Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026
Premiership Betting Preview: Falkirk vs Kilmarnock
Sixth-placed Falkirk welcome second-from-bottom Kilmarnock to Falkirk Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 28 February.
There’s every chance that Falkirk can beat Kilmarnock and we’ll happily back the home team on the Full-Time Result market. Grab the odds of -139 with confidence that a victory can be landed.
Falkirk have lost back-to-back league games. Away from home, they recently suffered a 1-0 defeat against Premiership leaders Hearts at Tynecastle Park. John McGlynn's men enjoyed 51% possession and two shots on target.
Kilmarnock played out a 1-1 draw in their previous game. This was on their travels to Tannadice Park, with Dundee United the opponents. Killie had two shots on goal and recorded 60% possession, with Marley Watkins on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
These two teams last met at Rugby Park, with Falkirk claiming the away win. Beating Kilmarnock by a 1-0 scoreline.
| Scottish Premiership | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Falkirk |
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 45:48 | 46 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock |
33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 37:65 | 28 |
5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts. Falkirk have had 52.9% possession and 5.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.9 corners.
Top scorer Barney Stewart has found the net 3 times, with Ben Broggio and Filip Lissah getting 2 apiece. Leading assistor is Calvin Miller with 3.
Killie have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 11.4 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 43.5% possession, 4.6 corners in their favour and 6.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.2 goals from 18.0 attempts and 7.5 shots on goal.
Tyreece John-Jules is the leading scorer with 6 goals, followed by Greg Kiltie on 3, with Marley Watkins and two others bagging 1. Greg Kiltie and Tyreece John-Jules have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Falkirk confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Scott Bain (GK), Filip Lissah, Coll Donaldson, Liam Henderson, Leon McCann, Brad Spencer, Dylan Tait, Ben Broggio, Finn Yeats, Calvin Miller, Barney Stewart.
Kilmarnock confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Kelle Roos (GK), Michael Schjoenning-Larsen, Ethan Schilte-Brown, Robbie Deas, Dominic Thompson, Findlay Curtis, Brad Lyons, Greg Kiltie, David Watson, Bruce Anderson, Joe Hugill.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Betting Tips
Join us as we dissect the top Falkirk vs Kilmarnock betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to a sharp corners bet, standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’ll back Falkirk with a fair degree of confidence for this Premiership clash. This looks a value pick at -139 which means we can secure a healthy return if they’re able to win.
Our panel of football writers survey the latest injuries and suspensions. When combined with the form guide, this helps us secure the best odds. Our stats-led approach backed up by key Premiership data is helpful.
Key Falkirk vs Kilmarnock league stats:
The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 58.1% prospect of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you think that Falkirk can make a relatively fast start, then we recommend considering the Double Result market. You can back them to lead at half-time and full-time.
Make your bet go further. Browse our updated guide packed with the best free bets, sign-up offers and betting bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
Falkirk are available at +600 when it comes to them winning 2-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.
Player Prop Picks
Barney Stewart (Falkirk) has managed three goals in his past five Premiership games on home soil. We’re happy to take the +180 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 5.20 Kilmarnock corners in the past 5 games, with Falkirk conceding over 3.5 corners in the previous nine matches. We think this presents a convincing argument and we’ll bet on Kilmarnock to cover the Team Corners line which is on offer at odds of -161.
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is packed with these picks: Falkirk to succeed, less than three goals and also Barney Stewart (Falkirk) to find the net.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Falkirk are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Premiership encounter. The -147 for them coming out on top suggests a 60% probability based on their latest betting odds. The +370 means that Kilmarnock are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.
Falkirk -0.75 on the Asian Handicap is available at -114 and means a full payout if they win by two or more against Kilmarnock. A victory by one goal means half the stake wins and the other half is refunded.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -141 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
The leading betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Premiership match. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.
Barney Stewart is the First Goalscorer favourite at +450. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +170.
Falkirk have clocked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Kilmarnock have not triumphed in ten straight away matches. Killie have six defeats and four draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 2.30.
When the sides last met at Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk beat Kilmarnock 3-1.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Falkirk Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 2.40 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
Kilmarnock Away Stats |
0-4-6 | 3.00 | 0.70 | 2.30 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Falkirk League Stats
Kilmarnock League Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 7.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 38.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Falkirk this season are Brian Graham (4), Calvin Miller (4), Barney Stewart (3)
- Top Assistors for Falkirk this season are Calvin Miller (6), Ethan Williams (3), Barney Stewart (2)
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Falkirk vs Kilmarnock without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premiership along with up-to-date injury news.
Falkirk Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Kilmarnock Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Falkirk Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Kilmarnock Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Falkirk Substitutes
- 1Nicky Hogarth
- 2Keelan Adams
- 7Brian Graham
- 15Lewis Neilson
- 17Henry Cartwright
- 20Connor Allan
- 23Ethan Ross
- 24Ethan Williams
- 42Sam Hart
Kilmarnock Substitutes
- 1Maksymilian Stryjek
- 2Jamie Brandon
- 7Rory McKenzie
- 14George Stanger
- 18Tom Lowery
- 20Nicky Clescenco
- 23Marley Watkins
- 31Liam Polworth
- 36Aaron Tshibola
Previous Falkirk Lineups
Previous Kilmarnock Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Falkirk Player Stats & Squad
Manager: John McGlynn
Kilmarnock Player Stats & Squad
Premiership Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | 33 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | 16 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | 46 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee United | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | 40 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 3 | Dundee FC | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | 33 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | 28 |
| 6 | Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | 16 |
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Falkirk
Kilmarnock