Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Sep 2026

Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -139

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There’s lots of value when it comes to betting the -139 about Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market. Flamengo and IDV have the potential to score three or more and we’re expecting a return.

Scroll down to view our Flamengo vs IDV betting preview, where we break down our main match prediction in full, followed by our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle Preview

Brazilian Série A giants Flamengo host runaway Ecuadorian LigaPro leaders Independiente del Valle in the second leg of this Copa Libertadores quarter-final tie at Estádio do Maracanã, with kick-off set for 21:30 on Thursday 17 September.

Série A leaders Flamengo recorded a 2-1 home victory over Corinthians on Sunday. Leonardo Jardim's side enjoyed 64% possession and registered ten shots on target, with Lucas Paqueta and Bruno Henrique finding the net.

Independiente del Valle recorded a 3-2 victory away to Libertad in LigaPro on Monday, with Matias Perello, Yandri Vasquez and Steven Gongora all finding the net.

H2H: Flamengo Hold 2-0 Advantage After First Leg

Flamengo claimed a 2-0 away victory at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa in Quito a week ago. IDV enjoyed 62% possession and edged the shots on target 4-3, while Bruno Henrique and Leo Pereira found the net for the Brazilians.

In the past 3 head-to-head meetings, we have seen two Flamengo wins and one IDV victory.

Copa Libertadores		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Flamengo	6	5	1	0	14	2	12	14:2	16
1	IDV	6	4	1	1	11	6	5	11:6	13

View Full Table

Confirmed Lineups

Flamengo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Agustin Rossi (GK), Emerson Royal, Leo Ortiz, Leo Pereira, Ayrton Lucas, Erick Pulgar, Jorginho, Jorge Carrascal, Lucas Paqueta, Samuel Dias Lino, Bruno Henrique.

Independiente del Valle confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Aldair Quintana (GK), Daykol Romero, Mateo Carabajal, Richard Schunke, Layan Loor, Jordy Alcivar, Matias Perello, Hugo Quintana, Junior Sornoza, Emerson Pata, Djorkaeff Reasco.

Main Match Prediction

We’ve found a strong betting angle for this Copa Libertadores quarter-final and you can bet Over 2.5 Goals at odds of -139. We think that there will be at least three goals and the odds make plenty of appeal.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Copa Libertadores matches):

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Flamengo games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Flamengo games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 IDV games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 IDV games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 IDV games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 2 of the last 3 games between these teams.

Our job is to consult the latest Copa Libertadores team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 58.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 65-70% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Bettors looking for bigger odds can place a Result & Total Goals bet that includes Over 2.5 Goals. You require at least three goals to be scored along with predicting the team that wins.

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Over 2.5 Goals @ -139 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 16, 03:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Flamengo 3 - 0 IDV

Flamengo are available at +650 to win by a 3-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aron David Rodríguez Over 0.5 Shots On Target +135

Aron David Rodríguez (IDV) can be backed at +135 to record at least one shot on goal. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.

Latest Aron David Rodríguez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+575

First

+1600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

---

Samuel Lino to Score +180

Samuel Lino (Flamengo) has registered three goals in his past five games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +180.

Latest Samuel Lino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+175

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bettors might not get rich backing Flamengo at -312 to triumph in this Copa Libertadores clash although these odds suggest a 76% probability that the favourites end up triumphing. If you’re interested in wagering Independiente del Valle, you can get +800 for the underdog.

Flamengo -1.5 will pay out on the Asian Handicap if they beat IDV by two goals or more. This wager is available at -108 and this is a bigger price than if you backed them on the 1x2 market.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -143.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Copa Libertadores matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

-312

X

+420

2

+800

Half-Time Result

1

-141

X

+148

2

+600

Double Chance

1X

-2000

12

-667

X2

+225

Draw No Bet

1

-1250

2

+500

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-108

2 Hcp +1.5

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+117

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-143

Pedro Guilherme is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +300. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Pedro Guilherme (Flamengo)

First

+300

Anytime

+102

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

First

+430

Anytime

+155

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

First

+460

Anytime

+170

Jorge Carrascal (Flamengo)

First

+475

Anytime

+175

Samuel Lino (Flamengo)

First

+480

Anytime

+175

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

First

+600

Anytime

+220

Lucas Paquetá (Flamengo)

First

+700

Anytime

+250

Anthony Valencia (Flamengo)

First

+700

Anytime

+250

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

First

+750

Anytime

+280

Nicolás de la Cruz (Flamengo)

First

+850

Anytime

+320

Lorran Lucas Pereira de Sousa (Flamengo)

First

+1050

Anytime

+370

Carlos González (IDV)

First

+1000

Anytime

+380

Jorginho (Flamengo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+410

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

First

+1300

Anytime

+480

Saúl Ñíguez (Flamengo)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Ayrton Lucas Dantas de Medeiros (Flamengo)

First

+1500

Anytime

+550

Matias Perello (IDV)

First

+1500

Anytime

+575

Aron David Rodríguez (IDV)

First

+1600

Anytime

+575

Emerson Iván Pata (IDV)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Emerson Royal (Flamengo)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Danilo Luiz da Silva (Flamengo)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Leonardo Pereira (Flamengo)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Leonardo Ortiz (Flamengo)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Erick Pulgar (Flamengo)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Vitor Silva Vitão (Flamengo)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Alex Sandro (Flamengo)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Guillermo Varela (Flamengo)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Hugo Quintana (IDV)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Ronald Briones (IDV)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Samuel Lino (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Paquetá (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Jorge Carrascal (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Carlos González (IDV)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Anthony Valencia (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Guilherme (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Emerson Iván Pata (IDV)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás de la Cruz (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Matias Perello (IDV)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Aron David Rodríguez (IDV)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Lorran Lucas Pereira de Sousa (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Hugo Quintana (IDV)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Jorginho (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Ronald Briones (IDV)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Saúl Ñíguez (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Ayrton Lucas Dantas de Medeiros (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Emerson Royal (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Leonardo Pereira (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Leonardo Ortiz (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Danilo Luiz da Silva (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Erick Pulgar (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Silva Vitão (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Guillermo Varela (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Alex Sandro (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Guilherme (Flamengo)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-

Samuel Lino (Flamengo)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Carlos González (IDV)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Jorge Carrascal (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-208

Under 1.5

-

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-217

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Paquetá (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-345

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Valencia (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás de la Cruz (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Lorran Lucas Pereira de Sousa (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Matias Perello (IDV)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Aron David Rodríguez (IDV)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Emerson Iván Pata (IDV)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Jorginho (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Saúl Ñíguez (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Ayrton Lucas Dantas de Medeiros (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Emerson Royal (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Danilo Luiz da Silva (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Leonardo Pereira (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Leonardo Ortiz (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Erick Pulgar (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Silva Vitão (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Alex Sandro (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Guillermo Varela (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Hugo Quintana (IDV)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Ronald Briones (IDV)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Libertadores and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Flamengo Stats

Independiente del Valle Stats

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches

Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Flamengo vs IDV team news before placing your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Copa Libertadores lineups along with the latest injury developments.

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