Derby vs Cardiff Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Aug 2026

Derby vs Cardiff Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Cardiff Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -122

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The draw can be a favourable outcome when wagering Cardiff +0.5 at an Asian Handicap price of -122. The Bluebirds should be able to avoid a loss against Derby and this wager has the numbers to secure a return.

Continue reading for our complete Derby vs Cardiff betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Derby vs Cardiff Preview

Derby go head-to-head with Cardiff at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 22 August.

Derby County opened the new season with a 2-1 defeat away to Charlton Athletic at The Valley. The East Midlands outfit had most of the ball boasting 55% possession and four shots on target, while Sammie Szmodics bagged the goal.

Cardiff City drew 1-1 against Wrexham in their season opener. This was on home soil at Cardiff City Stadium. Brian Barry-Murphy's men racked up two shots on goal and boasted 67% possession, while Rubin Colwill was on the scoresheet.

Cardiff Came Out on Top in Previous H2H

Cardiff won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 2-1 home triumph when facing Derby at Cardiff City Stadium. We’ve seen five Cardiff wins, one Derby victory and two draws for the past 8 matches involving these teams.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1:1	1
17	Derby	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	1:2	0

View Full Table

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Derby predicted lineup (3-5-2): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Sondre Langås, Dion Sanderson, Craig Forsyth, Joe Ward, Bobby Clark, Lewis Travis, Alex Mowatt, Charlie Taylor, Lars-Jorgen Salvesen, Carlton Morris.

Cardiff predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Nathan Trott (GK), Perry Ng, Noah Anyadike, Joel Bagan, Calum Scanlon, Alexander Robertson, Rubin Colwill, Jack Moylan, Cian Ashford, Chris Willock, Yousef Salech.

Main Match Prediction

We’re taking Cardiff on the Asian Handicap with +0.5 goal start. The away team can either triumph or secure a draw in this Championship encounter, with this wager looking like value at -122.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Cardiff in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Cardiff in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 7 of their last 8 games against Cardiff.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Championship experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 54.9% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.

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Cardiff Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -122 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 20, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Derby 1 - 1 Cardiff

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +450. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cian Ashford Over 0.5 Shots On Target +135

Cian Ashford (Cardiff) can be wagered to register at least one shot on goal at +135. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.

Latest Cian Ashford Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

---

Rubin Colwill to Score +450

Rubin Colwill (Cardiff) has racked up three goals in his past five league games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +450.

Latest Rubin Colwill Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Derby vs Cardiff Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a roughly 51% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -104 betting odds for Derby County winning this Championship clash. Cardiff City are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +280.

Derby can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -244. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Cardiff are +163.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Championship games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-104

X

+235

2

+280

Half-Time Result

1

+148

X

+110

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-333

X2

-125

Draw No Bet

1

-244

2

+163

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-106

2 Hcp +0.5

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-133

Over 2.5

-102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-110

Carlton Morris is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +330 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +130.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+330

Anytime

+130

Filip Bilbija (Derby)

First

+410

Anytime

+170

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+550

Anytime

+230

Yousef Salech (Cardiff)

First

+600

Anytime

+240

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+330

Callum Robinson (Cardiff)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+380

Cian Ashford (Cardiff)

First

+1000

Anytime

+420

Rubin Colwill (Cardiff)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Isaak Davies (Cardiff)

First

+1100

Anytime

+460

Chris Willock (Cardiff)

First

+1100

Anytime

+475

Ollie Tanner (Cardiff)

First

+1400

Anytime

+550

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Alex Mowatt (Derby)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

David Turnbull (Cardiff)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Alex Robertson (Cardiff)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Sondre Klingen Langas (Derby)

First

+1900

Anytime

+900

Max Johnston (Derby)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Lewis Travis (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Matt Clarke (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Charlie Taylor (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Ryan Nyambe (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Dion Sanderson (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Filip Bilbija (Derby)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Yousef Salech (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Callum Robinson (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Cian Ashford (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Isaak Davies (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Chris Willock (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Rubin Colwill (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Ollie Tanner (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Alex Mowatt (Derby)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

David Turnbull (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Joe Ward (Derby)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Alex Robertson (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Max Johnston (Derby)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Sondre Klingen Langas (Derby)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Matt Clarke (Derby)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Dion Sanderson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Travis (Derby)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-

Charlie Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-

Stats: League matches only
Derby have finished with six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Cardiff have clocked up four wins, four draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 2.50 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Derby overcame Cardiff 1-0 when the sides last met at Pride Park. The past 4 H2H games at Pride Park have seen two draws along with a victory for Derby and a win for Cardiff.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		6-1-3	2.40	1.50	0.90	5	5	6	4
Cardiff Away Stats		4-4-2	4.10	2.50	1.60	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Derby vs Cardiff Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Derby vs Cardiff team news before you bet. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Championship lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Derby County Team Page Cardiff City Team Page

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