Casa Pia vs Sporting Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Oct 2026
Casa Pia vs Sporting Predictions
We expect Sporting to secure a commanding win when playing Casa Pia. Wagering them -1.75 at -115 means a split of our Asian Handicap stake between -1.5 and -2.0. A three-goal margin of victory means a full return.
Our Casa Pia vs Sporting betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Casa Pia vs Sporting Preview
Casa Pia welcome Sporting to Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 16:15 on Friday 30 October.
Casa Pia have now suffered four straight home defeats. In their last game, they won on the road at Estadio Jose Gomes when beating Estrela Amadora 2-0. Filipe Coelho's side recorded just 37% possession and had three shots on target, while Joao Rego and Lawrence Ofori scored one goal each.
Sporting CP were beaten 2-1 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Academico Viseu at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The Lions enjoyed 71% possession and had four shots on goal, while Luis Suarez found the net.
H2H: Sporting Have Enjoyed Upper Hand Over Casa Pia
Sporting had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides. At Estadio Jose Alvalade, they recorded a 3-0 home victory over Casa Pia. In the past 8 games between these teams, Sporting have won all of them.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Sporting |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 5:17 | 7 |
Casa Pia have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. The Geese have averaged 42.9% possession and 4.8 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 14.5 attempts and 5.7 corners.
Lawrence Ofori is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 1 goals. Henrique Araujo, Mohamed El Boukammiri and Sebastian Perez have the most assists with 1, while goalie Ivan Mandic has recorded one clean sheet.
Sporting have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 2.4 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts. Rui Borges' team have averaged 60.5% possession, 558.0 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 2.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts.
Luis Suarez is top of the team’s scoring charts with 9, Flavio Goncalves has 3, with Rodrigo Zalazar and Fotis Ioannidis both on 2. Geny Catamo has been chief assist maker on 4, with Rui Silva recording 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Casa Pia predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Andres Geraldes, Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Kaly, David Sousa, Pedro Rosas, Seba Pérez, Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri, Joao Rego, Lawrence Ofori, Benjamin Pauwels, Cassiano.
Sporting predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Kaique Pereira (GK), Iván Fresneda, Ibrahima Ba, Gonçalo Inácio, Maximiliano Araújo, Sergi Altimira, Issa Doumbia, Luis Guilherme, Flavio Goncalves, Nestory Irankunda, Luis Suarez.
Main Match Prediction
Wagering Sporting -1.75 means that we’re feeling pretty bullish about their prospects in this Primeira Liga game. We’re expecting a large win and the odds of -115 look really appealing.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Primeira Liga data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.
According to the latest odds, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
Those wanting an alternative to Asian Handicap can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Sporting and their performance.
Before you bet, see what free bets you can claim today. Our guide highlights the best welcome bonuses and offers available now.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
4
Sporting
Our correct score prediction is a 4-0 win for Sporting which is available at odds of +750. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.
Player Prop Picks
Nestory Irankunda (Sporting) can be backed at +150 to find the net. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Each of the previous five Casa Pia matches have involved over 9.5 corners. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line can be covered, then you can land odds of -128 that this happens.
Casa Pia
Sporting
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder with three options: Sporting with the -1.75 Asian Handicap, Over 2.5 goals along with Over 9.5 corners.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Casa Pia vs Sporting Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers take few chances with their latest odds of -385 for Sporting CP winning which suggests that they have a 79% chance in this Primeira Liga encounter. If you’re searching for a different slant, outsiders Casa Pia are available at +880.
Should you want to back Sporting to lead at the break, then there is -149 available on the Half-Time Result market. Opponents Casa Pia have been chalked up at +760 and the draw is +175.
Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -145.
The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Primeira Liga games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.
Luis Javier Suárez is the market leader at +210 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Stats: Last 10 Primeira Liga matches only.
Casa Pia have failed to win in their last ten matches at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Filipe Coelho's side have recorded six defeats and four draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 0.40 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
Sporting are unbeaten over their previous ten games on the road. The Lions have recorded six victories and four draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.50 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
Sporting beat Casa Pia 2-0 when they last met at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. In the previous 3 H2H games at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Sporting have secured a victory on every occasion.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Home Stats |
0-4-6 | 2.20 | 0.40 | 1.80 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 6 | |
| Sporting Away Stats |
6-4-0 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 0.90 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 16/01 2026 Sporting 3 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 08/08 2025 Casa Pia 0 Sporting 2
- Primeira Liga: 09/03 2025 Casa Pia 1 Sporting 3
- Primeira Liga: 05/10 2024 Sporting 2 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 29/01 2024 Sporting 8 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 18/08 2023 Casa Pia 1 Sporting 2
- Primeira Liga: 09/04 2023 Casa Pia 3 Sporting 4
- Primeira Liga: 22/10 2022 Sporting 3 Casa Pia 1
Casa Pia League Stats
Sporting League Stats
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 2.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 38.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 60.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Casa Pia this season are Benjamin Pauwels (1), Henrique Araujo (1), Joao Rego (1)
- Top Assistors for Casa Pia this season are Henrique Araujo (1), Lawrence Ofori (1), Mohamed El Boukammiri (1)
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Casa Pia vs Sporting Lineups & Team News
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1
Sporting Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1
Sporting Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Previous Sporting Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Filipe Coelho
Sporting Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicão | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Marítimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Sporting | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Vitória | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | 8 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 9 | Viseu | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 11 | Alverca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Estrela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 14 | Marítimo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Famalicão | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 17 | Estoril | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
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