Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Apr 2026

FA Cup Semi-Final Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Leeds

Chelsea and Leeds battle it out in this FA Cup semi-final at Wembley, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Sunday 26 April.

Leeds look a solid option with a +0.5 goal start at -128. The Whites should be able to win or draw against Chelsea, with this Asian Handicap prediction looking like a value bet and we expect the line to be covered.

Calum McFarlane has taken over as Chelsea’s interim head coach after Liam Rosenior was dismissed just a few months into a six-year deal.

Chelsea come into this semi-final in poor form, having lost seven of their last eight games in all competitions. Last time out, Chelsea suffered a 3-0 defeat away to Brighton at the American Express Stadium. The West London outfit had 46% possession and didn’t record any shots on target.

Leeds United had a 2-2 draw at Vitality Stadium in their previous game. This was away to Bournemouth in the Premier League. Daniel Farke's side recorded 40% possession and had three shots on goal, with Sean Longstaff and a James Hill own goal on the scoresheet.

In the FA Cup quarter-finals, Chelsea hosted League One side Port Vale and won 7-0, with Leeds getting a penalty shootout win when visiting West Ham (2-2 AET).

Head-to-Head Statistics

Stamford Bridge played host to the last head-to-head where Chelsea were at home to Leeds. The clash ended in a 2-2 Premier League draw. We’ve seen the previous 9 H2H matches involve five Chelsea victories. There have also been two draws and two Leeds triumphs.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Chelsea	34	13	9	12	53	45	8	53:45	48
15	Leeds	34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	44:51	40

View Full Table

3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts. Chelsea have had 60.1% possession, 609.8 passes and 7.2 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.7 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts, while being awarded 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Joao Pedro has found the net 6 times, Alejandro Garnacho 2, with Tosin Adarabioyo and two other players on 1. Pedro Neto, Malo Gusto and Dario Essugo are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Robert Sanchez managing one clean sheet.

Leeds have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, averaging 4.6 shots on goal, 14.8 attempts and 1.7 goals. The West Yorkshire team average 46.6% possession, 4.8 corners taken and 5.5 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 12.5 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Noah Okafor is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Sean Longstaff and Dominic Calvert-Lewin have 2. Noah Okafor and Brenden Aaronson have both had 2 assists, with Karl Darlow notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down Chelsea vs Leeds from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

Leeds +0.5 could be a value play in this FA Cup semi-final. We’ll take the Asian Handicap odds of -128 for them to claim a victory or a draw, giving us two outcomes against one with this bet.

Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent FA Cup stats before coming up with a verdict.

Key Chelsea vs Leeds FA Cup & league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Leeds in 7 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Leeds in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Leeds in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 2 consecutive games against Leeds.

The best betting sites make it a 56.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Leeds.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Leeds Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 24, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 1 - 1 Leeds

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +525 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Noah Okafor Over 1.5 Shots -159

Noah Okafor (Leeds) has covered the 1.5 shots total in three straight matches. He certainly looks capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -159 are currently on offer.

Latest Noah Okafor Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+850

Shots

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

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Dominic Calvert-Lewin to Score +205

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has netted two goals in his past nine games. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +205 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Dominic Calvert-Lewin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+205

First

+550

Shots

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Chelsea vs Leeds Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Chelsea are the shortest price to win this FA Cup semi-final according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 49% probability due to their +105 betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +255 about Leeds United.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Chelsea at -208 and Leeds at +145.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -147.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all FA Cup games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

+105

X

+255

2

+255

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

+120

2

+285

Double Chance

1X

-345

12

-345

X2

-133

Draw No Bet

1

-208

2

+145

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+102

2 Hcp +0.5

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-111

Over 2.5

-116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

+105

There is +145 available that João Pedro finds the net, while he is available at +380 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+145

Anytime

+380

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+175

Anytime

+450

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+205

Anytime

+550

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Josh Acheampong (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Latest FA Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Chelsea Stats

Leeds Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.89 corners awarded and 8.00 corners against in the last 9 away matches
• An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.89 corners awarded in the last 9 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 9 away matches

Possession

• An average of 60.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 61.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 39.78% possession in the last 9 away matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 0 of the last 9 away matches

Chelsea vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Chelsea vs Leeds before you bet. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed FA Cup lineups and the latest on injuries.

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