Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026

FA Cup Final Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Manchester City

Chelsea clash with Manchester City in the FA Cup final at Wembley, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 16 May.

There is plenty of reason to back City in the Full-Time Result market, especially at an attractive price of -156.

Considering the latest form, xG data and the head-to-head record, where City have won four of the last five meetings against Chelsea, it is easy to make the case for the Citizens proving too strong in this encounter.

Chelsea come into this final sitting ninth in the Premier League, while Manchester City remain in the title race, trailing Arsenal by two points with two games remaining.

Chelsea drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 Premier League scoreline was played out against Liverpool at Anfield. Calum McFarlane's side had 51% possession and managed three shots on target, while Enzo Fernandez was the goalscorer.

Manchester City claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-0 Premier League victory occurred against Crystal Palace at Etihad Stadium. The Citizens had an impressive 72% of possession and managed four shots on goal, while Antoine Semenyo, Omar Marmoush and Savinho were all on target.

In the FA Cup semi-finals, Chelsea beat Southampton 2-1, while City secured a 1-0 victory over Leeds. Both matches were played at Wembley Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City have not lost any of the past ten games against Chelsea. Their last clash saw City enjoy a 3-0 Premier League away win at Stamford Bridge. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured seven City wins and three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	38	23	9	6	77	35	42	77:35	78
10	Chelsea	38	14	10	14	58	52	6	58:52	52

View Full Table

Chelsea have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts. The Blues have averaged 59.0% possession, 613.8 passes and 6.3 corners per match, conceding 1.7 goals and 4.4 corners from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts.

Joao Pedro leads the way with 3 goals, with Enzo Fernandez and Alejandro Garnacho scoring 2 each. Leading assistors have been Pedro Neto and Dario Essugo with 2, while goalkeeper Robert Sanchez has 2 clean sheets.

City have 8 victories and 2 draws, averaging 6.7 shots on goal, 20.2 attempts and 2.5 goals. Pep Guardiola's team average 64.7% possession, 600.8 passes, 9.7 corners taken and 3.2 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 8.2 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Erling Haaland has scored 7 goals, followed by Jeremy Doku on 5 and Omar Marmoush with 4. Rayan Cherki has clocked up 5 assists, with Gianluigi Donnarumma and James Trafford collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Wesley Fofana, Levi Colwill, Jorrel Hato, Malo Gusto, Reece James, Moises Caicedo, Marc Cucurella, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Joao Pedro.

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-4-2): James Trafford (GK), Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Marc Guehi, Nico O'Reilly, Antoine Semenyo, Bernardo Silva, Rodri, Jeremy Doku, Omar Marmoush, Erling Haaland.

Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

Get set for Chelsea vs Manchester City with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

City are on course for a nice return ahead of this FA Cup clash, with odds of -156 standing out on the coupon. We’re feeling fairly optimistic that this prediction will be on the money.

Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best FA Cup stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Chelsea vs Manchester City FA Cup & league stats:

• City have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• City have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• City have won 2 consecutive games.
• Chelsea have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Chelsea have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Chelsea have lost 7 of their last 10 games against City.

The best betting sites make it a 61% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re after a wager at a bigger price, then City are available on the Asian Handicap. The bookmakers have a range of available options for you to consider.

Get rewarded when bet. Check our latest guide featuring top-rated free bets, promotions and sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

City To Win @ -156 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 14, 16:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 0 - 2 Man City

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-0 being landed by City. You can secure odds of +750 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cole Palmer Over 1.5 Shots -161

Cole Palmer (Chelsea) has had over 1.5 shots in five of his past eight games. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Player Shots line at odds of -161.

Latest Cole Palmer Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+800

Shots

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

---

Erling Haaland to Score -108

Erling Haaland (City) has scored at least one goal in his past two games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of -108.

Latest Erling Haaland Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-118

First

+280

Shots

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -132

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in seven consecutive City matches, while there has been an average of 10.70 corners in the previous ten games involving Chelsea. We recommend backing the -132 that the teams are able to cover the line, with this Total Corners bet hopefully providing a return.

FA Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

10.70 6.30 4.40

Home

10.70 6.80 3.90

Away

10.67 5.67 5.00

Man City

Total

12.90 9.70 3.20

Home

10.50 6.70 3.80

Away

11.10 7.80 3.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-104

Under 10.5

-135

Chelsea Corners

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+102

Man City Corners

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+108

Most Corners

1

+220

X

+700

2

-233

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Chelsea vs Manchester City Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -143, the bookies make Manchester City probable winners and there’s a 59% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this FA Cup encounter. If you want to wager on the underdog, Chelsea have been priced up at +370.

If you wager City -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -112, your stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0. A 2+ goal victory over Chelsea achieves a full payout, with a one goal win meaning half the stake is a winner and the other half refunded.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -172.

The best football betting sites cover FA Cup games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+370

X

+300

2

-143

Half-Time Result

1

+310

X

+138

2

+130

Double Chance

1X

+110

12

-417

X2

-526

Draw No Bet

1

+225

2

-345

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-110

2 Hcp -0.75

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-161

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+123

Erling Haaland is the market leader at +280 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-118

Anytime

+280

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+170

Anytime

+475

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+185

Anytime

+550

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Phil Foden (City)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+340

Anytime

+950

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Marc Guéhi (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Mateo Kovacic (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Nico Gonzalez (City)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Rodri (City)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 5.5

+650

Under 5.5

-

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 4.5

+750

Under 4.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 1.5

-263

Under 1.5

-

Marc Guéhi (City)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Kovacic (City)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Nico Gonzalez (City)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Latest FA Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Chelsea Stats

Manchester City Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 9.70 corners awarded and 3.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 12.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 59.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 61.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 64.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 65.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches

Chelsea vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Chelsea vs City, check the team news first. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the FA Cup together with updated injury news.

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