Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Apr 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Burnley vs Manchester City

Second-from-bottom Burnley meet second-placed Manchester City at Turf Moor, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 22 April.

Manchester City are chasing their seventh Premier League title in nine seasons and would go top of the table with a win. Meanwhile, Burnley, who sit twelve points behind West Ham with five games remaining and having played a game more, must win to keep their very slim survival hopes alive.

A one-goal victory for City would see them draw level with Arsenal on goal difference, but move ahead on goals scored. Goal difference could prove decisive in the title race, which helps explain the big Asian Handicap line here.

City beat Burnley 5-1 at the Etihad in September and boast an excellent record in this fixture, having won each of the last 14 Premier League meetings. However, +2.25 is a generous line for the hosts and considering that City have only won by three goals or more in four of their last ten visits to Turf Moor, we will side with Burnley on the Asian Handicap. This means half a win if the Clarets lose by exactly two goals, while a defeat by one or better results in a full payout at -115.

Burnley have lost their last three league matches, most recently beaten 4-1 away by Nottingham Forest at the City Ground. Scott Parker's men had 48% possession and recorded three shots on target, with Zian Flemming bagging the goal.

Manchester City, unbeaten in their last ten Premier League games, were 2-1 winners at home to league leaders Arsenal at the Etihad Stadium last time out. The Citizens boasted 59% possession and recorded five shots on goal, while Rayan Cherki and Erling Haaland found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City beat Burnley 5-1 at the Etihad Stadium when the sides last met and are on a run of 14 consecutive Premier League wins against them.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	38	23	9	6	77	35	42	77:35	78
19	Burnley	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37	38:75	22

View Full Table

1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. Burnley have had 44.4% possession, 394.8 passes and 4.4 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 2.3 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts, while being awarded 5.4 corners.

Top scorer Zian Flemming has found the net 4 times, with Jaidon Anthony and Hannibal Mejbri getting 2 and 1 respectively. Hannibal Mejbri has the most assists with 2, while goalie Martin Dubravka has recorded one clean sheet.

City have 7 victories and 3 draws, with an average of 5.5 shots on goal, 16.1 attempts and 2.0 goals. Pep Guardiola's side average 62.1% possession, 6.5 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 11.1 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Antoine Semenyo has scored 5 goals, followed by Nico O'Reilly on 4 and Erling Haaland with 3. Rayan Cherki and Erling Haaland are the top assist makers with 3 apiece, while Gianluigi Donnarumma has notched 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Burnley confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Martin Dubravka (GK), Bashir Humphreys, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Kyle Walker, James Ward-Prowse, Josh Laurent, Quilindschy Hartman, Loum Tchaouna, Zian Flemming, Jaidon Anthony.

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Marc Guehi, Rayan Ait Nouri, Bernardo Silva, Nico O'Reilly, Antoine Semenyo, Rayan Cherki, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

This Burnley vs Manchester City betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks, corners analysis and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

If you think Burnley can avoid a heavy defeat in this Premier League game, consider them with a +2.25 start at odds of -115. There’s a strong case for the home team being competitive.

The latest Premier League injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key Burnley vs Manchester City league stats:

• The +2.25 line has been fully or partially covered by Burnley in 16 consecutive games at home.
• The +2.25 line has been fully or partially covered by Burnley in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The -2.25 line hasn’t been fully or partially covered by City in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -2.25 line hasn’t been fully covered by City in 8 of their last 10 games.

The best football betting sites make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Buying and selling goals is something that can be done if you want to move the existing line. Take a position according to your viewpoint, whether you want more risk or reward.

Thinking about claiming free bets? Our bonus guide lists the best sign-up offers from the biggest names in betting.

Our Match Prediction

Burnley Asian Hcp +2.25 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 20, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Burnley 0 - 1 Man City

A potentially entertaining bet is going for the Citizens to win by a 1-0 scoreline. At odds of +850, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaidon Anthony Over 1.5 Shots -100

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) has had over 1.5 shots in four of his past five Premier League home matches. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -100 available.

Latest Jaidon Anthony Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1800

Shots

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

---

Erling Haaland To Score -213

Erling Haaland (City) is available to find the net at -213. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.

Latest Erling Haaland Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-278

First

+170

Shots

Over 5.5

-133

Under 5.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Burnley Over 2.5 Corners -122

The 2.5 corners line has been covered by Burnley in seven straight games, with City conceding over 2.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 matches. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Burnley Team Corners line to get covered at -122.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burnley

Total

9.80 4.40 5.40

Home

9.30 4.80 4.50

Away

10.00 3.90 6.10

Man City

Total

10.40 6.50 3.90

Home

9.20 6.10 3.10

Away

9.40 5.80 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-104

Burnley Corners

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-123

Man City Corners

Over 6.5

-147

Under 6.5

+102

Most Corners

1

+600

X

+1000

2

-769

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Burnley vs Manchester City Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

On the basis of the 1x2 betting, Manchester City are massive -769 favourites to complete their task and that means a 88% probability of success in this Premier League clash. The +1900 means that Burnley are seen as having by far the lowest probability of succeeding.

City and Burnley can be backed at -217 and +900 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +225.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -133 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Premier League games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

+1900

X

+750

2

-769

Half-Time Result

1

+900

X

+225

2

-217

Double Chance

1X

+440

12

-1667

X2

--100

Draw No Bet

1

+1100

2

-10000

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +2.25

-112

2 Hcp -2.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+225

Over 2.5

-303

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-102

No

-133

There is -278 available that Erling Haaland finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +170.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-278

Anytime

+170

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+105

Anytime

+400

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+108

Anytime

+370

Phil Foden (City)

First

+170

Anytime

+600

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+195

Anytime

+650

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+220

Anytime

+750

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+220

Anytime

+750

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+260

Anytime

+800

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+290

Anytime

+900

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+350

Anytime

+1150

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+400

Anytime

+1300

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

First

+480

Anytime

+1500

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+500

Anytime

+1700

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+500

Anytime

+1700

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Marc Guéhi (City)

First

+540

Anytime

+1800

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+550

Anytime

+1800

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Rodri (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Rico Lewis (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Matheus Nunes (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Nico Gonzalez (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Ruben Dias (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Abdukodir Khusanov (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Nathan Aké (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Max Alleyne (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 5.5

-133

Under 5.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Marc Guéhi (City)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Nunes (City)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Nico Gonzalez (City)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Abdukodir Khusanov (City)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Nathan Aké (City)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Burnley haven’t won any of their past six games at Turf Moor. The Lancashire side have five losses, four draws and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Man City are unbeaten over their previous five games on the road. The Citizens have six wins, three draws and one loss in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

City won 3-0 when they last played Burnley at Turf Moor. The previous 6 H2H matches at Turf Moor have seen City triumph every time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Burnley Home Stats		1-4-5	3.20	1.40	1.80	6	4	6	4
Manchester City Away Stats		6-3-1	3.00	1.90	1.10	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Burnley vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Burnley vs City team news. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League and the newest injury information.

Burnley Team Page Manchester City Team Page

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