Derby vs Swansea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2026

Derby vs Swansea Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Swansea Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -125

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Swansea +0.25 at -125 against Derby. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

Continue reading for our complete Derby vs Swansea betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Derby vs Swansea Preview

Derby meet Swansea at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 29 August.

Derby County drew their last game 2-2 at home, with the action taking place at Pride Park against Cardiff City. John Eustace's team ended up with just 36% possession and had six shots on target, with Carlton Morris and Bobby Clark scoring one goal apiece.

Swansea City drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Swansea.com Stadium ended 0-0 against Sheffield United. The Swans dominated possession with 69% of the ball but had just one shot on goal.

H2H: Derby 2-0 Victors When Teams Met Last

Derby have beaten Swansea in the last two clashes. There was a 2-0 home win at Pride Park after triumphing 2-1 away at Swansea.com Stadium. The previous 10 H2H meetings have led to four wins each and two draws.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15	7	8	15:7	20
23	Derby	9	1	3	5	8	15	-7	8:15	6

View Full Table

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. Derby have had 49.0% possession and 4.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.

Top scorers are Carlton Morris and Jaydon Banel on 3 goals, while Sammie Szmodics has racked up 2. The leading assistor is Carlton Morris with 3.

Swansea have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.5 goals from 10.7 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. The Swans average 53.1% possession, 4.0 corners awarded and 6.5 corners against them, while conceding 1.4 goals from 13.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Zan Vipotnik has landed 6 goals, Adam Idah 4, with Joseph Opoku and two others scoring 1. Zan Vipotnik has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Max Johnston, Sondre Klingen Langaas, Dion Sanderson, Charlie Taylor, Lewis Travis, Alex Mowatt, Ryan Hedges, Bobby Clark, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Lars-Joergen Salvesen.

Swansea confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lawrence Vigouroux (GK), Josh Key, Filip Lissah, Stephen Welsh, Josh Tymon, Melker Widell, Jay Fulton, Marko Stamenic, Joseph Opoku, Adam Idah, Ji-Sung Eom.

Main Match Prediction

Wager on Swansea +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -125 for this Championship game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Swansea in 5 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Swansea in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Swansea in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 6 of their last 10 games against Swansea.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the Championship odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration when making football predictions.

The best betting sites make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to Swansea covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Swansea Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -125 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 27, 13:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Derby 0 - 1 Swansea

Let’s take a chance on the +650 available that Swansea secure a 1-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Elijah Just Over 0.5 Shots On Target +130

Elijah Just (Swansea) is available to register at least one shot on goal at +130. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.

Latest Elijah Just Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

---

Adam Idah to Score +290

Adam Idah (Swansea) has registered three goals in his past five Championship matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +290 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Adam Idah Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Swansea Over 4.5 Corners -105

Swansea have had over 4.5 corners in three consecutive games, while Derby have had an average of 5.80 corners against them in their last 5 matches. The Swansea Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -105.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

9.70 4.80 4.90

Home

8.80 4.90 3.90

Away

8.80 2.80 6.00

Swansea

Total

10.50 4.00 6.50

Home

11.30 5.50 5.80

Away

8.50 3.00 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-111

Under 10.5

-128

Derby Corners

Over 5.5

-122

Under 5.5

-118

Swansea Corners

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-133

Most Corners

1

-159

X

+650

2

+155

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Derby vs Swansea Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Swansea City are available at betting odds of +215 to beat Derby County, with their opponents trading at +132 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +210 for this Championship encounter.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Draw No Bet market, with Derby available at -167 for those who want insurance on their bet. The same applies to opponents Swansea at +115.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -135 for the BTTS Yes option.

If you’re betting on Championship games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+132

X

+210

2

+215

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+105

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-294

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-167

2

+115

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-105

2 Hcp +0.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-135

No

-102

Carlton Morris is available at +140 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +350 to find the net first.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+350

Anytime

+140

Zan Vipotnik (Swansea)

First

+430

Anytime

+180

Filip Bilbija (Derby)

First

+450

Anytime

+185

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+260

Adam Idah (Swansea)

First

+750

Anytime

+300

Leo Walta (Swansea)

First

+800

Anytime

+340

Ross Cameron Stewart (Swansea)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Elijah Just (Swansea)

First

+850

Anytime

+370

Ji-Sung Eom (Swansea)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Joseph Opoku (Swansea)

First

+1000

Anytime

+420

Zeidane Inoussa (Swansea)

First

+1000

Anytime

+430

Moussa Kounfolo Yeo (Swansea)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Ronald Pereira Martins (Swansea)

First

+1200

Anytime

+475

Ryan Hedges (Derby)

First

+1300

Anytime

+575

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Alex Mowatt (Derby)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Melker Widell (Swansea)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Marko Stamenic (Swansea)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Stephen Welsh (Swansea)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Max Johnston (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Sondre Klingen Langas (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Ryan Nyambe (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Filip Bilbija (Derby)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Zan Vipotnik (Swansea)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Ross Cameron Stewart (Swansea)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Adam Idah (Swansea)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Leo Walta (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Elijah Just (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Joseph Opoku (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Ji-Sung Eom (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Zeidane Inoussa (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Moussa Kounfolo Yeo (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Ronald Pereira Martins (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Hedges (Derby)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Melker Widell (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-

Alex Mowatt (Derby)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Joe Ward (Derby)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Marko Stamenic (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Max Johnston (Derby)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Stephen Welsh (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Sondre Klingen Langas (Derby)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Championship matches only.
Derby have clocked up six wins, two draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Swansea haven’t tasted defeat in five consecutive away matches. The Swans have secured five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Derby enjoyed a 2-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Swansea at Pride Park. The past 5 H2H meetings at Pride Park have resulted in two Derby victories and one Swansea win. There have also been two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		6-2-2	2.50	1.60	0.90	5	5	6	4
Swansea Away Stats		5-2-3	2.70	1.30	1.40	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Derby vs Swansea Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Derby vs Swansea team news before betting. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Derby County Team Page Swansea City Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages