Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Aug 2026

Casa Pia vs Benfica Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Casa Pia Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -128

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There’s a strong case for Casa Pia +1.75 at odds of -128 against Benfica. We think that the home team can keep the scoreline respectable and our Asian Handicap stake is split between +1.5 and +2.0 which allows for a generous return.

Continue below for our full Casa Pia vs Benfica betting breakdown, where you can read the complete analysis of our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Casa Pia vs Benfica Preview

Casa Pia meet Benfica at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 16:15 on Monday 17 August.

Casa Pia started the new Primeira Liga season with a 1-0 away defeat to Marítimo at Estádio do Marítimo. Filipe Coelho's side enjoyed 60% possession and registered four shots on target.

Benfica opened their Primeira Liga campaign with a 2-2 home draw against Académico Viseu at Estádio da Luz. The Eagles dominated possession with 62% of the ball and registered 12 shots on target, with Vangelis Pavlidis and Gianluca Prestianni both finding the net.

Four days ago, Benfica drew 1-1 away to Scottish Premiership side Hearts in the second leg of their Europa League qualifier, progressing to the next round with a 7-2 aggregate victory.

H2H: 1-1 Draw in Pair’s Previous H2H

Casa Pia are unbeaten in the past three games against Benfica, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The previous 8 H2H matches have included four wins for Benfica, one victory for Casa Pia along with three draws.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Benfica	9	7	1	1	26	8	18	26:8	22
16	Casa Pia	9	2	1	6	5	17	-12	5:17	7

View Full Table

Casa Pia have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. The Geese have averaged 39.7% possession, 289.9 passes and 5.3 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 5.2 corners.

Top scorer Gaizka Larrazabal has found the net 2 times, with Cassiano, Joao Marques and Rafael Brito getting 1 each. Dailon Rocha Livramento, Joao Marques and Jeremy Livolant have the most assists with 1, while goalie Patrick Sequeira has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Benfica have won 6 and drawn 4, with an average of 2.3 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 18.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 54.9% possession, 451.2 passes, 9.3 corners awarded and 3.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts.

Richard Rios has landed 5 goals, Rafa Silva 4, with Vangelis Pavlidis and two others scoring 3. Gianluca Prestianni has had 5 assists, with Anatoliy Trubin notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Andre Gomes (GK), Andre Geraldes, Joao Goulart, David Sousa, Abdu Conte, Sebastian Perez, Lawrence Ofori, Gabi Pereira, Kevin Prieto, Henrique Araujo, Rochinha.

Benfica confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Samuel Soares (GK), Alexander Bah, Tomas Araujo, Clement Lenglet, Samuel Dahl, Leandro Barreiro, Enzo Barrenechea, Rafa Silva, Georgiy Sudakov, Gianluca Prestianni, Vangelis Pavlidis.

Main Match Prediction

We think Casa Pia can perform well as underdogs and you can get them at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -128. This looks like a value price when it comes to this Primeira Liga clash.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +1.75 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 11 consecutive games at home.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 13 of their last 17 games at home.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Benfica in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Benfica in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 3 consecutive games against Benfica.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Primeira Liga data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Casa Pia to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Our user-friendly bonus guide highlights the newest betting offers, free bets, and sign-up deals in one spot.

Casa Pia Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 15, 22:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Casa Pia 0 - 1 Benfica

There’s the option to wager on Benfica to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +510 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rafa Silva to Score +155

Rafa Silva (Benfica) has netted four goals in his past ten Primeira Liga games. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +155 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Rafa Silva Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+145

First

+380

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -149

It’s been ten straight Benfica games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered, while we’ve seen an average of 10.50 corners in the previous ten Casa Pia matches. The Total Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Casa Pia

Total

10.50 5.30 5.20

Home

9.30 3.40 5.90

Away

11.20 4.90 6.30

Benfica

Total

12.40 9.30 3.10

Home

10.80 8.50 2.30

Away

11.40 8.70 2.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-141

Casa Pia Corners

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-100

Benfica Corners

Over 6.5

-152

Under 6.5

+105

Most Corners

1

+480

X

+900

2

-625

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Casa Pia vs Benfica Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest betting odds suggest that Benfica are convincing -588 favourites to claim a victory and that means a 85% probability of coming out on top in this Primeira Liga encounter. Casa Pia are regarded as a long shot to win and you can back them at +1150.

If you fancy Benfica to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -192. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Casa Pia at +850 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +175.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -175 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

Primeira Liga games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

+1150

X

+500

2

-588

Half-Time Result

1

+850

X

+175

2

-192

Double Chance

1X

+300

12

-1111

X2

-10000

Draw No Bet

1

+850

2

-10000

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +2

-137

2 Hcp -2

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-189

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+120

No

-175

There is -167 available that Vangelis Pavlidis finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +175.

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

First

+175

Anytime

-167

Jhon Durán (Benfica)

First

+350

Anytime

+133

Rafa Silva (Benfica)

First

+380

Anytime

+145

Franjo Ivanovic (Benfica)

First

+370

Anytime

+150

Jakub Kamiński (Benfica)

First

+450

Anytime

+170

Henrique Araújo (Casa Pia)

First

+450

Anytime

+180

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

First

+460

Anytime

+180

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

First

+480

Anytime

+185

Armindo Bruma (Benfica)

First

+525

Anytime

+200

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

First

+525

Anytime

+210

Tiago Gouveia (Benfica)

First

+600

Anytime

+230

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Leandro Barreiro (Benfica)

First

+850

Anytime

+330

Richard Ríos (Benfica)

First

+900

Anytime

+360

Alassana Jatta (Casa Pia)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Fredrik Aursnes (Benfica)

First

+1100

Anytime

+475

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+500

Kevin Prieto (Casa Pia)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Kelian Nsona (Casa Pia)

First

+1200

Anytime

+510

Korede Osundina (Casa Pia)

First

+1400

Anytime

+575

Amar Dedic (Benfica)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Rochinha (Casa Pia)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Tomás Araújo (Benfica)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Alexander Bah (Benfica)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Enzo Barrenechea (Benfica)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Clément Lenglet (Benfica)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Samuel Dahl (Benfica)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Manuel Jorge Silva (Benfica)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Stats: Last 10 Primeira Liga matches only.
Casa Pia have not triumphed at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior in six straight matches. The Geese have managed six draws, two victories and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Benfica have avoided defeat in their last ten away matches. The Lisbon side have six wins and four draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

The previous Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior encounter involved a 1-1 draw between Casa Pia and Benfica. The previous 3 H2H matches at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior have seen Casa Pia winning once, one draw and a victory for Benfica.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Casa Pia Home Stats		2-6-2	2.20	1.10	1.10	3	7	6	4
Benfica Away Stats		6-4-0	2.80	1.80	1.00	7	3	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Casa Pia vs Benfica Lineups & Team News

The Casa Pia vs Benfica team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga, along with current injury news.

Casa Pia Team Page Benfica Team Page

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