Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Mar 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Fiorentina vs Parma

Fiorentina host Parma at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 8 March.

We’ll take Fiorentina at attractive betting odds of -141 considering that they could be dominant against Parma. The Full-Time Result market provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.

Fiorentina suffered a defeat in their last game. A 3-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Stadio Friuli against Udinese. Paolo Vanoli's team had a total of 65% possession although it translated into no shots on target.

Parma hosted Cagliari at Stadio Ennio Tardini in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. The Emilia-Romagna outfit had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 56% possession and four shots on goal, with Gaetano Oristanio finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Parma are unbeaten in the past six games against Fiorentina. In the last encounter, Parma claimed a 1-0 victory when hosting at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The previous 9 H2H meetings have featured six draws, two wins for Parma and just one for Fiorentina.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Parma	33	9	12	12	24	40	-16	24:40	39
15	Fiorentina	33	8	12	13	38	45	-7	38:45	36

View Full Table

Fiorentina have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts. La Viola have averaged 53.3% possession, 468.6 passes and 4.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.4 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 12.7 attempts and 4.6 corners.

Moise Kean leads the way with 4 goals, Manor Solomon has 2, with Nicolo Fagioli and two others on 1. Leading assistor is Albert Gudmundsson with 2, while goalkeeper David de Gea has 2 clean sheets.

Parma have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.8 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 47.8% possession, 413.4 passes, 5.1 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts.

Mateo Pellegrino has scored 2 goals, followed by Gaetano Oristanio, Mariano Troilo, Adrian Bernabe and Christian Ordonez on 1. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia has clocked up 2 assists, with Edoardo Corvi and Filippo Rinaldi collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): David de Gea (GK), Dodo, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens, Nicolo Fagioli, Jack Harrison, Rolando Mandragora, Cher Ndour, Albert Gudmundsson, Roberto Piccoli.

Parma confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Edoardo Corvi (GK), Enrico Del Prato, Mariano Troilo, Alessandro Circati, Mandela Keita, Benjamin Cremaschi, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Oliver Soerensen, Emanuele Valeri, Mateo Pellegrino, Gabriel Strefezza.

Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover the top Fiorentina vs Parma betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that Fiorentina can win this Serie A clash and we’ll happily back the home team to land the glory. Grab the odds of -141 with confidence that a victory can be landed.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Serie A team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Fiorentina vs Parma league stats:

• Fiorentina have won 4 of their last 10 games.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 58.5% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you expect Fiorentina to claim a victory, why not consider a Match Result & Total bet where you can back this selection along with over or under a certain goal line, providing bigger odds in the process.

Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Fiorentina To Win @ -141 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 6, 15:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Fiorentina 2 - 0 Parma

We’re predicting Fiorentina to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +650. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mateo Pellegrino Over 2.5 Shots -100

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) has recorded over 2.5 shots in three of his past five Serie A matches. We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line looking attractive at odds of -100.

Latest Mateo Pellegrino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+700

Shots

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

---

Rolando Mandragora To Score +310

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) can be backed to be on the scoresheet at +310. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Rolando Mandragora Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+800

Shots

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Fiorentina Under 5.5 Corners -152

In their past three games, Fiorentina have not covered the 5.5 corners line, while the previous five Parma matches have involved them conceding under 5.5 corners. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -152 that Fiorentina come up short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fiorentina

Total

9.30 4.70 4.60

Home

10.10 6.20 3.90

Away

9.00 3.50 5.50

Parma

Total

8.90 5.10 3.80

Home

9.00 5.00 4.00

Away

8.40 3.30 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-130

Fiorentina Corners

Over 5.5

-104

Under 5.5

-137

Parma Corners

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-111

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+650

2

+195

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Fiorentina vs Parma Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookmakers affording them a 58% chance of winning, Fiorentina might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -141 when it comes to this Serie A encounter. The market suggests that Parma are least likely to win at +400.

There’s -108 when it comes to Fiorentina -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Parma lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.

Under and Over 2.5 Goals backers are able to get similar odds on the Total Goals market. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -133.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Serie A match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

-141

X

+260

2

+400

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+128

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-357

X2

+105

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+235

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-108

Over 2.5

-120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-100

Favourite Moise Kean is available at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+120

Anytime

+330

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+200

Anytime

+480

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Matija Frigan (Parma)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Jack Harrison (Fiorentina)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Giovanni Fabbian (Fiorentina)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Fabiano Parisi (Fiorentina)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Parma)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Adrian Bernabe (Parma)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Gabriel Strefezza "Espeto" (Parma)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Sascha Britschgi (Parma)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Domilson Cordeiro Dos Santos (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Luca Ranieri (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Pietro Comuzzo (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Marin Pongracic (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Strefezza "Espeto" (Parma)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Giovanni Fabbian (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Jack Harrison (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Parma)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Adrian Bernabe (Parma)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Sascha Britschgi (Parma)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Domilson Cordeiro Dos Santos (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Luca Ranieri (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Fiorentina have recorded four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Parma have racked up five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Fiorentina drew 0-0 with Parma when the sides last met at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The past 3 H2H meetings at Stadio Artemio Franchi have seen the match end in a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Fiorentina Home Stats		4-2-4	2.70	1.40	1.30	6	4	6	4
Parma Away Stats		5-3-2	1.80	0.90	0.90	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Fiorentina vs Parma Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Fiorentina vs Parma team news. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups and injury news right here.

Fiorentina Team Page Parma Team Page

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