Casa Pia vs Braga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Apr 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Braga
Casa Pia go head-to-head with Braga at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Thursday 23 April.
We’re backing Casa Pia +1 on the Asian Handicap against Braga at -123. There’s money back should the underdogs lose by one goal and we will see a nice return from this bet if they manage to win or draw.
Casa Pia drew their last game 0-0 at home, with the action taking place at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior against Santa Clara. The Geese ended up with just 33% possession and had three shots on target.
Braga drew 2-2 against Famalicão in their previous game. This was on home soil at Estadio Municipal de Braga. Carlos Vicens' team had four shots on goal and boasted 69% possession, with Fran Navarro and Ricardo Horta on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Braga won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 4-0 home victory was recorded against Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Braga. The past 7 meetings between these teams have seen four Braga wins and three Casa Pia triumphs.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Braga |
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 57 | 29 | 28 | 57:29 | 53 |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 28:52 | 26 |
2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Casa Pia have had 34.5% possession, 251.8 passes and 3.5 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 7.6 corners.
Cassiano is the top scorer with 3 goals, Rafael Brito has 2, with Joao Marques and Gaizka Larrazabal on 1. Jeremy Livolant has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira has 3 clean sheets.
Braga have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 10.2 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. The Archbishops average 61.0% possession, 594.9 passes, 5.4 corners in their favour and 3.3 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts.
Ricardo Horta and Rodrigo Zalazar have scored 7, followed by Pau Victor with 3. Pau Victor and Ricardo Horta have had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while Lukas Hornicek has 4 clean sheets to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), João Goulart, Andres Geraldes, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Iyad Mohamed, Rafael Brito, Pedro Rosas, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Joao Marques.
Braga predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Lukas Hornicek (GK), Gustaf Lagerbielke, Vitor Carvalho, Gabriel Moscardo, Víctor Gómez, Florian Grillitsch, Joao Moutinho, Leonardo Lelo, Pau Victor Delgado, Ricardo Horta, Fran Navarro.
Casa Pia vs Braga Prediction & Betting Tips
Get fully prepped for Casa Pia vs Braga with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, sharp corners advice, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
In order for our Casa Pia +1 bet to land at -123, we need the underdogs to win or draw this Primeira Liga game. We think they’ll make the game competitive and feel confident with this Asian Handicap wager.
The Primeira Liga tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.
Key Casa Pia vs Braga league stats:
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 55.2% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
We advise that you move the line if you are looking for a larger price about the same selection. Make your prediction and land the bigger odds from your wager as a result.
Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +500 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Ricardo Horta (Braga) has been among the goals in six of his past ten Primeira Liga matches. It’s worth a gamble on the +133 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Braga have had over 5.5 corners in three straight away games, with Casa Pia conceding over 5.5 corners in their past four games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure -147 that Braga go over the line.
Casa Pia
Braga
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a bet builder that includes Casa Pia with an Asian Handicap of +1, no more than two goals in total and Braga to have over 5.5 corners.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Casa Pia vs Braga Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Braga are available at -192 to come away with a triumph in this Primeira Liga clash, meaning a 66% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Casa Pia are available at +500.
If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Braga are +107 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Casa Pia are +460 and the draw is priced at +128.
When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. The Both Teams to Score No option is -137 if you think at least one side will fail to score.
The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Primeira Liga game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.
There’s the chance to back Ricardo Horta at +300 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
Casa Pia haven’t been beaten in eight straight games at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese have finished with six draws, two wins and two defeats in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
Braga have finished with six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
The previous Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior encounter involved a 2-1 Casa Pia win against Braga.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Casa Pia Home Stats |
2-6-2 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | |
Braga Away Stats |
6-1-3 | 2.90 | 1.90 | 1.00 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 26/10 2025 Braga 4 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 10/05 2025 Casa Pia 2 Braga 1
- Primeira Liga: 29/12 2024 Braga 1 Casa Pia 2
- Primeira Liga: 05/05 2024 Braga 4 Casa Pia 3
- Primeira Liga: 30/12 2023 Casa Pia 1 Braga 3
- Primeira Liga: 21/04 2023 Casa Pia 0 Braga 1
- Primeira Liga: 06/11 2022 Braga 0 Casa Pia 1
Casa Pia League Stats
Braga League Stats
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 7.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 corners awarded and 6.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 34.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 38.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 61.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 64.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Casa Pia this season are Cassiano (5), Gaizka Larrazabal (3), Jeremy Livolant (3)
- Top Assistors for Casa Pia this season are Jeremy Livolant (8), Gaizka Larrazabal (4), Abdu Conte (2)
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Casa Pia vs Braga Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Casa Pia vs Braga, check the team news first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Braga Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Braga Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Previous Braga Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alvaro Pacheco
Braga Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61:14 | 79 |
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 63:19 | 72 |
| 3 | Sporting | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 74:19 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 57:29 | 53 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Vitória | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:43 | 39 |
| 9 | Estoril | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:51 | 37 |
| 10 | Arouca | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 38:58 | 35 |
| 11 | Alverca | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:48 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 33:50 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | 29 |
| 14 | Nacional | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | 28 |
| 15 | Estrela | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 33:49 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 28:52 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21:48 | 21 |
| 18 | AVS | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 21:64 | 13 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 31:6 | 39 |
| 2 | Benfica | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 35:10 | 35 |
| 3 | Sporting | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 41:8 | 34 |
| 4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 31:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:10 | 27 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 7 | Vitória | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Estoril | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 28:22 | 23 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | 23 |
| 10 | Alverca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 11 | Arouca | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Nacional | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Estrela | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 13:16 | 17 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 17:23 | 14 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:25 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 18 | AVS | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11:25 | 8 |
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