Derby vs Oxford Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Apr 2026
Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Oxford
Play-off chasing Derby clash with Oxford, who are fighting for survival, at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 18 April.
We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Derby to land a victory, with odds of -120 looking generous. We think they should be able to overcome Oxford over ninety minutes.
Derby County have won five straight games at home. In their last appearance, they suffered a 2-1 away loss against Southampton at St. Mary's. The East Midlands side enjoyed just 38% possession and had four shots on target, while Carlton Morris was the goalscorer.
Oxford United won their previous game, beating Watford at home. It was a 2-0 win at Kassam Stadium. The U's had just 34% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Myles Peart-Harris and Mark Harris finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Oxford are unbeaten when it comes to the past three meetings against Derby. In the last encounter, Oxford claimed a 1-0 victory when hosting at Kassam Stadium. The previous 7 H2H meetings have ended in three Derby victories, two draws and two Oxford wins.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Derby |
46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67 | 59 | 8 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 22 | Oxford |
46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 45:59 | 47 |
5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. Derby have had 48.2% possession and 3.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.8 corners.
Ben Brereton Diaz is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Carlton Morris, Rhian Brewster, Sammie Szmodics and Matthew Clarke each have 2. Derry Murkin has made the most assists with 3.
Oxford have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.3 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 35.2% possession, 5.1 corners taken and 6.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts.
Will Lankshear is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Cameron Brannagan and Ciaron Brown have 2. Michal Helik, Cameron Brannagan and Stanley Mills have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matthew Clarke, Derry Murkin, Lewis Travis, David Ozoh, Ben Brereton Diaz, Sammie Szmodics, Jaydon Banel, Carlton Morris.
Oxford confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jamie Cumming (GK), Sam Long, Michal Helik, Ciaron Brown, Brodie Spencer, Yunus Emre Konak, Cameron Brannagan, Stanley Mills, Jamie Donley, Myles Peart-Harris, Will Lankshear.
Derby vs Oxford Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into Derby vs Oxford with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.
Match Prediction
Derby could land the money in this Championship game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -120 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.
The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the Championship odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration when making football predictions.
Key Derby vs Oxford league stats:
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
There is a fantastic betting option which allows you to combine Derby to win with both teams to find the net. Simply head to the Result + BTTS market to secure bigger odds.
Don’t start wagering without checking our guide to the newest betting promo codes, best welcome bonuses and free bet offers.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the Rams winning 1-0. Odds of +525 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Carlton Morris (Derby) has scored at least one goal in his past two Championship games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +115 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Derby have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in ten straight games, with Oxford conceding under 6.5 corners in the past six matches. The Derby Team Corners line looks too high and we’re content to go under this number at odds of -120.
Derby
Oxford
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same-game multi picks which include Derby on the 1x2, no more than two goals to be scored along with Derby to finish with under 6.5 corners.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Derby vs Oxford Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Derby County are available at -116 to come away with a triumph in this Championship clash, meaning a 54% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Oxford United are the outsiders at +320 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
The Asian Handicap -0.5 bet means you need your selection to simply win. Derby are -119, although Oxford are +0.5 at -109 and you win with the latter if things end in a draw.
The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -128 on the BTTS market.
The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Championship games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.
Favourite Carlton Morris is now available at +300 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Stats: Championship matches only
Derby have enjoyed five straight wins at Pride Park. The Rams have managed six victories, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Oxford have five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
It was a 0-0 draw when Derby last played Oxford at Pride Park. The previous 3 H2H meetings at Pride Park have featured one Derby win, one Oxford victory and a draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Derby Home Stats |
6-1-3 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
Oxford Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.40 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Derby League Stats
Oxford League Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 6.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 8.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 48.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 35.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 36.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Derby this season are Carlton Morris (12), Patrick Agyemang (10), Ben Brereton Diaz (7)
- Top Assistors for Derby this season are Joe Ward (7), Callum Elder (5), Andreas Weimann (3)
Derby vs Oxford Lineups & Team News
Before making your bets, take a look at the Derby vs Oxford team news. Get the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Oxford Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Oxford Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Substitutes
- 3Craig Forsyth
- 4Danny Batth
- 6S. Klingen Langaas
- 15L. Salvesen
- 22Max Johnston
- 29Oscar Fraulo
- 31Josh Vickers
- 37Owen Eames
- 54Cruz Allen
Oxford Substitutes
- 4Will Vaulks
- 9Mark Harris
- 10Aidomo Emakhu
- 11Ole Romeny
- 21Matt Ingram
- 24Hidde ter Avest
- 32Jin-Woo Jeon
- 37Christ Makosso
- 38Jamie McDonnell
Previous Derby Lineups
Previous Oxford Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Derby Player Stats & Squad
Manager: John Eustace
Oxford Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 51:19 | 55 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 43:17 | 50 |
| 3 | Southampton | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 38:19 | 44 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 39:22 | 44 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 34:18 | 42 |
| 6 | Millwall | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 33:25 | 42 |
| 7 | Swansea | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:27 | 39 |
| 8 | Hull | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 35:34 | 38 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41:37 | 37 |
| 10 | Watford | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30:27 | 37 |
| 11 | Derby | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:27 | 36 |
| 12 | West Brom | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 28:25 | 34 |
| 13 | Stoke | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:28 | 33 |
| 14 | QPR | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 40:37 | 33 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 38:33 | 31 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Preston | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 18 | Charlton | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 23:26 | 31 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 20 | Norwich | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 21 | Oxford | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:27 | 29 |
| 22 | Leicester | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31:34 | 28 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 19:27 | 21 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 14:44 | 10 |
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