France vs Senegal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Jun 2026
FIFA World Cup Betting Preview: France vs Senegal
France square off against Senegal in this FIFA World Cup Group I encounter at New York/New Jersey Stadium (MetLife Stadium), with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 16 June.
Norway and Iraq join France and Senegal in Group I. The bookmakers have France as clear favourites to top the group, while Norway and Senegal are expected to battle for the runners-up spot. Iraq are viewed as the outsiders and the least likely team to progress.
Senegal +1.25 means our stake is split equally between +1 and +1.5 on the Asian Handicap market. At odds of -122, we think this represents excellent value against France.
We expect a competitive contest when these two talented teams meet in New Jersey. France boast world-class stars such as Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, but Senegal have been one of the most consistent sides in international football, winning 10 of their last 11 competitive matches (on the pitch).
The Lions of Teranga thought they had won the Africa Cup of Nations in January before the title was controversially taken away from them. That experience should only strengthen their resolve and with plenty of quality throughout the squad, we expect Senegal to keep this game close. Given their recent form and the added motivation of facing their former colonial rulers, +1.25 looks a generous handicap.
France qualified for the World Cup by topping their group, finishing six points clear of Ukraine. The 2018 world champions and 2022 runners-up signed off their qualifying campaign with a 3-1 victory over Azerbaijan at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
Les Bleus dominated possession with 74% of the ball and recorded four shots on target, while Jean-Philippe Mateta, Maghnes Akliouche and an own goal from Shahrudin Mahammadaliyev sealed the win.
France have played four friendly matches in 2026, beating Brazil 2-1 and Colombia 3-1 in March. They then concluded their World Cup preparations with a 2-1 defeat to Ivory Coast before bouncing back with a 3-1 victory over Northern Ireland.
Senegal qualified for the World Cup by finishing top of CAF Qualifying Group B without losing a match. Pape Thiaw's side recorded seven wins and three draws from their 10 qualifiers, ending the campaign two points clear of DR Congo.
Senegal's most recent competitive match was the controversial Africa Cup of Nations final in January. Senegal won 1-0 after extra time on the pitch, but CAF later overturned the result and awarded hosts Morocco a 3-0 victory, stripping Senegal of the title.
The Lions of Teranga have played four friendly matches since the Africa Cup of Nations final, beating Peru 2-0 and Gambia 3-1 in March. Since arriving in the United States, Senegal have suffered a 3-2 defeat to the USA before playing out a goalless draw against Saudi Arabia.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The only previous meeting between the teams came at the 2002 World Cup, when Senegal stunned France 1-0 in the group stage thanks to a winner from Papa Bouba Diop.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Senegal |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
France have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.9 goals from 7.5 shots on goal and 21.3 attempts. Didier Deschamps' men have averaged 62.7% possession, 631.3 passes and 7.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.5 goals from 2.5 shots on goal, 6.8 attempts and 2.3 corners.
Top goalscorer is Kylian Mbappe on 7 goals, while Michael Olise has bagged 4 and Jean-Philippe Mateta 2. Leading assistor is Kylian Mbappe with 5, while goalkeeper Mike Maignan has 4 clean sheets.
Senegal have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.7 goals from 15.6 attempts and 7.7 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 61.3% possession, 508.3 passes, 6.4 corners in their favour and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 7.7 attempts and 2.3 shots on goal.
Pape Gueye has top scored with 3, while Sadio Mane, Cherif Ndiaye and Nicolas Jackson are next on 2. Sadio Mane is the top assists provider in the last 7 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
France confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Jules Kounde, Dayot Upamecano, William Saliba, Theo Hernandez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Adrien Rabiot, Michael Olise, Ousmane Dembele, Desire Doue, Kylian Mbappe.
Senegal confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Edouard Mendy (GK), Krepin Diatta, Kalidou Koulibaly, Moussa Niakhate, Malick Diouf, Lamine Camara, Idrissa Gana Gueye, Pape Gueye, Ismaila Sarr, Nicolas Jackson, Sadio Mane.
France vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips
We bring you the complete France vs Senegal betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’re sweet on the chances of Senegal for this Group I game, especially as you can back them at an attractive +1.25 line at odds of -122. Taking this Asian Handicap pick looks to be the way forward.
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest World Cup team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
Key France vs Senegal stats:
The top betting apps make it a 54.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
There are options to buy and sell goals and effectively choose the Asian Handicap line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.
Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses out there.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Senegal
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +650 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Kylian Mbappé (France) can be backed at -123 to cover the shots on goal line. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.
Cherif Ndiaye (Senegal) has managed three goals in his past seven matches. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +500.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a same-game multi and our picks are Senegal with an Asian Handicap of +1.25, two or less goals to be registered along with Kylian Mbappé (France) to manage over 1.5 shots on target.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
France vs Senegal Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The France betting odds are -213 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this World Cup encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 68% chance of winning. The market suggests that Senegal are least likely to win at +600.
France can be backed at -106 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Senegal can be chanced at +525 and the draw is +145.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -122 and No at -114.
The top football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest World Cup matches. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
France Stats
Senegal Stats
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 2.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded and 1.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.43 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 7 matches
- An average of 5.67 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 3 away matches
- An average of 10.43 corners awarded in the last 7 matches
- An average of 8.67 corners awarded in the last 3 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 1 of the last 7 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 0 of the last 3 away matches
- An average of 62.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 61.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
France vs Senegal Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for France vs Senegal before making your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the World Cup and the newest injury information.
France Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Senegal Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
France Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Senegal Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
France Substitutes
- 1Brice Samba
- 2Malo Gusto
- 3Lucas Digne
- 6Manu Kone
- 9Marcus Thuram
- 12Bradley Barcola
- 13N'Golo Kante
- 15Ibrahima Konate
- 18Warren Zaire-Emery
- 21Lucas Hernandez
- 22Jean-Philippe Mateta
- 23Robin Risser
- 24Rayan Cherki
- 25Maghnes Akliouche
- 26Maxence Lacroix
Senegal Substitutes
- 1Yehvann Diouf
- 2Mamadou Sarr
- 4Abdoulaye Seck
- 6Pathe Ciss
- 7Assane Diao
- 9Bamba Dieng
- 12Cherif Ndiaye
- 13Iliman Ndiaye
- 14Ismail Jakobs
- 17Pape Sarr
- 20Ibrahim Mbaye
- 21Habib Diarra
- 22Bara Ndiaye
- 23Mory Diaw
- 24Antoine Mendy
Previous France Lineups
Previous Senegal Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
France Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Didier Deschamps
Senegal Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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