Derby vs Swansea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2026
Derby vs Swansea Predictions
We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Swansea +0.25 at -125 against Derby. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.
Continue reading for our complete Derby vs Swansea betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Derby vs Swansea Preview
Derby meet Swansea at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 29 August.
Derby County drew their last game 2-2 at home, with the action taking place at Pride Park against Cardiff City. John Eustace's team ended up with just 36% possession and had six shots on target, with Carlton Morris and Bobby Clark scoring one goal apiece.
Swansea City drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Swansea.com Stadium ended 0-0 against Sheffield United. The Swans dominated possession with 69% of the ball but had just one shot on goal.
Derby 2-0 Victors When Teams Met Last
Derby have beaten Swansea in the last two clashes. There was a 2-0 home win at Pride Park after triumphing 2-1 away at Swansea.com Stadium. The previous 10 H2H meetings have led to four wins each and two draws.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Swansea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3:4 | 1 |
4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. Derby have had 49.0% possession and 4.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.
Top scorers are Carlton Morris and Jaydon Banel on 3 goals, while Sammie Szmodics has racked up 2. The leading assistor is Carlton Morris with 3.
Swansea have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.5 goals from 10.7 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. The Swans average 53.1% possession, 4.0 corners awarded and 6.5 corners against them, while conceding 1.4 goals from 13.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.
Zan Vipotnik has landed 6 goals, Adam Idah 4, with Joseph Opoku and two others scoring 1. Zan Vipotnik has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Derby predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Max Johnston, Sondre Langås, Dion Sanderson, Charlie Taylor, Lewis Travis, Alex Mowatt, Bobby Clark, Oscar Fraulo, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Carlton Morris.
Swansea predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lawrence Vigouroux (GK), Filip Lissah, Ben Cabango, Stephen Welsh, Josh Tymon, Jay Fulton, Marko Stamenic, Joseph Opoku, Elijah Just, Ji-sung Eom, Adam Idah.
Main Match Prediction
Wager on Swansea +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -125 for this Championship game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the Championship odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration when making football predictions.
The best betting sites make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to Swansea covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager.
Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s take a chance on the +650 available that Swansea secure a 1-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Elijah Just (Swansea) is available to register at least one shot on goal at +130. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.
Adam Idah (Swansea) has registered three goals in his past five Championship matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +290 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Swansea have had over 4.5 corners in three consecutive games, while Derby have had an average of 5.80 corners against them in their last 5 matches. The Swansea Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -105.
Derby
Swansea
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Try out our bet builder picks which include Swansea to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, less than three goals combined with Elijah Just (Swansea) to finish with one or more shots on target.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Derby vs Swansea Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Swansea City are available at betting odds of +210 to beat Derby County, with their opponents trading at +132 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +215 for this Championship encounter.
There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Draw No Bet market, with Derby available at -164 for those who want insurance on their bet. The same applies to opponents Swansea at +112.
If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -135 for the BTTS Yes option.
If you’re betting on Championship games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
Carlton Morris is available at +140 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +350 to find the net first.
Stats: Championship matches only
Derby have clocked up six wins, two draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Swansea haven’t tasted defeat in five consecutive away matches. The Swans have secured five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.40.
Derby enjoyed a 2-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Swansea at Pride Park. The past 5 H2H meetings at Pride Park have resulted in two Derby victories and one Swansea win. There have also been two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Derby Home Stats |
6-2-2 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
Swansea Away Stats |
5-2-3 | 2.70 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 14/02 2026 Derby 2 Swansea 0
- Championship: 25/11 2025 Swansea 1 Derby 2
- Championship: 05/04 2025 Swansea 1 Derby 0
- Championship: 27/11 2024 Derby 1 Swansea 2
- Championship: 09/04 2022 Swansea 2 Derby 1
- Championship: 02/10 2021 Derby 0 Swansea 0
- Championship: 01/05 2021 Swansea 2 Derby 1
- Championship: 16/12 2020 Derby 2 Swansea 0
- Championship: 08/02 2020 Swansea 2 Derby 3
- Championship: 10/08 2019 Derby 0 Swansea 0
Derby League Stats
Swansea League Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Derby this season are Bobby Clark (1), Carlton Morris (1), Sammie Szmodics (1)
- Top Assistors for Derby this season are Bobby Clark (1), Carlton Morris (1)
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Derby vs Swansea Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the Derby vs Swansea team news before betting. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Swansea Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Swansea Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Derby Lineups
Previous Swansea Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Derby Player Stats & Squad
Manager: John Eustace
Swansea Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 2 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 5 | QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 9 | Bolton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 14 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 16 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 17 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 18 | Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 19 | Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 20 | Lincoln | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 21 | Preston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 22 | Stoke | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 23 | Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | -1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | West Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Southampton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Blackburn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Bolton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Wolverhampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 | QPR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 16 | Swansea | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 | West Ham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 19 | Stoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Norwich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Lincoln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Preston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 24 | Bristol City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
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