Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Seventh-placed Freiburg host third-placed RB Leipzig at Europa-Park Stadion, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 16 May.

We’ll back Freiburg +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Leipzig. A victory delivers a nice payout at -127 although a draw would still mean a return.

Freiburg lost away from home in their last game. Hamburger SV won 3-2 at Volksparkstadion. Julian Schuster's men had three shots on target and 53% possession, with Igor Matanovic grabbing the goals.

RB Leipzig won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph at Red Bull Arena against St. Pauli. The Saxony team racked up five shots on goal and boasted 70% possession, with Xaver Schlager and Willi Orban on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leipzig have not lost any of the past ten games against Freiburg. In their last encounter, hosts Leipzig came out with a 2-0 win at Red Bull Arena. The 10 most recent H2H games have included seven Leipzig victories along with three draws.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	19	66:47	65
7	Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6	51:57	47

View Full Table

Freiburg have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. The Breisgau-Brazilians have averaged 48.9% possession, 416.1 passes and 3.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.9 goals from 5.0 shots on goal, 14.1 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Top scorer is Igor Matanovic on 4 goals, while Johan Manzambi and Lucas Hoeler have both racked up 2. Leading assistor is Vincenzo Grifo with 3, while goalkeeper Noah Atubolu has one clean sheet.

Leipzig have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 6.7 shots on goal, 14.7 attempts and 2.1 goals. Ole Werner's side average 54.4% possession, 488.4 passes, 5.5 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 12.0 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Yan Diomande on 4, followed by Christoph Baumgartner and Romulo Cruz with 3. Christoph Baumgartner, David Raum and Brajan Gruda have all made 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Maarten Vandevoordt has 2 clean sheets.

Confirmed Lineups

Freiburg confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Noah Atubolu (GK), Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Jordy Makengo, Maximilian Eggestein, Nicolas Hoefler, Jan-Niklas Beste, Johan Manzambi, Derry Scherhant, Igor Matanovic.

RB Leipzig confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Benjamin Henrichs, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, Max Finkgrafe, Forzan Assan Ouedraogo, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Brajan Gruda, Conrad Harder, Yan Diomande.

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Freiburg vs RB Leipzig betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Freiburg look a good bet in this Bundesliga clash and we can back them at -127 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Bundesliga data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key Freiburg vs RB Leipzig league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Freiburg in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Freiburg in 15 of their last 19 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Freiburg in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 10 of their last 18 games on the road.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 55.9% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Freiburg Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -127 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 14, 15:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Freiburg 2 - 1 Leipzig

Freiburg are available to back at +850 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Johan Manzambi Over 1.5 Shots -161

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg) has had over 1.5 shots in three straight Bundesliga matches on home soil. We anticipate that these numbers will prove telling and that he will cover the Player Shots line at odds of -161.

Latest Johan Manzambi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+900

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

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Igor Matanovic to Score +180

Igor Matanovic (Freiburg) has managed four goals in his past ten Bundesliga games. It’s worth a play on the +180 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Igor Matanovic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+540

Shots

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -106

There has been four straight Freiburg matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, with an average of 8.50 corners in the last ten Leipzig away games. There are odds of -106 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Freiburg

Total

8.20 3.80 4.40

Home

8.20 4.00 4.20

Away

8.90 3.80 5.10

Leipzig

Total

10.10 5.50 4.60

Home

10.20 5.90 4.30

Away

8.50 4.20 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-115

Freiburg Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-147

Leipzig Corners

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+108

Most Corners

1

+135

X

+650

2

-133

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The draw is available at +265 if you believe that this Bundesliga clash will finish level, with RB Leipzig at +140 and Freiburg chalked up at +163 with the bookmakers to secure a win of their own.

Leipzig can be backed at -130 on the Draw No Bet and you’ll get stakes refunded if the game ends level. Alternatively, Freiburg can be chanced at -109 on the same market.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -263.

The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to Bundesliga matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

+163

X

+265

2

+140

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+148

2

+185

Double Chance

1X

-182

12

-370

X2

-217

Draw No Bet

1

-109

2

-130

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-137

2 Hcp -0.25

+110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+165

Over 2.5

-222

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-263

No

+180

Igor Matanovic is the market leader at +540 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Igor Matanovic (Freiburg)

First

+540

Anytime

+170

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

First

+650

Anytime

+195

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

First

+650

Anytime

+200

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

First

+650

Anytime

+210

Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg)

First

+700

Anytime

+230

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

First

+700

Anytime

+240

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+750

Anytime

+240

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+800

Anytime

+250

Lucas Holer (Freiburg)

First

+800

Anytime

+270

Jan-Niklas Beste (Freiburg)

First

+900

Anytime

+280

Yuito Suzuki (Freiburg)

First

+850

Anytime

+300

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg)

First

+900

Anytime

+300

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+1000

Anytime

+330

Brajan Gruda (Leipzig)

First

+1050

Anytime

+340

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+1300

Anytime

+430

Lukas Kübler (Freiburg)

First

+1400

Anytime

+450

Maximilian Eggestein (Freiburg)

First

+1600

Anytime

+500

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+1600

Anytime

+550

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

First

+1600

Anytime

+550

Nicolas Höfler (Freiburg)

First

+1700

Anytime

+550

Patrick Osterhage (Freiburg)

First

+1700

Anytime

+575

David Raum (Leipzig)

First

+1900

Anytime

+600

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+1900

Anytime

+600

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Max Finkgräfe (Leipzig)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Igor Matanovic (Freiburg)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

Brajan Gruda (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Yuito Suzuki (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Jan-Niklas Beste (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Holer (Freiburg)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Lukas Kübler (Freiburg)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Maximilian Eggestein (Freiburg)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Höfler (Freiburg)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Patrick Osterhage (Freiburg)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

David Raum (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Max Finkgräfe (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Bundesliga matches only
Freiburg have gone unbeaten at Europa-Park Stadion in the last four games. The Breisgau-Brazilians have collected six wins, two draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Leipzig have managed five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Freiburg and Leipzig played out a 0-0 draw when the teams last met at Europa-Park Stadion. The past 5 H2H matches at Europa-Park Stadion have featured three Leipzig wins and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Freiburg Home Stats		6-2-2	3.40	2.20	1.20	7	3	7	3
RB Leipzig Away Stats		5-2-3	2.80	1.50	1.30	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Lineups & Team News

The latest Freiburg vs Leipzig team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Freiburg Team Page RB Leipzig Team Page

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