Ethiopia vs Mozambique Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 17 Nov 2026
Ethiopia vs Mozambique Predictions
We’re going to side with Ethiopia on the Asian Handicap with a +0.5 goal start. They can either win or avoid defeat against Mozambique, with this bet looking like a value proposition at -204.
Read our complete Ethiopia vs Mozambique betting preview for the full analysis behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction and bet builder tips.
Ethiopia vs Mozambique Preview
Ethiopia square off against Mozambique, with kick-off set for 08:00 on Tuesday 17 November.
H2H: 1-0 Ethiopia Win When Teams Last Clashed
Ethiopia and Mozambique last met on Friday, with visitors Ethiopia claiming a 1-0 win. notched the winning goal.
| Africa Cup of Nations | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Mozambique |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Ethiopia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1:2 | 3 |
Main Match Prediction
Ethiopia look like the value bet on the Asian Handicap for this Africa Cup of Nations qualifying game. Backing the home team at +0.5 at -204 looks like the way forward, with plenty of juice in this price.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Africa Cup of Nations qualifying form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.
The best betting apps make it a 67.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 70-75% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
In the quest to secure larger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.
Unlock top value before betting. Our guide lists the latest offers and welcome bonuses you won’t want to miss.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Mozambique
An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 1-1 draw at odds of +360. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our bet builder, try Ethiopia with the +0.5 Asian Handicap, Yes on the Both Teams to Score market along with two or less goals in total.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Ethiopia vs Mozambique Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Mozambique are forecasted to have a 44% chance of triumphing in this Africa Cup of Nations qualifying encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being +128. Ethiopia are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +215.
Mozambique can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -182. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Ethiopia are +110.
A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you anticipate that one team or more will achieve a shutout, then Both Teams to Score No is -167.
The top football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Africa Cup of Nations qualifying games.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Ethiopia Stats
Mozambique Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
Ethiopia vs Mozambique Lineups & Team News
Previous Ethiopia Lineups
Previous Mozambique Lineups
Ethiopia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Yohannes Sahle
Mozambique Player Stats & Squad
Africa Cup of Nations qualifying Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Niger | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Lesotho | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:9 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Somalia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Eritrea | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DR Congo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Sierra Leone | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | CAR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Comoros | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Congo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Botswana | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Zambia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Togo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Mozambique | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Ethiopia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Sudan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Rwanda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Liberia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Madagascar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
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