Derby vs Bolton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Nov 2026
Derby vs Bolton Predictions
Our stake will be split when taking Bolton +0.25 at odds of -132 for this Asian Handicap bet. It means a return in the event of a draw but a bigger payout should the visitors claim a win against Derby.
Explore our full Derby vs Bolton betting preview, which features the complete write-up for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Derby vs Bolton Preview
Derby meet Bolton at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Friday 6 November.
Derby County have been defeated in back-to-back Championship games, most recently suffering a 4-0 home loss to Norwich City at Pride Park. John Eustace's team recorded 46% possession and had two shots on target.
Bolton Wanderers won their previous game 1-0. This was an away victory at The Valley against Charlton Athletic. The Trotters had 43% of possession and three shots on goal, with Sam Dalby firing the winner in the 18th minute.
H2H: Derby 1-0 Winners in Previous Head-to-Head
Derby claimed victory in the previous meeting between these teams. A 1-0 League One home win was registered against Bolton at Pride Park. We’ve seen the previous 5 H2H games involve three triumphs for Derby, one draw and one win for Bolton.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 |  Bolton |
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 23 |  Derby |
14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 11:29 | 7 |
7 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Derby have had 49.9% possession and 5.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.2 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.5 corners.
Top scorer Bobby Clark has found the net 2 times, with Filip Bilbija, Lars-Joergen Salvesen, Sammie Szmodics and Mohammed Fuseini getting 1 goals each. Mohammed Fuseini, Rhian Brewster and Sammie Szmodics are the leading assists makers with 1.
Bolton have won 4, lost 5 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.5 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.0% possession, 4.7 corners taken and 5.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.1 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts.
Sam Dalby is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, while Josh Sheehan, Thelonius Bair, Atsuki Ito and Thierry Gale have 2. Gaizka Larrazabal has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
Bolton look a quality wager for this Championship encounter and we can bet the away team at -132 with a +0.25 goal handicap. The latest numbers imply that they can swerve defeat and claim a victory.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent Championship stats before coming up with a verdict.
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 56.8% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
In the quest to secure larger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.
Before betting, make sure to browse our bonus guide packed with the best betting promo codes, free bets, and sign-up offers.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Bolton
Bolton are available to back at +750 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Player Prop Picks
Kyliane Dong (Bolton) is available to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -164. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Sam Dalby (Bolton) has been among the goals in back-to-back Championship games. It’s worth a play on the +210 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a same-game multi and the legs include Bolton with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, Under 2.5 accompanied by Kyliane Dong (Bolton) to have one or more shots on target.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Derby vs Bolton Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Championship clash, Derby County are the +130 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 43% chance of winning. If you’re searching for a different slant, Bolton Wanderers are available at +185.
Should you want to back Derby to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -149 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Bolton have been chalked up at +105.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -172 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
No matter what Championship match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.
Those interested in favourite Carlton Morris to find the net first are able to get +450. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +155.
Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Derby have not triumphed at Pride Park in eight straight matches. John Eustace's team have managed six losses, two victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.60.
Bolton haven’t lost any of their past four away games. The Trotters have collected four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.40.
The past meeting at Pride Park saw Derby defeat Bolton 1-0. The previous 3 H2H matches at Pride Park have seen Derby triumph every time.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby Home Stats |
2-2-6 | 2.40 | 0.80 | 1.60 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
| Bolton Away Stats |
4-3-3 | 2.60 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Derby League Stats
Bolton League Stats
- 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.86 corners awarded and 5.71 corners against in the last 7 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.57 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 5 of the last 7 away matches
- An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.43% possession in the last 7 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 7 away matches
- Top Scorers for Derby this season are Bobby Clark (3), Sammie Szmodics (3), Lars-Joergen Salvesen (2)
- Top Assistors for Derby this season are Bobby Clark (2), Carlton Morris (1), Mohammed Fuseini (1)
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Derby vs Bolton Lineups & Team News
Previous Derby Lineups
Previous Bolton Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Derby Player Stats & Squad
Manager: John Eustace
Bolton Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolverhampton | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 17:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Cardiff | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Portsmouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 10 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Blackburn | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 12 | West Brom | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 13 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 16 | West Ham | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Charlton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 19 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 21 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 22 | Lincoln | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 24 | Derby | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | 2 |
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