Freiburg vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 May 2026

Europa League Final Betting Preview: Freiburg vs Aston Villa

Freiburg face Aston Villa in the Europa League final at Tupras Stadyumu in Istanbul, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 20 May.

We are backing Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market at +102, with Freiburg and Aston Villa set to play out a high-scoring contest. The latest stats, xG data and the way both teams set up all point towards goals, making the odds attractive for at least three to be scored.

Freiburg were victorious when they last played, landing a 4-1 Bundesliga home success against RB Leipzig at Europa-Park Stadion. Julian Schuster's side had 42% of possession and five shots on target, with Jan-Niklas Beste, Igor Matanovic, Matthias Ginter and Derry Scherhant scoring one goal apiece.

Aston Villa won their previous game which was at home. It was a 4-2 Premier League triumph at Villa Park against Liverpool. The Birmingham club had 45% possession and managed nine shots on goal, with Ollie Watkins on the scoresheet twice, while Morgan Rogers and John McGinn were both able to net.

In the Europa League semi-finals, Freiburg beat Braga 4-3 on aggregate, while Villa claimed a 4-1 aggregate win against Nottingham Forest.

Europa League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Aston Villa	8	7	0	1	14	6	8	14:6	21
7	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	10	4	6	10:4	17

View Full Table

Freiburg have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. The Baden-Wurttemberg team have averaged 50.1% possession, 409.4 passes and 2.6 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal, 12.4 attempts and 4.3 corners.

Top scorer Igor Matanovic has found the net 4 times, with Matthias Ginter, Jan-Niklas Beste, Lukas Kuebler and Johan Manzambi getting 2 goals each. Vincenzo Grifo is the leading assists maker with 5, while goalie Noah Atubolu has 2 clean sheets.

Villa have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.3 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 51.9% possession, 409.0 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while Unai Emery's team have conceded 1.3 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts.

Ollie Watkins has scored 9, followed by John McGinn, Morgan Rogers and Emiliano Buendia with 3 goals apiece. Lucas Digne, Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers are top assists providers with 3, while Emiliano Martinez has recorded 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Freiburg confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Noah Atubolu (GK), Lukas Kuebler, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Philipp Treu, Maximilian Eggestein, Nicolas Hoefler, Jan-Niklas Beste, Johan Manzambi, Vincenzo Grifo, Igor Matanovic.

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Freiburg vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Freiburg vs Aston Villa betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

We could see the ball hit the net a few times in the Europa League final, so let’s take the +102 when it comes to Over 2.5. We’re confident of a return based on the available information.

Understanding the injured players situation proves useful when assembling football picks. Once we’ve also considered the form guide, we use the latest stats and provide Europa League betting predictions.

Key Freiburg vs Aston Villa Europa League & league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Freiburg games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Freiburg games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Freiburg games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Villa games.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 49.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are a number of bigger-priced alternatives when it comes to backing Over 2.5 Goals, especially for those that have an opinion on the winning team. Check out the Result & Total Goals market.

Tap into great value before you bet. Our guide rounds up today’s best free bets, promo codes and sign-up promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ +102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 19, 12:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Freiburg 1 - 2 Aston Villa

You can secure odds of +700 that the Villans are able to land a 2-1 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Johan Manzambi Over 2.5 Shots +145

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg) has totalled over 2.5 shots in six of his past nine games. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Player Shots line, with betting odds of +145 currently on offer.

Latest Johan Manzambi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1500

Shots

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

---

John McGinn to Score +330

John McGinn (Villa) has netted three goals in his past four games. We’ll throw a dart at +330 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest John McGinn Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+900

Shots

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -130

The past five Freiburg matches average 6.60 corners, with the last ten Aston Villa games averaging 9.20. Let’s go along with this betting trend and back the teams to go under the Total Corners line at a price of -130.

Europa League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Freiburg

Total

6.90 2.60 4.30

Home

7.70 3.60 4.10

Away

8.20 3.50 4.70

Aston Villa

Total

9.20 4.90 4.30

Home

10.10 5.10 5.00

Away

9.30 4.80 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-139

Under 8.5

-103

Freiburg Corners

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-125

Aston Villa Corners

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+108

Most Corners

1

+185

X

+650

2

-179

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Freiburg vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookmakers affording them a 61% chance of winning, Aston Villa might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -156 to win the Europa League final. Freiburg are seen as the most unlikely winner at +460.

If Villa at -0.75 beat Freiburg by one goal, then you get a win with half your stake and the other half refunded. A victory by 2+ goals means a full payout at Asian Handicap odds of -125.

You can land odds which are similar whether you’re betting Over or Under 2.5 Goals. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.

The leading betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Europa League match. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

+460

X

+275

2

-156

Half-Time Result

1

+380

X

+120

2

+135

Double Chance

1X

+123

12

-385

X2

-714

Draw No Bet

1

+280

2

-476

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-100

2 Hcp -0.75

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-120

Over 2.5

-104

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-120

Ollie Watkins can be backed to find the net anytime at -105. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +255.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+255

Anytime

-105

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+190

Igor Matanovic (Freiburg)

First

+650

Anytime

+270

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+310

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+1050

Anytime

+430

Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg)

First

+1150

Anytime

+450

Derry Scherhant (Freiburg)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Jan-Niklas Beste (Freiburg)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+1200

Anytime

+510

Lucas Holer (Freiburg)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Yuito Suzuki (Freiburg)

First

+1400

Anytime

+575

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Lukas Kübler (Freiburg)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Victor Lindelöf (Villa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Maximilian Eggestein (Freiburg)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Pau Torres (Villa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Ezri Konsa (Villa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Nicolas Höfler (Freiburg)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Lamare Bogarde (Villa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Tyrone Mings (Villa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Lucas Digne (Villa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-

Igor Matanovic (Freiburg)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Yuito Suzuki (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Holer (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Jan-Niklas Beste (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Derry Scherhant (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Lukas Kübler (Freiburg)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Maximilian Eggestein (Freiburg)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Höfler (Freiburg)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Freiburg Stats

Aston Villa Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 2.60 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 6.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 53.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Freiburg vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Check the Freiburg vs Villa team news before you place your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Europa League lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

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