Derby vs Birmingham Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Mar 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Birmingham

Derby host Birmingham at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 21 March.

Derby look capable of beating Birmingham and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back the home team at -139 with a +0.25 goal start, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5 which means a return if they avoid defeat.

Derby County have enjoyed three home wins on the bounce. In their last game, they won away at Fratton Park when beating Portsmouth 1-0. The East Midlands side had just 32% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Sammie Szmodics netting the winner early in the first half.

Birmingham City drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against Sheffield United at St Andrew's. Blues enjoyed 61% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with Marvin Ducksch finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Birmingham are unbeaten when it comes to the past four games against Derby, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at St Andrew's. The past 8 meetings between these sides have resulted in three Derby victories and two Birmingham wins. There have also been three draws.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67	59	8	67:59	69
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57	56	1	57:56	64

View Full Table

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 11.5 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. Derby have had 47.1% possession and 2.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 13.3 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal, while earning 5.0 corners.

Top goalscorer Rhian Brewster has found the net 4 times, with Ben Brereton Diaz and Patrick Agyemang scoring 3 each. The top assist makers are Joe Ward, Derry Murkin and Callum Elder, all of whom have 2 on the board.

Birmingham have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.6 shots on goal, 13.5 attempts and 1.0 goals. The West Midlands outfit average 54.1% possession, 6.6 corners taken and 3.3 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 9.6 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Marvin Ducksch is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, while Patrick Roberts, Carlos Vicente, Ibrahim Osman and Jay Stansfield have 1. Jay Stansfield has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Richard O'Donnell (GK), Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matthew Clarke, Derry Murkin, Lewis Travis, Bobby Clark, Ben Brereton Diaz, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang.

Birmingham confirmed lineup (3-4-3): James Beadle (GK), Christoph Klarer, Jack Robinson, Jonathan Panzo, Ethan Laird, Tomoki Iwata, Seung-Ho Paik, Ibrahim Osman, Demarai Gray, Marvin Ducksch, Jay Stansfield.

Derby vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover the top Derby vs Birmingham betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

Back Derby with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -139 for this Championship encounter. We’re sweet on their chances of outperforming the match winner odds and this bet is a value proposition.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Championship experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Derby vs Birmingham league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Birmingham in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Birmingham in 14 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Birmingham in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 2 consecutive games against Birmingham.

The best betting apps make it a 58.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.

Considering placing a bet? Explore today’s best welcome bonuses and sign-up offers in our full guide before you get started.

Our Match Prediction

Derby Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -139 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 19, 13:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Derby 1 - 0 Birmingham

A 1-0 win in favor of Derby is available at odds of +700. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sammie Szmodics to Score +360

Sammie Szmodics (Derby) has netted two goals in his past five Championship games. We’re content to land the +360 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Sammie Szmodics Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+950

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Birmingham To Have Most Corners -105

Birmingham have had an average of 6.60 corners in the past 10 games, with Derby averaging 2.90 corners in their last 10 matches. We can’t resist the opportunity to take -105 that Birmingham win the Corner Match bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

7.90 2.90 5.00

Home

10.10 5.70 4.40

Away

8.60 3.10 5.50

Birmingham

Total

9.90 6.60 3.30

Home

10.40 7.60 2.80

Away

10.30 5.10 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-102

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-106

Birmingham Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-102

Most Corners

1

+102

X

+650

2

-104

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Derby vs Birmingham Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You can get betting odds of +143 for Birmingham City winning this Championship clash and the bookies have Derby County available at +180. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at +240.

Birmingham can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -139. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Derby are -102.

Over and Under 2.5 Goals bettors are able to get similar odds on the Total Goals market. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -154 on the Both Teams to Score market.

The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Championship game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+240

2

+143

Half-Time Result

1

+225

X

+118

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-192

12

-345

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

-102

2

-139

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-139

2 Hcp -0.25

+106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-115

Over 2.5

-116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+112

Carlton Morris is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +400. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +155.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+155

Anytime

+400

August Priske (Birmingham)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Carlos Vicente (Birmingham)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Ibrahim Osman (Birmingham)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Derry John Murkin (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Tommy Doyle (Birmingham)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Seung-ho Paik (Birmingham)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jhon Solís (Birmingham)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Derby have won three on the bounce at Pride Park. The East Midlands side have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Birmingham have clocked up six losses, three wins and one draw in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

It was a 2-2 draw when Derby last faced Birmingham at Pride Park. In the past 3 H2H games at Pride Park, we have seen one Derby win, one Birmingham victory and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		4-3-3	2.60	1.40	1.20	5	5	8	2
Birmingham Away Stats		3-1-6	2.60	0.90	1.70	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Derby vs Birmingham Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Derby vs Birmingham, check the team news first. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Derby County Team Page Birmingham City Team Page

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