Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Oct 2026

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Atalanta Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -109

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If you agree with our view that Atalanta can perform well against Fiorentina, then you can bet them with a +0.25 goal start at -109. This means our Asian Handicap stake is divided equally between 0 and +0.5.

Continue below for our full Fiorentina vs Atalanta betting breakdown, where you can read the complete analysis of our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Preview

Fiorentina take on Atalanta at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Thursday 29 October.

Fiorentina have suffered defeat in their last three games. Most recently, a 2-1 scoreline occurred away at Giuseppe Meazza against Inter Milan. Paolo Vanoli's team recorded just 37% possession and had two shots on target, with Alex Jimenez scoring the goal.

Atalanta hosted Frosinone at New Balance Arena in their previous game, ending in a 4-4 draw. The Bergamo outfit had 47% possession and managed nine shots on goal, with Nikola Krstovic on the scoresheet twice, while Ederson and Eljif Elmas were both able to net.

H2H: Last Head-to-Head Saw Game End 1-1

The last head-to-head saw away team Atalanta draw 1-1 with Fiorentina at Stadio Artemio Franchi. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen four wins for each team and two draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	14	15	-1	14:15	10
18	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9	19	-10	9:19	4

View Full Table

2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 13.9 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. Fiorentina have had 44.5% possession, 387.0 passes and 4.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 2.0 goals from 16.4 attempts and 6.4 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.1 corners.

Franco Mastantuono leads the way with 3 goals, with Alex Jimenez and Mateo Pellegrino getting 2 apiece. Nicolo Fagioli and Cher Ndour are the leading assists makers with 2, while goalie David de Gea has kept one clean sheet.

Atalanta have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 47.2% possession, 469.3 passes, 3.6 corners taken and 5.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 16.7 attempts.

Nikola Krstovic is the leading scorer with 6 goals, followed by Ederson on 2, with Eljif Elmas and two others bagging 1. Nikola Krstovic and Nicola Zalewski have clocked up 2 assists, with Marco Carnesecchi keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Fiorentina predicted lineup (4-3-3): David de Gea (GK), Alex Jimenez, Radu Dragusin, Viery, Victor Valdepenas, Cher Ndour, Nicolo Fagioli, Marco Brescianini, Franco Mastantuono, Mateo Pellegrino, Alieu Njie.

Atalanta predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Davide Zappacosta, Thomas Kristensen, Relja Obric, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Ederson, Mario Pasalic, Eljif Elmas, Charles De Ketelaere, Jonathan Rowe, Nikola Krstovic.

Main Match Prediction

We’ll divide our stake by wagering Atalanta +0.25 at odds of -109 for this Asian Handicap wager. We’re expecting to see a quality performance from the away team in this Serie A showdown.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atalanta in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atalanta in 11 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 7 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 2 consecutive games against Atalanta.

We’re always focused on the Serie A form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Atalanta.

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 27, 21:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Fiorentina 1 - 2 Atalanta

An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Atalanta at odds of +900. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Krstovic Over 2.5 Shots -143

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta) has had over 2.5 shots in three straight Serie A matches. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Player Shots line which is available at odds of -143.

Latest Nikola Krstovic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

---

Jonathan Rowe To Score +420

Jonathan Rowe (Atalanta) is available at +420 to score. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Jonathan Rowe Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of +112 suggest that Fiorentina are likely victors and there’s a 47% probability that the favourites win this Serie A clash. Atalanta are the +210 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Fiorentina are -182 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Atalanta being priced up at +125 with the same money back guarantee.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -182.

Serie A games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

+112

X

+255

2

+210

Half-Time Result

1

+163

X

+135

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-370

X2

-147

Draw No Bet

1

-182

2

+125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-120

2 Hcp +0.25

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+138

Favourite Mateo Pellegrino is priced at +475 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +185.

Mateo Pellegrino (Fiorentina)

First

+475

Anytime

+185

Beto (Fiorentina)

First

+540

Anytime

+200

Franco Mastantuono (Fiorentina)

First

+575

Anytime

+220

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

First

+575

Anytime

+225

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

First

+650

Anytime

+240

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

First

+900

Anytime

+330

Alieu Njie (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+330

Pedro Goncalves (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+340

Arthur Atta (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Gianluca Gaetano (Atalanta)

First

+950

Anytime

+360

Wilfried Gnonto (Fiorentina)

First

+950

Anytime

+360

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+360

Jonathan Rowe (Atalanta)

First

+1150

Anytime

+420

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

First

+1150

Anytime

+420

Eljif Elmas (Atalanta)

First

+1200

Anytime

+440

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

First

+1150

Anytime

+450

Fabiano Parisi (Fiorentina)

First

+1200

Anytime

+475

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

First

+1200

Anytime

+475

Franck Kessie (Atalanta)

First

+1300

Anytime

+480

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

First

+1400

Anytime

+550

Christ Inao Oulaï (Fiorentina)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Alejandro Jiménez (Fiorentina)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Beto (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-

Alieu Njie (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Goncalves (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Atta (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Gianluca Gaetano (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Rowe (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Eljif Elmas (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Fabiano Parisi (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Franck Kessie (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Pellegrino (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Christ Inao Oulaï (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Jiménez (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Pellegrino (Fiorentina)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-

Beto (Fiorentina)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Fiorentina)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Alieu Njie (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Goncalves (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Arthur Atta (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Gianluca Gaetano (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Jonathan Rowe (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Eljif Elmas (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Franck Kessie (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Christ Inao Oulaï (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Jiménez (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Serie A matches only.
Fiorentina haven’t triumphed in seven straight games at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Paolo Vanoli's team have managed six draws, three losses and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Atalanta have suffered a three match losing run away from home. The Bergamo outfit have five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

The last Stadio Artemio Franchi meeting saw Fiorentina and Atalanta draw 1-1. We’ve seen three Fiorentina wins, two Atalanta victories and two draws for the past 7 H2H matches at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Fiorentina Home Stats		1-6-3	1.70	0.60	1.10	3	7	5	5
Atalanta Away Stats		2-3-5	3.20	1.50	1.70	6	4	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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