Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Sep 2026
Chelsea vs Leeds Predictions
Chelsea look like an attractive bet at -156 and we think the West London team can beat Leeds. We’ll place this Full-Time Result wager with confidence and there’s plenty of juice in the available price.
This Chelsea vs Leeds betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Chelsea vs Leeds Preview
Premier League sides Chelsea and Leeds square off in the EFL Cup third round at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 9 September.
Chelsea have recorded two wins and one defeat from their opening three Premier League matches, with their winning start ended by a 2-1 loss against Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium on Sunday. Xabi Alonso's men had 45% possession and five shots on target, with Morgan Rogers bagging the goal.
Leeds United have picked up five points from their first three Premier League games and remain unbeaten. The Whites played out a 1-1 draw against Brighton at the Amex Stadium last time out, having 33% possession and registering five shots on target, with Jayden Bogle getting on the scoresheet.
In the last round of the EFL Cup, Chelsea beat League One side Luton Town 2-0 at home, with Leeds landing a 2-0 away win over Premier League outfit Nottingham Forest.
H2H: 2-2 Draw in Previous H2H Encounter
Chelsea were at home when the teams last met and it was a 2-2 Premier League draw versus Leeds at Stamford Bridge. The previous 8 H2H matches have ended up with four Chelsea wins, two Leeds victories and two draws.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |  Chelsea |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 7 |  Leeds |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9:6 | 10 |
4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts. Chelsea have had 49.8% possession and 4.9 corners per game. On average, the Blues have conceded 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.4 corners.
Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Morgan Rogers has 2. Jorrel Hato, Joao Pedro and Pedro Neto have racked up the most assists with 2 each.
Leeds have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, with an average of 4.0 shots on goal, 12.3 attempts and 1.5 goals. The West Yorkshire team average 45.4% possession, 3.9 corners taken and 6.5 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 14.5 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored 5, followed by James Justin, Anton Stach and Noah Okafor with 2 goals apiece. Ao Tanaka, Lukas Nmecha and Sean Longstaff are top assists providers with 1, while Karl Darlow has recorded 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Chelsea confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Mike Penders (GK), Josh Acheampong, Maxence Lacroix, Levi Colwill, Malo Gusto, Reggie Watson, Valentin Barco, Pep Chavarria, Estevao, Jamie Gittens, Danny Welbeck.
Leeds confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Michael Zetterer (GK), James Justin, Jaka Bijol, Tarik Muharemovic, Daniel James, Melvin Bard, Harry Wilson, Ethan Ampadu, Sean Longstaff, Brenden Aaronson, Lukas Nmecha.
Main Match Prediction
It could be beneficial to back Chelsea for this EFL Cup clash. There’s loads of value in the -156 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league and EFL Cup matches):
Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest EFL Cup form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 61% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
There are lots of different betting options when it comes to backing Chelsea to win. This includes Asian Handicap, Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score, with bigger odds available.
Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.
Correct Score Prediction
3
-
1
Leeds
We’re predicting Chelsea to land a 3-1 victory and this is available at +1000. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has racked up at least one shot on goal in seven of his past ten matches. He certainly looks capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -147 are currently on offer.
Cole Palmer (Chelsea) has managed three goals in his past five games. There are odds of +120 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Leeds in their past two games, while Chelsea have conceded 5.40 corners on average in their last 5 matches. We’re going to take the Overs for Leeds Team Corners, with this line standing out and you can get odds of -100.
Chelsea
Leeds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can provide entertainment and we’ve got Chelsea to come out on top, both teams scoring and also Leeds to rack up over 3.5 corners.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Chelsea vs Leeds Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Chelsea betting odds are -123 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this EFL Cup encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 55% chance of winning. Leeds United are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +290.
Asian Handicap betting is popular and you can wager Chelsea -0.5 at -125 should you want to go for the favourites, with Leeds +0.5 available at -100 and you will also win with the latter if it’s a draw.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -192.
Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every EFL Cup game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.
Those interested in Cole Palmer to find the net anytime are able to get +105. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +330.
- Premier League: 10/02 2026 Chelsea 2 Leeds 2
- Premier League: 03/12 2025 Leeds 3 Chelsea 1
- Premier League: 04/03 2023 Chelsea 1 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 21/08 2022 Leeds 3 Chelsea 0
- Premier League: 11/05 2022 Leeds 0 Chelsea 3
- Premier League: 11/12 2021 Chelsea 3 Leeds 2
- Premier League: 13/03 2021 Leeds 0 Chelsea 0
- Premier League: 05/12 2020 Chelsea 3 Leeds 1
Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Chelsea Stats
Leeds Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 1 defeat and 6 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 7.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 10 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Chelsea vs Leeds Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Chelsea vs Leeds team news before wagering. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the EFL Cup and all current injury news.
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Leeds Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Leeds Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Chelsea Substitutes
- 1Emiliano Martinez
- 3Wesley Fofana
- 7Pedro Neto
- 9Joao Pedro
- 10Cole Palmer
- 17Morgan Rogers
- 21Jorrel Hato
- 23Geovany Quenda
- 24Reece James
Leeds Substitutes
- 1James Trafford
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 9D. Calvert-Lewin
- 18Anton Stach
- 19Noah Okafor
- 22Ao Tanaka
- 23Jean Bahoya
- 30Nico Elvedi
Previous Chelsea Lineups
Previous Leeds Lineups
Chelsea Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Xabi Alonso
Leeds Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Man United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 19 | Nott’m Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Brighton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Brentford | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Everton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 7 | Leeds | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Ipswich | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Hull | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Man United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 16 | Coventry | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Liverpool | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 20 | Nott’m Forest | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:3 | 1 |
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