Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Aug 2026
Casa Pia vs Benfica Predictions
There’s a strong case for Casa Pia +1.75 at odds of -128 against Benfica. We think that the home team can keep the scoreline respectable and our Asian Handicap stake is split between +1.5 and +2.0 which allows for a generous return.
Continue below for our full Casa Pia vs Benfica betting breakdown, where you can read the complete analysis of our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Casa Pia vs Benfica Preview
Casa Pia meet Benfica at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Monday 17 August.
Casa Pia were beaten last game and this was on the road at Estadio do Maritimo. Marítimo claimed a 1-0 victory. Filipe Coelho's team had four shots on target and enjoyed 60% possession.
Benfica hosted Academico Viseu at Estadio da Luz in their previous Primeira Liga game, ending in a 2-2 draw. The Eagles had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 62% possession and twelve shots on goal, while Vangelis Pavlidis and Gianluca Prestianni were both on target.
Four days ago, Benfica drew 1-1 when visiting Hearts in the Europa League qualifier.
1-1 Draw in Pair’s Previous H2H
Casa Pia are unbeaten in the past three games against Benfica, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The previous 8 H2H matches have included four wins for Benfica, one victory for Casa Pia along with three draws.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  Benfica |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Casa Pia have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. The Geese have averaged 39.7% possession, 289.9 passes and 5.3 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 5.2 corners.
Top scorer Gaizka Larrazabal has found the net 2 times, with Cassiano, Joao Marques and Rafael Brito getting 1 each. Dailon Rocha Livramento, Joao Marques and Jeremy Livolant have the most assists with 1, while goalie Patrick Sequeira has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Benfica have won 6 and drawn 4, with an average of 2.3 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 18.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 54.9% possession, 451.2 passes, 9.3 corners awarded and 3.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts.
Richard Rios has landed 5 goals, Rafa Silva 4, with Vangelis Pavlidis and two others scoring 3. Gianluca Prestianni has had 5 assists, with Anatoliy Trubin notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Casa Pia predicted lineup (4-3-3): André Gomes (GK), Andres Geraldes, João Goulart, David Sousa, Abdu Conte, Seba Pérez, Lawrence Ofori, Gabi, Korede Osundina, Henrique Araújo, Rochinha.
Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Samuel Soares (GK), Alexander Bah, Tomas Araújo, Clement Lenglet, Samuel Dahl, Leandro Barreiro, Enzo Barrenechea, Rafa Silva, Georgiy Sudakov, Gianluca Prestianni, Vangelis Pavlidis.
Main Match Prediction
We think Casa Pia can perform well as underdogs and you can get them at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -128. This looks like a value price when it comes to this Primeira Liga clash.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Primeira Liga data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Casa Pia to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.
Our user-friendly bonus guide highlights the newest betting offers, free bets, and sign-up deals in one spot.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Benfica
There’s the option to wager on Benfica to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +475 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Rafa Silva (Benfica) has netted four goals in his past ten Primeira Liga games. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +155 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It’s been ten straight Benfica games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered, while we’ve seen an average of 10.50 corners in the previous ten Casa Pia matches. The Total Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -149.
Casa Pia
Benfica
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you fancy a same-game multi, then why not take Casa Pia on the Asian Handicap at +1.75, No on the Both Teams to Score market and Over 9.5 corners.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Casa Pia vs Benfica Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest betting odds suggest that Benfica are convincing -455 favourites to claim a victory and that means a 82% probability of coming out on top in this Primeira Liga encounter. Casa Pia are regarded as a long shot to win and you can back them at +950.
If you fancy Benfica to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -167. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Casa Pia at +750 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +163.
The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -167 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.
Primeira Liga games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.
There is -143 available that Vangelis Pavlidis finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +190.
Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Casa Pia have not triumphed at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior in six straight matches. Filipe Coelho's team have managed six draws, two victories and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.10.
Benfica have avoided defeat in their last ten away matches. The Eagles have six wins and four draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
The previous Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior encounter involved a 1-1 draw between Casa Pia and Benfica. The previous 3 H2H matches at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior have seen Casa Pia winning once, one draw and a victory for Benfica.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Home Stats |
2-6-2 | 2.20 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | |
| Benfica Away Stats |
6-4-0 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 06/04 2026 Casa Pia 1 Benfica 1
- Primeira Liga: 09/11 2025 Benfica 2 Casa Pia 2
- Primeira Liga: 25/01 2025 Casa Pia 3 Benfica 1
- Primeira Liga: 17/08 2024 Benfica 3 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 17/03 2024 Casa Pia 0 Benfica 1
- Primeira Liga: 28/10 2023 Benfica 1 Casa Pia 1
- Primeira Liga: 04/02 2023 Benfica 3 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 13/08 2022 Casa Pia 0 Benfica 1
Casa Pia League Stats
Benfica League Stats
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 12.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 39.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 36.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 54.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
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Casa Pia vs Benfica Lineups & Team News
The Casa Pia vs Benfica team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga, along with current injury news.
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Previous Benfica Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Filipe Coelho
Benfica Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Marítimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 8 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Viseu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitória | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sporting | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Marítimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Viseu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitória | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
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