Canada vs Morocco Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Jul 2026
Canada vs Morocco Predictions
We're backing Morocco to secure victory against Canada. The Atlas Lions have looked one of the tournament's most convincing teams so far and the -128 odds on offer appeal as a solid Full-Time Result selection.
Read on for our full Canada vs Morocco betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Canada vs Morocco Preview
Canada square off against Morocco in the FIFA World Cup Round of 16 at Houston Stadium (NRG Stadium), with kick-off set for 13:00 on Saturday 4 July.
Houston Stadium, featuring a closed retractable roof on match day, will manage conditions to beat the summer heat. Outside temperatures are expected to be around 34°C (93°F) at kick-off, while the temperature inside the stadium will be at a comfortable 22°C (72°F).
Canada advanced to the knockout stages after finishing second in Group B, three points behind Switzerland. They drew 1-1 with Bosnia and Herzegovina, thrashed Qatar 6-0 and lost 2-1 to Switzerland.
In the Round of 32, Canada beat South Africa 1-0 at Los Angeles Stadium. The Reds had 42% possession and recorded seven shots on target, with Stephen Eustaquio scoring a late winner.
Morocco finished second in Group C, trailing Brazil only on goal difference. They opened the tournament with a 1-1 draw against Brazil, followed by a 1-0 win over Scotland and a 4-2 victory against Haiti.
Mohamed Ouahbi's side beat the Netherlands on penalties in the Round of 32 after a 1-1 draw following extra time at Monterrey Stadium. Morocco enjoyed 70% possession and registered five shots on target, while Issa Diop got on the scoresheet.
Morocco Seeking Third Straight Win Over Canada
Morocco have won both previous meetings between the nations. The Atlas Lions recorded a 4-0 victory in an international friendly in 2016 before claiming a 2-1 win during the group stage of the 2022 World Cup.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Canada |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 2 |  Morocco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6:3 | 7 |
Canada have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.9 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. Jesse Marsch's team have averaged 54.1% possession and 7.5 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.9 goals from 2.5 shots on goal, 6.5 attempts and 2.6 corners.
Jonathan David leads the way with 6 goals, with Nathan Saliba and Tajon Buchanan getting 3 apiece. Nathan Saliba is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalkeeper Maxime Crepeau keeping 2 clean sheets.
Morocco have won 8 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.4 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts. The Atlas Lions have averaged 57.6% possession, 537.3 passes, 6.1 corners awarded and 2.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 1.9 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts.
Ismael Saibari and Brahim Diaz top the team’s scoring charts on 4 goals, with Ayoub El Kaabi on 2. Achraf Hakimi, Brahim Diaz and Azzedine Ounahi have all made 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Yassine Bounou has one clean sheet.
Confirmed Lineups
Canada confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Maxime Crepeau (GK), Alistair Johnston, Moise Bombito, Luc De Fougerolles, Richie Laryea, Tajon Buchanan, Niko Sigur, Stephen Eustaquio, Ali Ahmed, Jonathan David, Tani Oluwaseyi.
Morocco confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Yassine Bounou (GK), Achraf Hakimi, Issa Diop, Redouane Halhal, Noussair Mazraoui, Neil El Aynaoui, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Brahim Diaz, Azzedine Ounahi, Bilal El Khannouss, Ismael Saibari.
Main Match Prediction
Morocco look like the real deal to claim victory, especially with odds of -128 available. The Atlas Lions represent a strong value selection in this Round of 16 clash.
Despite reaching the Round of 16, Canada have not been especially impressive in the tournament. They benefited from a favourable draw and home advantage, but that edge has now disappeared.
Morocco are arguably the best team in Africa and remain unbeaten at the World Cup despite facing quality opposition in Brazil and the Netherlands. With world-class players such as PSG star Achraf Hakimi and Real Madrid winger Brahim Diaz, we expect Morocco to get the job done here.
We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the World Cup experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The best football betting sites make it a 56.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this wager.
Morocco can be wagered in various ways and you might regard the price as more attractive when you consider the Asian Handicap or the Result & Both Teams to Score markets.
Why bet empty-handed? Check our up-to-date guide for the latest sign-up promos, welcome bonuses and betting offers.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
2
Morocco
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Morocco to win 2-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +600 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Brahim Díaz (Morocco) is available to register at least one shot on goal at -152. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.
Ismael Saibari (Morocco) has netted three goals in his past five matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +165.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a bet builder, have a play on Morocco to claim a victory, No on the Both Teams to Score market and also Brahim Díaz (Morocco) to have one or more shots on target.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Canada vs Morocco Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Morocco betting odds are -135 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this World Cup encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that the Atlas Lions have a 57% chance of winning. If you’re searching for a different slant, Canada are available at +450.
A 2+ goal margin of victory for Morocco against Canada means a full payout at -108 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.
A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you’re looking to wager Both Teams to Score No, this is currently available at -133.
The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every World Cup game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.
Ismael Saibari is the First Goalscorer favourite at +360. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +160.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Canada Stats
Morocco Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.86 corners against in the last 7 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.86 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 7 away matches
- An average of 54.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Canada vs Morocco Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Canada vs Morocco, check the team news first. Get the latest predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups and injury news right here.
Canada Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Morocco Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Canada Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Morocco Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Canada Substitutes
- 1Dayne St. Clair
- 3Alfie Jones
- 5Joel Waterman
- 6Mathieu Choiniere
- 9Cyle Larin
- 11Liam Millar
- 13Derek Cornelius
- 14Jacob Shaffelburg
- 18Owen Goodman
- 19Alphonso Davies
- 21Jonathan Osorio
- 24Promise David
- 25Nathan Saliba
- 26Jayden Nelson
Morocco Substitutes
- 4Sofyan Amrabat
- 5Marwane Saadane
- 7Chemsdine Talbi
- 9Soufiane Rahimi
- 12Munir
- 13Zakaria El Ouahdi
- 15Samir El Mourabet
- 16Gessime Yassine
- 17Amine Sbai
- 18Chadi Riad
- 19Youssef Belammari
- 20Ayoub El Kaabi
- 21A. Amaimouni-Echghouyab
- 22Ahmed Tagnaouti
- 26Anass Salah-Eddine
Previous Canada Lineups
Previous Morocco Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Canada Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jesse Marsch
Morocco Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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