Estudiantes La Plata vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Jul 2026
Estudiantes La Plata vs Independiente Predictions
We’ll take Estudiantes at attractive betting odds of +110 considering that they could be dominant against Independiente. The Full-Time Result market provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.
We analyse several betting angles in our Estudiantes vs Independiente betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Estudiantes La Plata vs Independiente Preview
Estudiantes La Plata go head-to-head with Independiente, with kick-off set for 16:15 on Sunday 26 July.
Estudiantes de La Plata lost their last Primera División game, being beaten 1-0 at home to Racing Club. Los Pincharratas recorded four shots on target and had 48% possession.
In their previous showing, Estudiantes won 3-0 at home in the Copa Argentina against Rosario Central.
Independiente suffered a defeat in their previous Primera División game. A 3-1 scoreline occurred away from home against Rosario Central. The Avellaneda side recorded 40% possession and had four shots on goal, with Gabriel Avalos finding the net.
In the last outing, Independiente landed a 2-0 win when facing Unión away in the Copa Argentina.
H2H: Previous H2H Encounter Ended 1-1
Independiente have gone unbeaten in their past three meetings against Estudiantes, with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw. The previous 7 H2H meetings have involved three Independiente wins, two Estudiantes victories and two draws.
| Primera División | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Independiente |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10:8 | 17 |
| 22 | Estudiantes LP |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9:9 | 10 |
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts. Estudiantes have had 51.4% possession and 4.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.6 goals from 1.7 shots on goal and 5.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.9 corners.
Top goalscorer Adolfo Gaich has found the net 3 times, with Alexis Castro, Mikel Amondarain and Tiago Palacios scoring 2 each. The leading assistors have been Edwuin Cetre and Tiago Palacios with 2.
Independiente have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 52.4% possession, 5.7 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.
Gabriel Avalos has top scored with 7 goals, while Matias Abaldo and Maximiliano Gutierrez are next on 3 and 2. Gabriel Avalos has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
Estudiantes confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Fernando Muslera (GK), Eric Meza, Santiago Nunez, Ramiro Funes Mori, Tomas Palacios, Mikel Amondarain, Ezequiel Piovi, Alexis Castro, Joaquin Tobio Burgos, Tiago Palacios, Guido Carrillo.
Independiente confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Juan Fedorco, Sebastian Valdez, Facundo Zabala, Mateo Perez Curci, Ivan Marcone, Maximiliano Gutierrez, Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Matias Abaldo, Gabriel Avalos.
Main Match Prediction
We’re confident with our selection of Estudiantes to land a victory, with odds of +110 looking really generous. We think they have the ability to claim a win in this Primera División game.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
We use the latest Primera División injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football predictions. You will also see that we sometimes take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 47.6% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 50-55%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
There are some excellent alternatives when it comes to backing Estudiantes if you think they’ll prove too strong. One option is the Asian Handicap where you can choose a line at bigger odds.
Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
We’re taking a chance on Estudiantes to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +390 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Tiago Palacios (Estudiantes) can be wagered to have one or more shots on goal at -143. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.
Alexis Castro (Estudiantes) has managed two goals in his past eight Primera División home games. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +575 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Each of the previous three Estudiantes matches have featured under 8.5 corners. We’re going to bet on the teams to fall short when it comes to Total Corners and this pick is available at -102.
Estudiantes
Independiente
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a same-game multi including these picks: Estudiantes to win, one or both teams drawing a blank and Tiago Palacios (Estudiantes) to have one or more shots on target.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Estudiantes La Plata vs Independiente Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have Estudiantes La Plata as +110 favourites for this Primera División clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 48% likely to win. At +300, Independiente are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
There’s the chance to back Estudiantes at -132 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Independiente but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.
If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. Both Teams to Score betting is highly popular and the No pick on the BTTS market is chalked up at -172.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Primera División game. The best football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Guido Carrillo is priced at +500 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +250 to find the net anytime.
- Cup: 23/05 Unión 0 Independiente2
- Liga Profesional Apertura Playoff: 10/05 Rosario Central 3 Independiente1
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 02/05 San Lorenzo 1 Independiente2
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 24/04 Deportivo Riestra 2 Independiente0
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 19/04 Independiente 3 Defensa Justicia1
- Primera División: 24/01 2026 Independiente 1 Estudiantes 1
- Primera División: 12/08 2024 Estudiantes 0 Independiente 2
- Copa Argentina: 09/09 2023 Independiente 2 Estudiantes 4
- Primera División: 09/04 2023 Independiente 1 Estudiantes 2
- Primera División: 21/06 2022 Independiente 2 Estudiantes 1
- Primera División: 26/07 2021 Estudiantes 0 Independiente 1
- Primera División: 20/08 2019 Estudiantes 3 Independiente 0
Estudiantes League Stats
Independiente League Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Estudiantes this season are Adolfo Gaich (3), Alexis Castro (3), Fabricio Perez (3)
- Top Assistors for Estudiantes this season are Brian Aguirre (2), Edwuin Cetre (2), Gaston Benedetti (2)
Estudiantes La Plata vs Independiente Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Estudiantes vs Independiente before making your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups and injury news right here.
Estudiantes La Plata Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Independiente Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Estudiantes La Plata Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Independiente Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Estudiantes La Plata Substitutes
- 1Fabricio Iacovich
- 7Jose Sosa
- 8Gabriel Neves
- 11Facundo Farias
- 13Gaston Benedetti
- 18Edwuin Cetre
- 19Adolfo Gaich
- 27Lucas Alario
- 28Brian Aguirre
- 29Fabricio Perez
- 35Valente Pierani
- 40Eros Mancuso
Independiente Substitutes
- 1Joaquin Blazquez
- 3J. De Irastorza
- 4Santiago Arias
- 8Maximiliano Meza
- 10Luciano Cabral
- 14Lautaro Millan
- 18Facundo Valdez
- 20Facundo Cruz
- 26Kevin Lomonaco
- 32David Martinez
- 34Felipe Tempone
- 35Juan Miguel Arrayago
Previous Estudiantes Lineups
Previous Independiente Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Estudiantes Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alexander Medina
Independiente Player Stats & Squad
Primera División Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | Estudiantes LP | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 6 | Vélez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 8 | Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 9 | Talleres | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 10 | Gimnasia LP | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 12 | Lanús | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 13 | Huracán | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 14 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 15 | Unión | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 16 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 17 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 18 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 19 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 20 | Defensa Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 21 | Sarmiento | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 22 | Gimnasia M | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 23 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 24 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 25 | Central Córdoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 26 | Newell's OB | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 27 | Atl. Tucumán | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 30 | Estudiantes RC | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Vélez Sarsfield | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Defensa Justicia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia M | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 17 |
| 9 | Gimnasia LP | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 17 |
| 10 | Belgrano | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 11 | Newell's OB | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 12 | Huracán | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 14 | Ind. Rivadavia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 14 |
| 15 | Lanús | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 16 | Atl. Tucumán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 17 | Unión | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 18 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 19 | Tigre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 20 | Barracas Central | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5:6 | 12 |
| 21 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4:8 | 11 |
| 22 | Estudiantes LP | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 23 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 24 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 25 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 26 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 27 | Talleres | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 28 | Central Córdoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 29 | Estudiantes RC | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | 6 |
| 30 | Aldosivi | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 5 |
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Independiente
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Atlético Tucumán
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Estudiantes La Plata