Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 May 2026
League of Ireland Betting Preview: Derry City vs St Patricks
Derry City welcome St Patricks to Find Insurance Celtic Park, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Friday 22 May.
By backing Derry +0.5 at -192, we are essentially betting on the home team to avoid defeat. We think that this can be achieved against St Patrick's, with the stats backing up our Asian Handicap prediction.
Derry City played Waterford on their travels in their last game. It was a 2-2 draw at Waterford RSC. The Northern Ireland team boasted 63% possession and had three shots on target, with Kevin Santos and Henry Rylah scoring one goal each.
St Patrick's Athletic lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Shelbourne by a 1-0 scoreline at Richmond Park. The Saints had two shots on goal and enjoyed 61% possession.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Derry are unbeaten in the past four games against Pats, with the last clash ending in a 0-0 draw at Richmond Park. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved six Derry wins, two Pats victories and two draws.
| League of Ireland | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St Patrick's |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31:16 | 31 |
| 6 | Derry City |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21:21 | 20 |
2 wins, 2 losses and 6 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. City have had 53.4% possession and 5.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.0 corners.
Top scorer is James Clarke on 3 goals, while Kevin Santos and Dipo Akinyemi have both racked up 2. Ben Doherty and Brandon Fleming are tied for the most assists on 2.
Pats have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 6.4 shots on goal, 17.2 attempts and 1.9 goals. Stephen Kenny's side average 55.9% possession, 5.9 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 9.6 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.
Ryan Edmondson is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, while Chris Forrester, Zack Elbouzedi, Kian Leavy and Luke Turner have 2. Zack Elbouzedi has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Derry City predicted lineup (4-3-3): Eddie Beach (GK), Barry Cotter, Jamie Stott, Patrick McClean, Brandon Fleming, Adam O'Reilly, Michael Duffy, James Clarke, Kevin Santos, Dipo Akinyemi, James Olayinka.
St Patrick's predicted lineup (3-4-3): Joseph Anang (GK), Joe Redmond, Tom Grivosti, Luke Turner, James Brown, Jamie Lennon, Barry Baggley, Zak Elbouzedi, Kian Leavy, Ryan Edmondson, Chris Forrester.
Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction & Betting Tips
This Derry City vs St Patricks betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, our corners analysis and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Match Prediction
Derry are a confident choice with a +0.5 goal start. The home team should be able to win or draw this League of Ireland game, with this Asian Handicap prediction looking like a value bet at -192.
The latest League of Ireland injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.
Key Derry City vs St Patrick's league stats:
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 65.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 70-75% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you’re in search of a larger price, there are lots of options for those wanting to sell goals. The wager is riskier but will provide a bigger reward should it win.
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Correct Score Prediction
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +410 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Corners Prediction
St Patrick's have covered the 4.5 corners line in three consecutive matches. The amount of Pats corners could be bigger than the Team Corners line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -109.
Derry
St Patrick's
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder is packed with these picks: Derry on the Asian Handicap at +0.5, two or less goals to be scored along with St Patrick's to rack up over 4.5 corners.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Derry City vs St Patricks Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that St Patrick's Athletic are +140 for a League of Ireland victory, while Derry City are +188. The draw is trading at +215 should you think the game will end all square.
It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Pats can be backed at -147 or alternatively Derry are on offer at -102.
If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.
Hundreds of markets for every League of Ireland game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.
- League of Ireland: 16/03 2026 St Patrick's 0 Derry 0
- League of Ireland: 29/08 2025 Derry 2 St Patrick's 2
- League of Ireland: 23/06 2025 St Patrick's 0 Derry 1
- League of Ireland: 05/05 2025 Derry 1 St Patrick's 0
- League of Ireland: 03/03 2025 St Patrick's 2 Derry 0
- League of Ireland: 25/10 2024 St Patrick's 1 Derry 0
- League of Ireland: 17/05 2024 St Patrick's 0 Derry 1
- League of Ireland: 22/04 2024 Derry 3 St Patrick's 1
- League of Ireland: 01/03 2024 Derry 2 St Patrick's 1
- League of Ireland: 03/11 2023 Derry 3 St Patrick's 0
Derry City League Stats
St Patrick's League Stats
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Derry City this season are Michael Duffy (5), Dipo Akinyemi (3), James Clarke (3)
- Top Assistors for Derry City this season are James McClean (3), Ben Doherty (2), Brandon Fleming (2)
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Derry City vs St Patricks Lineups & Team News
Always review the Derry vs Pats team news before locking in your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed League of Ireland lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Derry City Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
St Patrick's Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Derry City Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
St Patrick's Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Derry City Lineups
Previous St Patrick's Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Derry City Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tiernan Lynch
St Patrick's Player Stats & Squad
League of Ireland Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 27:14 | 34 |
| 2 | St Patrick's | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:16 | 31 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 28:26 | 25 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 6 | Derry City | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Galway United | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:28 | 19 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 16 |
| 10 | Waterford | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 17:35 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:5 | 22 |
| 2 | St Patrick's | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 5 | Derry City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Galway United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 7 | Drogheda United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Sligo Rovers | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Waterford | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 10 | Shelbourne | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 4 |
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