Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Apr 2026

FA Cup Semi-Final Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Leeds

Chelsea and Leeds battle it out in this FA Cup semi-final at Wembley, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Sunday 26 April.

Leeds look a solid option with a +0.5 goal start at -128. The Whites should be able to win or draw against Chelsea, with this Asian Handicap prediction looking like a value bet and we expect the line to be covered.

Calum McFarlane has taken over as Chelsea’s interim head coach after Liam Rosenior was dismissed just a few months into a six-year deal.

Chelsea come into this semi-final in poor form, having lost seven of their last eight games in all competitions. Last time out, Chelsea suffered a 3-0 defeat away to Brighton at the American Express Stadium. The West London outfit had 46% possession and didn’t record any shots on target.

Leeds United had a 2-2 draw at Vitality Stadium in their previous game. This was away to Bournemouth in the Premier League. Daniel Farke's side recorded 40% possession and had three shots on goal, with Sean Longstaff and a James Hill own goal on the scoresheet.

In the FA Cup quarter-finals, Chelsea hosted League One side Port Vale and won 7-0, with Leeds getting a penalty shootout win when visiting West Ham (2-2 AET).

Head-to-Head Statistics

Stamford Bridge played host to the last head-to-head where Chelsea were at home to Leeds. The clash ended in a 2-2 Premier League draw. We’ve seen the previous 9 H2H matches involve five Chelsea victories. There have also been two draws and two Leeds triumphs.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts. Chelsea have had 60.1% possession, 609.8 passes and 7.2 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.7 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts, while being awarded 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Joao Pedro has found the net 6 times, Alejandro Garnacho 2, with Tosin Adarabioyo and two other players on 1. Pedro Neto, Malo Gusto and Dario Essugo are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Robert Sanchez managing one clean sheet.

Leeds have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, averaging 4.6 shots on goal, 14.8 attempts and 1.7 goals. The West Yorkshire team average 46.6% possession, 4.8 corners taken and 5.5 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 12.5 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Noah Okafor is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Sean Longstaff and Dominic Calvert-Lewin have 2. Noah Okafor and Brenden Aaronson have both had 2 assists, with Karl Darlow notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Malo Gusto, Trevoh Chalobah, Tosin Adarabioyo, Marc Cucurella, Romeo Lavia, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernandez, Alejandro Garnacho, Joao Pedro.

Leeds confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Lucas Perri (GK), James Justin, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Brenden Aaronson, Noah Okafor, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down Chelsea vs Leeds from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

Leeds +0.5 could be a value play in this FA Cup semi-final. We’ll take the Asian Handicap odds of -128 for them to claim a victory or a draw, giving us two outcomes against one with this bet.

Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent FA Cup stats before coming up with a verdict.

Key Chelsea vs Leeds FA Cup & league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Leeds in 7 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Leeds in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Leeds in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 2 consecutive games against Leeds.

The best betting sites make it a 56.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Leeds.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Leeds Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 24, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 1 - 1 Leeds

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +540 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Noah Okafor Over 1.5 Shots -159

Noah Okafor (Leeds) has covered the 1.5 shots total in three straight matches. He certainly looks capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -159 are currently on offer.

Latest Noah Okafor Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+800

Shots

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

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Dominic Calvert-Lewin to Score +205

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has netted two goals in his past nine games. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +205 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Dominic Calvert-Lewin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+175

First

+480

Shots

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Chelsea vs Leeds Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Chelsea are the shortest price to win this FA Cup semi-final according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 50% probability due to their -100 betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +255 about Leeds United.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Chelsea at -217 and Leeds at +148.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -164.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all FA Cup games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

-100

X

+265

2

+255

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+128

2

+285

Double Chance

1X

-345

12

-370

X2

-130

Draw No Bet

1

-217

2

+148

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-102

2 Hcp +0.5

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+104

Over 2.5

-133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-164

No

+118

There is +130 available that João Pedro finds the net, while he is available at +350 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+350

Anytime

+130

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+450

Anytime

+170

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+480

Anytime

+175

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+510

Anytime

+195

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+600

Anytime

+250

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+700

Anytime

+250

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+310

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+310

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+850

Anytime

+330

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+330

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+1000

Anytime

+370

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+1000

Anytime

+380

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+1100

Anytime

+430

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+1150

Anytime

+450

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+1150

Anytime

+450

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

First

+1400

Anytime

+525

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Josh Acheampong (Chelsea)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

-

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Latest FA Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Chelsea Stats

Leeds Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.89 corners awarded and 8.00 corners against in the last 9 away matches
• An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.89 corners awarded in the last 9 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 9 away matches

Possession

• An average of 60.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 61.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 39.78% possession in the last 9 away matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 0 of the last 9 away matches

Chelsea vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Chelsea vs Leeds before you bet. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed FA Cup lineups and the latest on injuries.

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