Finland vs San Marino Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Nov 2026
Finland vs San Marino Predictions
Finland should prove far too strong for San Marino. On this basis, taking the favourites at -3 looks like a good bet and you can get -133 that they land the necessary margin of victory to win this Asian Handicap wager.
Our Finland vs San Marino betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Finland vs San Marino Preview
Finland square off against San Marino at Bolt Arena, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Sunday 15 November.
Finland suffered a defeat in their last game. A 2-0 Nations League C scoreline occurred on the road at Air Albania Stadium against Albania. Jacob Friis' side had 48% of possession and one shot on target.
San Marino were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to Belarus by a 2-0 Nations League C scoreline at Stadio Olimpico San Marino. La Serenissima had one shot on goal and 40% possession.
H2H: 7-0 Victory for Finland in Last Head-to-Head
It was Finland who were victorious when they last faced San Marino. At Stadio Olimpico San Marino, a 7-0 away victory was recorded. In the previous 3 H2H games, Finland have won every time.
| Nations League C | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Finland |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 4 |  San Marino |
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 18 | -17 | 1:18 | 0 |
Finland have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. The Eagle-owls have averaged 56.6% possession and 4.5 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 4.0 corners.
The three top scorers are Leo Walta, Joel Pohjanpalo and Benjamin Kaellman, with these players all scoring 4 goals. The leading assistors are Adrian Svanbaeck and Oliver Antman with 2.
San Marino have lost all of their past 10 matches, with an average of 4.5 attempts, 1.4 shots on goal and 0.2 goals. Roberto Cevoli's team average 32.2% possession, 2.1 corners awarded and 5.9 corners against them, while 4.9 goals have been conceded from 9.5 shots on goal and 18.1 attempts.
Lorenzo Lazzari and Nicolas Giacopetti are both on 1 goals. Lorenzo Capicchioni and Matteo Valli Casadei have had 1 assists in the previous 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
We really like Finland -3 at odds of -133 on the Asian Handicap. It could be a one-sided Nations League affair and this bet offers us good value when it comes to the favourites.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Nations League form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 57.1% chance of landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
Looking for a larger price when placing your wager? The good news is that you can visit the betting sites and adjust the line until you’re satisfied with the odds.
Tap into great value before you bet. Our guide rounds up today’s best free bets, promo codes and sign-up promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
4
-
0
San Marino
Let’s take a chance on the +350 available that Finland secure a 4-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Leo Walta (Finland) has registered four goals in his past five games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +118 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past ten San Marino away matches have seen them awarded an average of 2.70 corners, while Finland have conceded an average 4.00 corners in their previous ten games. There are odds of -120 being served up when it comes to this Team Corners wager and we think San Marino will cover the line.
Finland
San Marino
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our bet builder, try Finland with an Asian Handicap of -3, Over 2.5 combined with San Marino to have over 1.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Finland vs San Marino Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Finland are the huge -3333 favourites to win this Nations League encounter which indicates a 97% probability of landing the spoils according to the available betting odds. San Marino are the +6000 rank outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
You can back Finland at -435 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. San Marino are +2500 and the draw is chalked up at +325.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. As long as one team or more fails to score, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market will pay out at -667.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Nations League game. The best football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Finland Stats
San Marino Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 10 defeats have been inflicted in the previous 10 matches.
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.20 goals scored and 4.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 3.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Finland vs San Marino Lineups & Team News
Previous Finland Lineups
Previous San Marino Lineups
Finland Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jacob Friis
San Marino Player Stats & Squad
UEFA Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Belarus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Finland | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:18 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Armenia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Latvia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Moldova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 |
| 2 | Estonia | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 3 |
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