barkley (Villa)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Villa)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Alysson (Villa)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Luka Vuskovic (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

George Hemmings (Villa)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Promise David (Brighton)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Ross Barkley (Villa)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Villa)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Johan Manzambi (Villa)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Luka Vuskovic (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

George Hemmings (Villa)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Brighton have collected five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Villa have four draws, four defeats and two wins in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Villa were 4-3 victors against Brighton last time out at American Express Stadium. The past 7 H2H meetings at American Express Stadium have resulted in four Villa wins, two draws and one Brighton success.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Brighton Home Stats		5-2-3	2.30	1.40	0.90	5	5	4	6
Aston Villa Away Stats		2-4-4	2.50	1.00	1.50	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Brighton vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Brighton vs Villa team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League together with updated injury news.

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page Aston Villa Team Page

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