Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 16 May 2026

Primera A Betting Preview: Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional

Deportes Tolima square off against Atlético Nacional, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Saturday 16 May.

Deportes Tolima +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Atlético Nacional the desired outcome at betting odds of -147.

Deportes Tolima have got the win in back-to-back Primera A games. On their travels, Deportivo Pasto were recently beaten 2-0.

Atlético Nacional have won back-to-back Primera A matches, including a recent 7-1 victory against Inter Bogotá at home.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Tolima defeated Nacional in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 1-0 scoreline at home. There have been four draws in the past 10 H2H games along with three wins apiece.

Categoria Primera A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Atlético Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	20	35:15	40
6	Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	10	27:17	31

View Full Table

Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional bets covered, including our expert match prediction, top correct score pick, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Deportes Tolima +0.25 for this Primera A game, with odds of -147 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Primera A stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tolima in 9 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tolima in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tolima in 2 consecutive games against Nacional.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There are several options available including selling goals. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Our Match Prediction

Tolima Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -147 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 14, 22:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tolima 2 - 1 Nacional

Tolima are available at +700 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kelvin Javier Flórez Mosquera To Score +270

Kelvin Javier Flórez Mosquera (Tolima) can be wagered at +270 to score. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Kelvin Javier Flórez Mosquera Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+600

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The available 1x2 betting prices reveal that Atlético Nacional are +140 for a Primera A win, with Deportes Tolima being +180. The draw is on offer at +220 if you expect the game to finish level.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Nacional are -139 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Tolima being priced up at -102 with the same money back guarantee.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -139.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Primera A game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+220

2

+140

Half-Time Result

1

+230

X

+112

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-208

12

-345

X2

-270

Draw No Bet

1

-102

2

-139

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-147

2 Hcp -0.25

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-132

Over 2.5

-108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

-102

Favourite Alfredo Morelos is now available at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Alfredo Morelos (Nacional)

First

+138

Anytime

+330

Luis Sandoval (Tolima)

First

+235

Anytime

+525

Cristian Arango (Nacional)

First

+255

Anytime

+575

Kelvin Javier Flórez Mosquera (Tolima)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Juan Torres (Tolima)

First

+275

Anytime

+600

Adrian Parra (Tolima)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Marlos Moreno (Nacional)

First

+295

Anytime

+700

Juan Bauza (Nacional)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Ever Valencia (Tolima)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Jader Valencia (Tolima)

First

+335

Anytime

+750

Andres Sarmiento (Nacional)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Juan Rengifo (Nacional)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Jersson Gonzalez (Tolima)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Eduard Bello (Nacional)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Edwin Cardona (Nacional)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Dairon Asprilla (Nacional)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Brayan Rovira (Tolima)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Nicolás Rodríguez (Nacional)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Edwar López (Tolima)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Juan Pablo Nieto (Tolima)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Elan Ricardo (Tolima)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Junior Alexis Hernandez Angulo (Tolima)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Juan Mera (Tolima)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Samuel Velásquez (Nacional)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Andrés Felipe Román (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional Lineups & Team News

The latest Tolima vs Nacional team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll update you with the confirmed Primera A lineups and the latest injury reports.

Deportes Tolima Team Page Atlético Nacional Team Page

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