Derby vs Cardiff Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Aug 2026

Derby vs Cardiff Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Cardiff Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -122

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The draw can be a favourable outcome when wagering Cardiff +0.5 at an Asian Handicap price of -122. The Bluebirds should be able to avoid a loss against Derby and this wager has the numbers to secure a return.

Continue reading for our complete Derby vs Cardiff betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Derby vs Cardiff Preview

Derby go head-to-head with Cardiff at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 22 August.

Derby County opened the new season with a 2-1 defeat away to Charlton Athletic at The Valley. The East Midlands outfit had most of the ball boasting 55% possession and four shots on target, while Sammie Szmodics bagged the goal.

Cardiff City drew 1-1 against Wrexham in their season opener. This was on home soil at Cardiff City Stadium. Brian Barry-Murphy's men racked up two shots on goal and boasted 67% possession, while Rubin Colwill was on the scoresheet.

H2H: Cardiff Came Out on Top in Previous H2H

Cardiff won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 2-1 home triumph when facing Derby at Cardiff City Stadium. We’ve seen five Cardiff wins, one Derby victory and two draws for the past 8 matches involving these teams.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
21	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	10	12	-2	10:12	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	7	14	-7	7:14	5

View Full Table

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Max Johnston, Dion Sanderson, Sondre Klingen Langaas, Charlie Taylor, Lewis Travis, Alex Mowatt, Bobby Clark, Oscar Fraulo, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Carlton Morris.

Cardiff confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nathan Trott (GK), Ronan Kpakio, Perry Ng, Joel Bagan, Calum Scanlon, Jack Moylan, Alex Robertson, Ollie Tanner, Rubin Colwill, Cian Ashford, Yousef Salech.

Main Match Prediction

We’re taking Cardiff on the Asian Handicap with +0.5 goal start. The away team can either triumph or secure a draw in this Championship encounter, with this wager looking like value at -122.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Cardiff in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Cardiff in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 7 of their last 8 games against Cardiff.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Championship experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 54.9% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.

Considering placing a bet? Explore today’s best welcome bonuses and sign-up offers in our full guide before you get started.

Cardiff Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -122 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 20, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Derby 1 - 1 Cardiff

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +460. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cian Ashford Over 0.5 Shots On Target +135

Cian Ashford (Cardiff) can be wagered to register at least one shot on goal at +135. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.

Latest Cian Ashford Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

---

Rubin Colwill to Score +450

Rubin Colwill (Cardiff) has racked up three goals in his past five league games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +450.

Latest Rubin Colwill Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Derby vs Cardiff Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a roughly 50% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their +102 betting odds for Derby County winning this Championship clash. Cardiff City are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +250.

Derby can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -217. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Cardiff are +148.

Over and Under 2.5 Goals bettors are able to get similar odds on the Total Goals market. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -139 on the BTTS market.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Championship games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+102

X

+240

2

+250

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

+120

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-333

X2

-133

Draw No Bet

1

-217

2

+148

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-102

2 Hcp +0.5

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-120

Over 2.5

-112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

-100

Carlton Morris is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +310 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +120.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+310

Anytime

+120

Filip Bilbija (Derby)

First

+420

Anytime

+160

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+550

Anytime

+230

Yousef Salech (Cardiff)

First

+575

Anytime

+230

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+320

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Callum Robinson (Cardiff)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Cian Ashford (Cardiff)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Rubin Colwill (Cardiff)

First

+1050

Anytime

+420

Chris Willock (Cardiff)

First

+1150

Anytime

+450

Isaak Davies (Cardiff)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Ollie Tanner (Cardiff)

First

+1300

Anytime

+510

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Alex Mowatt (Derby)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Alex Robertson (Cardiff)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

David Turnbull (Cardiff)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Sondre Klingen Langas (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Gabriel Osho (Cardiff)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Max Johnston (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Dion Sanderson (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Charlie Taylor (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Ryan Nyambe (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Matt Clarke (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Lewis Travis (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Filip Bilbija (Derby)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Yousef Salech (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Callum Robinson (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Cian Ashford (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Rubin Colwill (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Isaak Davies (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Chris Willock (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Ollie Tanner (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Alex Mowatt (Derby)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-

David Turnbull (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Joe Ward (Derby)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Alex Robertson (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Max Johnston (Derby)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Sondre Klingen Langas (Derby)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Dion Sanderson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-

Matt Clarke (Derby)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Travis (Derby)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Osho (Cardiff)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Charlie Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Derby have finished with six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Cardiff have clocked up four wins, four draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 2.50 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Derby overcame Cardiff 1-0 when the sides last met at Pride Park. The past 4 H2H games at Pride Park have seen two draws along with a victory for Derby and a win for Cardiff.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		6-1-3	2.40	1.50	0.90	5	5	6	4
Cardiff Away Stats		4-4-2	4.10	2.50	1.60	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Derby vs Cardiff Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Derby vs Cardiff team news before you bet. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Championship lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Derby County Team Page Cardiff City Team Page

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