Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Genoa vs AC Milan

Genoa go head-to-head with AC Milan at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, with kick-off set for 06:30 on Sunday 17 May.

Genoa +0.75 at -114 look like the best bet against Milan. We feel confident with this Asian Handicap prediction which means a split stake between +0.5 and +1.0, with a return expected.

Genoa faced Fiorentina away when last in action. It was a 0-0 draw at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Daniele De Rossi's team had 43% of possession and three shots on target.

AC Milan have now been defeated in back-to-back league games. This includes losing at home to Atalanta by a 3-2 scoreline. I Rossoneri enjoyed 57% possession and recorded nine shots on goal, while Strahinja Pavlovic and Christopher Nkunku were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Milan haven’t lost to Genoa in their past ten matches, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at San Siro. The 10 most recent H2H games have included six Milan victories along with four draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	AC Milan	36	19	10	7	50	32	18	50:32	67
14	Genoa	36	10	11	15	40	48	-8	40:48	41

View Full Table

Genoa have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Il Grifone have averaged 47.9% possession, 386.3 passes and 3.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Vitinha has found the net 2 times, with Lorenzo Colombo, Jeff Ekhator, Caleb Ekuban and Ruslan Malinovsky scoring 1 each. Tommaso Baldanzi is the leading assists maker with 2, while goalie Justin Bijlow has 3 clean sheets.

Milan have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 3.2 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 0.9 goals. Massimiliano Allegri's men average 52.4% possession, 483.2 passes, 3.5 corners taken and 3.9 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 11.7 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Strahinja Pavlovic got 3 goals, Adrien Rabiot notched 2, while Christopher Nkunku and two other players scored 1. Samuele Ricci, Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Mike Maignan has 4 clean sheets.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Genoa predicted lineup (3-4-3): Justin Bijlow (GK), Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Oestigard, Nils Zaetterstroem, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Amorim, Morten Frendrup, Aaron Martin Caricol, Jeff Ekhator, Lorenzo Colombo, Vitinha.

AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Koni De Winter, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Youssouf Fofana, Ardon Jashari, Samuele Ricci, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Santiago Gimenez, Christopher Nkunku.

Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Genoa vs AC Milan preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to corners advice, player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Genoa should prove to be competitive in this Serie A game. With this in mind, we’ll back the home team at odds of -114 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 feeling confident that they’ll land a return.

The football betting tips stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each side. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent Serie A stats which can also act as a guide.

Key Genoa vs AC Milan league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Genoa in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Genoa in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Genoa in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 3 consecutive games.

According to the odds, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

The Winning Margin market allows you to bet on Genoa to record victory by a certain number of goals. It’s a different wager and a viable alternative to Asian Handicap.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Genoa Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 15, 12:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Genoa 1 - 1 Milan

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +575. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Vitinha Over 1.5 Shots -159

Vitinha (Genoa) has recorded over 1.5 shots in his past two Serie A matches. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of -159.

Latest Vitinha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1100

Shots

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

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Adrien Rabiot to Score +380

Adrien Rabiot (Milan) has racked up four goals in his past nine Serie A away games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +380.

Latest Adrien Rabiot Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+950

Shots

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -152

Each of the previous nine Genoa matches have featured under 9.5 corners. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too high, go for odds of -152 that the teams go under.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Genoa

Total

8.30 3.60 4.70

Home

7.80 3.70 4.10

Away

10.10 3.70 6.40

Milan

Total

7.40 3.50 3.90

Home

8.20 5.00 3.20

Away

8.40 3.60 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+107

Under 9.5

-152

Genoa Corners

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+112

Milan Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-114

Most Corners

1

+130

X

+600

2

-125

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Genoa vs AC Milan Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The AC Milan betting odds are -141 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Serie A encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 58% chance of winning. At +370, Genoa are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

Milan can be backed at +132 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Genoa can be chanced at +380 and the draw is +123.

The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. On the Both Teams to Score market, there isn’t much between the BTTS Yes and No options in terms of price.

If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Serie A match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+370

X

+265

2

-141

Half-Time Result

1

+380

X

+123

2

+132

Double Chance

1X

+108

12

-385

X2

-556

Draw No Bet

1

+230

2

-370

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-114

2 Hcp -0.75

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-116

Over 2.5

-111

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-109

There is +170 available that Rafael Leão finds the net at any stage. He is available at +440 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+170

Anytime

+440

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+180

Anytime

+480

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Jeff Ekhator (Genoa)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Vitinha (Genoa)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Junior Messias (Genoa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Tommaso Baldanzi (Genoa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Zachary Athekame (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Koni De Winter (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Jeff Ekhator (Genoa)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Vitinha (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Tommaso Baldanzi (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Genoa have managed five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Milan have racked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

When the sides last met at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Milan beat Genoa 2-1. The past 6 H2H games at Stadio Luigi Ferraris have included five Milan wins along with a single draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Genoa Home Stats		5-1-4	2.90	1.60	1.30	6	4	5	5
AC Milan Away Stats		5-2-3	2.10	1.30	0.80	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Genoa vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Genoa vs Milan team news before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Genoa Team Page AC Milan Team Page

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