Derby vs Lincoln Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Aug 2026

Derby vs Lincoln Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Lincoln Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -133

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We’re feeling confident when it comes to Lincoln on the Asian Handicap with a +0.5 goal handicap. The visitors can either land a win or draw against Derby, with this wager looking like a value play at -133.

Take a closer look at our complete Derby vs Lincoln betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score pick, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Derby vs Lincoln Preview

Championship sides Derby and Lincoln meet at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 8 August.

Derby County lost when last in action. At Pride Park, they were turned over 2-1 at home to Sheffield United in the Championship. John Eustace's men had five shots on target and 51% possession, with Sammie Szmodics getting the goal.

Lincoln City won their previous game by a 2-0 League One scoreline. It was away from home against Port Vale at Vale Park.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Derby	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Derby have 5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. The East Midlands side have averaged 48.1% possession and 4.2 corners per match, conceding 1.2 goals and 5.4 corners from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts.

Top scorer Jaydon Banel has found the net 3 times, with Sammie Szmodics, Carlton Morris and Ben Brereton Diaz getting 2 each. Matthew Clarke and Carlton Morris have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Lincoln have 2 victories and 1 defeat, averaging 3.3 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 1.7 goals. Chris Cohen's team average 26.7% possession, 1.7 corners awarded and 1.7 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 7.0 attempts and 2.0 shots on goal.

Robert Street has scored 2, followed by Ben House, Jack Moylan and Freddie Draper with 1 goals apiece. Ivan Varfolomeev, Freddie Draper and James Collins have managed 1 assists in the last 3 games.

Main Match Prediction

We’re wagering Lincoln +0.5 at -133 with a fair degree of confidence. A positive result can be engineered on the Asian Handicap in this EFL Cup match, with the numbers backing up this pick.

We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest EFL Cup team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Lincoln in 2 of their last 3 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 3 of their last 5 games.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 57.1% chance of winning. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

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Lincoln Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -133 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 6, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Derby 1 - 1 Lincoln

The teams can be backed at +480 to play out a 1-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -130

The two past away matches involving Lincoln have had an average of 2.50 corners, with the last ten Derby home games featuring 8.80. It looks a logical viewpoint that the line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -130 for this Total Corners wager.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

9.60 4.20 5.40

Home

8.80 5.40 3.40

Away

8.30 2.40 5.90

Lincoln

Total

3.33 1.67 1.67

Home

5.00 3.00 2.00

Away

2.50 1.00 1.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-133

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+102

Lincoln Corners

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-161

Most Corners

1

-147

X

+575

2

+130

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Derby vs Lincoln Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of -102 suggest that Derby County are likely victors and there’s a 51% probability that the favourites win this EFL Cup clash. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +230 for Lincoln City.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Derby at -208 and Lincoln at +143.

If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -182.

Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every EFL Cup match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

-102

X

+260

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+148

X

+140

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-435

X2

-141

Draw No Bet

1

-208

2

+143

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-109

2 Hcp +0.5

-133

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+110

Over 2.5

-159

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+123

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Derby Stats

Lincoln Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 3 matches
• 2 wins have been recorded in the previous 2 away matches.

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 3 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 2 away matches
• An average of 2.67 goals per game in the previous 3 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 2 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 3 matches
• BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 2 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 3 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 2 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 1.67 corners awarded and 1.67 corners conceded in the last 3 matches
• An average of 1.00 corners awarded and 1.50 corners against in the last 2 away matches
• An average of 3.33 corners awarded in the last 3 matches
• An average of 2.50 corners awarded in the last 2 away matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 1 of the last 3 matches
• Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 1 of the last 2 away matches

Possession

• An average of 48.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 26.67% possession in the last 3 matches
• An average of 26.00% possession in the last 2 away matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 3 matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 2 away matches

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Derby vs Lincoln Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Derby vs Lincoln team news beforehand. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed EFL Cup lineups and the latest on injuries.

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