Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Nov 2026

Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Defensa To Win @ +120

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Defensa y Justicia look like a spot of value at +120 when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. The home team should be able to deliver a victory against Independiente based on the information available.

Continue reading for our full Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente betting analysis, outlining the core arguments for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Preview

Defensa y Justicia meet Independiente, with kick-off set for 17:00 on Monday 2 November.

Defensa y Justicia won their last game 2-1. This was an away victory against Talleres. El Halcón enjoyed 51% possession and had six shots on target, while Leandro Fernandez and Juan Gutierrez each scored one goal.

Independiente were defeated in their previous game, losing 1-0 at home to Boca Juniors. Jadson Viera's team finished with just 34% possession and didn’t have any shots on goal.

H2H: 3-1 Victory for Independiente in Last Head-to-Head

The most recent head-to-head saw Independiente record a 3-1 home victory against Defensa. The previous 7 H2H games have featured three Independiente wins, two draws and two Defensa victories.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Defensa Justicia	14	8	3	3	20	13	7	20:13	27
15	Independiente	14	5	4	5	12	14	-2	12:14	19

View Full Table

Defensa have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 15.2 attempts. Julio Vaccari's side have averaged 50.8% possession and 4.0 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 6.9 corners from 4.6 shots on goal and 17.1 attempts.

Top scorer Leandro Fernandez has found the net 4 times, with Juan Gutierrez, Cesar Perez, Jeremias Lucco and Hector Martinez getting 2 goals each. Juan Gutierrez has recorded the most assists with 5.

Independiente have 3 victories, 3 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 3.6 shots on goal, 14.3 attempts and 0.9 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 50.4% possession, 4.8 corners taken and 6.0 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 15.0 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Maximiliano Meza is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Lautaro Millan on 2, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel and two others bagging 1. Santiago Gabriel Montiel has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Defensa y Justicia predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Matías Borgogno (GK), Valentín Loza, Ezequiel Burdin, David Martinez, Demián Domínguez, Santiago Sosa, César Pérez, Jeremías Lucco, David Barbona, Juan Gutiérrez, Leandro Fernandez.

Independiente predicted lineup (4-3-3): Santiago Mele (GK), Santiago Arias, Juan Miguel Arrayago, Sebastián Valdéz, Nahuel Banegas, Mateo Pérez Curci, Luciano Cabral, Maximiliano Meza, Santiago Montiel, Ezequiel Ávila, Josias Palais.

Main Match Prediction

There are several reasons to back Defensa y Justicia, especially considering that you can get value odds of +120. We think that the favourites will have too much in hand for this Primera División encounter.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• Defensa have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Defensa have won 6 of their last 10 games.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Primera División stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 45.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 50-55%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are some excellent alternatives when it comes to backing Defensa if you think they’ll prove too strong. One option is the Asian Handicap where you can choose a line at bigger odds.

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Defensa To Win @ +120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 31, 23:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Defensa 2 - 1 Independiente

Let’s take a chance on the +650 available that Defensa secure a 2-1 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luciano Cabral Over 0.5 Shots On Target +200

Luciano Cabral (Independiente) is available to register one or more shots on goal at +200. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.

Latest Luciano Cabral Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+2000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-

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David Barbona to Score +390

David Barbona (Defensa) has netted four goals in his past eight Primera División matches on home soil. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +390.

Latest David Barbona Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -100

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in five consecutive Defensa home matches, with the last ten Independiente games averaging 10.80 corners. The Total Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -100 that it’s covered.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Defensa

Total

10.90 4.00 6.90

Home

9.60 4.90 4.70

Away

10.00 4.20 5.80

Independiente

Total

10.80 4.80 6.00

Home

11.10 7.10 4.00

Away

9.20 3.40 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-143

Defensa Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-115

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-127

X

+550

2

+117

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Favourites Defensa y Justicia are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Primera División clash. The +120 about them triumphing means a 45% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Independiente are the outsiders at +230 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

There are various ways to back Defensa and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s -118 currently available that they beat Independiente and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.

For those wagering on Primera División games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

+120

X

+225

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+102

2

+270

Double Chance

1X

-312

12

-303

X2

-156

Draw No Bet

1

-185

2

+125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-118

2 Hcp +0.25

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+117

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-119

Those interested in favourite Leandro Fernández to find the net first can get +420, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +175.

Leandro Fernández (Defensa)

First

+420

Anytime

+175

Juan Gutiérrez (Defensa)

First

+650

Anytime

+280

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+900

Anytime

+370

David Barbona (Defensa)

First

+900

Anytime

+390

Matías Abaldo (Independiente)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Iván Morales (Independiente)

First

+1000

Anytime

+410

Chimy Ávila (Independiente)

First

+1100

Anytime

+475

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

César Pérez (Defensa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Santiago Sosa (Defensa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Juan Gutiérrez (Defensa)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

David Barbona (Defensa)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Iván Morales (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Matías Abaldo (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Chimy Ávila (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Leandro Fernández (Defensa)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

Defensa y Justicia Team Page Independiente Team Page

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