Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Freiburg host RB Leipzig at Europa-Park Stadion, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 16 May.

We’ll back Freiburg +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Leipzig. A victory delivers a nice payout at -127 although a draw would still mean a return.

Freiburg lost away from home in their last game. Hamburger SV won 3-2 at Volksparkstadion. Julian Schuster's men had three shots on target and 53% possession, with Igor Matanovic grabbing the goals.

RB Leipzig won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph at Red Bull Arena against St. Pauli. The Saxony team racked up five shots on goal and boasted 70% possession, with Xaver Schlager and Willi Orban on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leipzig have not lost any of the past ten games against Freiburg. In their last encounter, hosts Leipzig came out with a 2-0 win at Red Bull Arena. The 10 most recent H2H games have included seven Leipzig victories along with three draws.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	RB Leipzig	33	20	5	8	65	43	22	65:43	65
7	Freiburg	33	12	8	13	47	56	-9	47:56	44

View Full Table

Freiburg have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. The Breisgau-Brazilians have averaged 48.9% possession, 416.1 passes and 3.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.9 goals from 5.0 shots on goal, 14.1 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Top scorer is Igor Matanovic on 4 goals, while Johan Manzambi and Lucas Hoeler have both racked up 2. Leading assistor is Vincenzo Grifo with 3, while goalkeeper Noah Atubolu has one clean sheet.

Leipzig have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 6.7 shots on goal, 14.7 attempts and 2.1 goals. Ole Werner's side average 54.4% possession, 488.4 passes, 5.5 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 12.0 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Yan Diomande on 4, followed by Christoph Baumgartner and Romulo Cruz with 3. Christoph Baumgartner, David Raum and Brajan Gruda have all made 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Maarten Vandevoordt has 2 clean sheets.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Freiburg predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Noah Atubolu (GK), Lukas Kuebler, Matthias Ginter, Bruno Ogbus, Philipp Treu, Maximilian Eggestein, Johan Manzambi, Jan-Niklas Beste, Lucas Hoeler, Vincenzo Grifo, Igor Matanovic.

RB Leipzig predicted lineup (4-3-3): Maarten Vandevoordt (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Forzan Assan Ouedraogo, Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Brajan Gruda, Romulo Cruz, Yan Diomande.

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Freiburg vs RB Leipzig betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Freiburg look a good bet in this Bundesliga clash and we can back them at -127 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Bundesliga data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key Freiburg vs RB Leipzig league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Freiburg in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Freiburg in 15 of their last 19 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Freiburg in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 10 of their last 18 games on the road.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 55.9% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Freiburg Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -127 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 14, 15:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Freiburg 2 - 1 Leipzig

Freiburg are available to back at +850 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Johan Manzambi to Score +320

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg) has registered two goals in his past five Bundesliga matches on home soil. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +320 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Johan Manzambi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+950

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -106

There has been four straight Freiburg matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, with an average of 8.50 corners in the last ten Leipzig away games. There are odds of -106 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Freiburg

Total

8.20 3.80 4.40

Home

8.20 4.00 4.20

Away

8.90 3.80 5.10

Leipzig

Total

10.10 5.50 4.60

Home

10.20 5.90 4.30

Away

8.50 4.20 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-141

Freiburg Corners

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+110

Leipzig Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-105

Most Corners

1

+140

X

+600

2

-137

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The draw is available at +280 if you believe that this Bundesliga clash will finish level, with RB Leipzig at +132 and Freiburg chalked up at +175 with the bookmakers to secure a win of their own.

Leipzig can be backed at -141 on the Draw No Bet and you’ll get stakes refunded if the game ends level. Alternatively, Freiburg can be chanced at -100 on the same market.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -263.

The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to Bundesliga matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

+175

X

+280

2

+132

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+150

2

+175

Double Chance

1X

-172

12

-385

X2

-233

Draw No Bet

1

-100

2

-141

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-127

2 Hcp -0.25

+104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+170

Over 2.5

-227

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-263

No

+185

Igor Matanovic is the market leader at +575 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Igor Matanovic (Freiburg)

First

+180

Anytime

+575

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

First

+195

Anytime

+600

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

First

+200

Anytime

+600

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

First

+205

Anytime

+650

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+220

Anytime

+700

Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg)

First

+230

Anytime

+750

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+250

Anytime

+800

Lucas Holer (Freiburg)

First

+270

Anytime

+900

Jan-Niklas Beste (Freiburg)

First

+280

Anytime

+900

Yuito Suzuki (Freiburg)

First

+300

Anytime

+900

Johan Manzambi (Freiburg)

First

+320

Anytime

+950

Brajan Gruda (Leipzig)

First

+330

Anytime

+1000

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+330

Anytime

+1050

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Lukas Kübler (Freiburg)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Maximilian Eggestein (Freiburg)

First

+525

Anytime

+1700

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

First

+525

Anytime

+1700

Nicolas Höfler (Freiburg)

First

+540

Anytime

+1600

Patrick Osterhage (Freiburg)

First

+550

Anytime

+1700

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+575

Anytime

+1900

David Raum (Leipzig)

First

+575

Anytime

+2000

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Max Finkgräfe (Leipzig)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Freiburg have gone unbeaten at Europa-Park Stadion in the last four games. Julian Schuster's men have collected six wins, two draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Leipzig have managed five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Freiburg and Leipzig played out a 0-0 draw when the teams last met at Europa-Park Stadion. The past 5 H2H matches at Europa-Park Stadion have featured three Leipzig wins and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Freiburg Home Stats		6-2-2	3.40	2.20	1.20	7	3	7	3
RB Leipzig Away Stats		5-2-3	2.80	1.50	1.30	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Lineups & Team News

The latest Freiburg vs Leipzig team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Freiburg Team Page RB Leipzig Team Page

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