Derby vs Birmingham Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Sep 2026

Derby vs Birmingham Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Birmingham To Win @ +120

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We’ll go directly for the pick of Birmingham when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. We think they are capable of a comfortable win against Derby, with odds of +120 looking too good to pass up.

Read on for our full Derby vs Birmingham betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Derby vs Birmingham Preview

Derby welcome Birmingham to Pride Park, with kick-off set for 08:30 on Saturday 12 September.

Derby County were beaten 1-0 at Pride Park in their last league game. This defeat at home to West Bromwich Albion was their second straight Championship loss. John Eustace's men dominated possession with 67% of the ball and recorded three shots on target.

Birmingham City lost their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 2-1 defeat against Norwich City at Carrow Road. The West Midlands side were 49% in the possession stakes and managed three shots on goal, while Carlos Vicente found the net.

H2H: 1-0 Victory for Derby in Pair’s Previous Head-to-Head

Derby are unbeaten in the past three games against Birmingham. Their last encounter saw Derby make home advantage count at Pride Park, winning 1-0. The past 9 H2H matches have included four Derby victories, three draws and two Birmingham wins.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	20	12	8	20:12	20
23	Derby	12	1	4	7	10	21	-11	10:21	7

View Full Table

3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Derby have had 49.3% possession and 5.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts, while being awarded 5.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Sammie Szmodics has found the net 3 times, Jaydon Banel 2, with Lars-Joergen Salvesen and two other players on 1. Bobby Clark and Carlton Morris are tied for the most assists on 2.

Birmingham have won 3, lost 1 and drawn 6, with an average of 12.1 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. Blues average 49.5% possession, 6.3 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts.

Phil Neumann has scored 3, followed by Jay Stansfield and August Priske with 2 goals apiece. Patrick Roberts has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Joe Ward, Sondre Klingen Langaas, Eiran Cashin, Charlie Taylor, Bobby Clark, David Ozoh, Mohammed Fuseini, Sammie Szmodics, Henrik Meister, Carlton Morris.

Birmingham confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Beadle (GK), Bright Osayi-Samuel, Phil Neumann, Christoph Klarer, Alexander Cochrane, Tomoki Iwata, Jhon Solis, Carlos Vicente, Jay Stansfield, Liam Millar, August Priske.

Main Match Prediction

Birmingham are available at +120 to land a win and we think this price looks far too big. We’re anticipating that the visitors will claim a Championship victory and some nice dividends can be landed.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• Derby have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Derby have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Derby have lost their last 2 games.

We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Championship team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 45.5% likelihood of our pick winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 50-55%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you think the price for Birmingham to win is too short, then consider boosting your odds by pairing this selection with both teams to score on the Result & BTTS market.

Considering placing a bet? Explore today’s best welcome bonuses and sign-up offers in our full guide before you get started.

Birmingham To Win @ +120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 10, 14:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Derby 0 - 1 Birmingham

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Birmingham to win by a 1-0 scoreline. At odds of +525, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jay Stansfield Over 0.5 Shots On Target -110

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) is available at -110 to record one or more shots on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest Jay Stansfield Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

---

Carlos Vicente to Score +350

Carlos Vicente (Birmingham) has registered three goals in his past ten Championship away matches. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +350 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Carlos Vicente Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Derby Over 4.5 Corners -120

Derby have had over 4.5 corners in eight consecutive home games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Derby Team Corners line to get covered at -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

11.50 5.80 5.70

Home

9.60 6.10 3.50

Away

10.30 3.30 7.00

Birmingham

Total

9.90 6.30 3.60

Home

9.90 6.20 3.70

Away

9.80 5.40 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

-100

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-105

Birmingham Corners

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-109

Most Corners

1

+108

X

+680

2

-108

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Derby vs Birmingham Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Birmingham City are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Championship encounter. The +110 for them coming out on top suggests a 48% probability based on their latest betting odds. The market suggests that Derby County are least likely to win at +245.

If you think Birmingham can overcome Derby, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are -127 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -128.

If you’re betting on Championship games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+245

X

+225

2

+110

Half-Time Result

1

+280

X

+104

2

+165

Double Chance

1X

-143

12

-312

X2

-345

Draw No Bet

1

+140

2

-204

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-103

2 Hcp -0.25

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-108

Those interested in Carlton Morris to find the net anytime can get +195, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +480.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+480

Anytime

+195

August Priske (Birmingham)

First

+500

Anytime

+205

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

First

+600

Anytime

+250

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

First

+650

Anytime

+270

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

First

+700

Anytime

+300

Liam Millar (Birmingham)

First

+750

Anytime

+300

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+310

Luis Vázquez (Birmingham)

First

+750

Anytime

+310

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+320

Meister Henrik (Derby)

First

+850

Anytime

+330

Carlos Vicente (Birmingham)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Mohammed Fuseini (Derby)

First

+1050

Anytime

+450

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+1150

Anytime

+500

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Scott Wright (Birmingham)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Ryan Hedges (Derby)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Jhon Solís (Birmingham)

First

+1700

Anytime

+750

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Alex Cochrane (Birmingham)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Seung-ho Paik (Birmingham)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Kristoffer Lund (Birmingham)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Alex Mowatt (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Bright Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Dael Fry (Birmingham)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

August Priske (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Meister Henrik (Derby)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Luis Vázquez (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Liam Millar (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vicente (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Mohammed Fuseini (Derby)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Scott Wright (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Hedges (Derby)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Jhon Solís (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Alex Cochrane (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Seung-ho Paik (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Alex Mowatt (Derby)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

David Ozoh (Derby)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Joe Ward (Derby)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Kristoffer Lund (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-

Bright Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+410

Under 0.5

-

Dael Fry (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+410

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Championship matches only.
Derby have not won at Pride Park in the past four matches. John Eustace's men have collected six victories, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Birmingham have five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Derby beat Birmingham 1-0 when they last met at Pride Park. The past 4 H2H games at Pride Park have involved two Derby wins, one Birmingham victory and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		6-1-3	2.40	1.40	1.00	5	5	4	6
Birmingham Away Stats		2-3-5	2.10	0.80	1.30	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Derby vs Birmingham Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Derby vs Birmingham team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus current injury reports.

Derby County Team Page Birmingham City Team Page

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