Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Nov 2026

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Grêmio Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -161

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Grêmio +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Atlético Mineiro the desired outcome at betting odds of -161.

Read our in-depth Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Preview

Série A sides Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro battle it out, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Sunday 1 November.

Grêmio were victorious last time out. They secured a 2-0 Série A win at home to Athletico Paranaense. Renato Gaucho's men ended up with just 30% possession and had five shots on target, while Marlon and Fabian Balbuena each scored one goal.

Atlético Mineiro lost when they last played, being beaten 1-0 at home to Cruzeiro in Série A. Galo enjoyed 56% possession and recorded two shots on goal.

In their most recent Copa do Brasil engagements, Grêmio beat Internacional 3-1 at home, while Atlético won 2-1 when hosting Cruzeiro.

H2H: Atlético Overcame Grêmio in Previous Clash

Atlético achieved a 3-0 Série A triumph at home when they last played Grêmio. The previous 10 H2H matches have involved each team landing five victories.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Atlético MG	33	14	8	11	44	39	5	44:39	50
15	Grêmio	33	9	10	14	37	44	-7	37:44	37

View Full Table

Grêmio have 2 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. The Immortal Tricolor have averaged 47.7% possession and 4.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.3 goals from 6.0 shots on goal, 17.0 attempts and 6.3 corners.

Marlon is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 1 goals. Francis Amuzu, Wallace and Tete are the leading assists makers with 1.

Atlético have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 14.4 attempts and 1.3 goals. Eduardo Dominguez's team average 49.6% possession, 5.7 corners taken and 7.0 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 17.7 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

Bernard has scored 3 goals, followed by Renan Lodi, Igor Gomes, Vitor Hugo and Thiago Borbas on 1. Angelo Preciado, Victor Hugo and Natanael have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 9 games.

Main Match Prediction

We’ll back Grêmio +0.25 for this Copa do Brasil game, with odds of -161 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league and Copa do Brasil matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 15 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Copa do Brasil team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 61.7% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 70% based on our in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you’re looking to move the line, then you have a dual option of either buying or selling goals. It’s a case of assuming a position based on your view and attitude to risk.

Check out the most rewarding betting offers in our in-depth guide before your next wager. The best bonuses and free bets await.

Grêmio Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -161 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 30, 23:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 1 - 0 Atlético

An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Grêmio at odds of +600. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Thiago Borbas Over 0.5 Shots On Target -156

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG) can be wagered to record at least one shot on goal at -156. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.

Latest Thiago Borbas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

---

Cristian Pavón To Score +280

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio) can be backed to score at +280. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Cristian Pavón Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The draw is currently trading at +215 if you think this Copa do Brasil clash will end all square, while Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro both have exactly the same betting odds of +160 as things stand.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Atlético at -120 and Grêmio at -119.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Copa do Brasil coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the football bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+160

X

+215

2

+160

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

-102

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-303

X2

-217

Draw No Bet

1

-119

2

-120

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-161

2 Hcp -0.25

+123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-159

Over 2.5

+120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-123

Carlos Vinícius can be backed to find the net anytime at +210, with +440 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+440

Anytime

+210

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+250

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+280

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

First

+650

Anytime

+290

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+290

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+320

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+340

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+370

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+400

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+430

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+430

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+440

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+450

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+475

Fred (Atlético MG)

First

+1100

Anytime

+500

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

First

+1300

Anytime

+600

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+1400

Anytime

+700

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

First

+2000

Anytime

+1000

Kauã Pascini (Atlético MG)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Fred (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Kauã Pascini (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 3.5

-179

Under 3.5

-

Thiago Borbas (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

-

Mateo Cassierra (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-208

Under 1.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-227

Under 1.5

-

Alan Minda (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Dudu (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Fred (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Filip Krovinovic (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Maycon Barberan (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Tomas Perez (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Renan Lodi (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Kauã Pascini (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa do Brasil and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Grêmio Stats

Atlético Mineiro Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.78 corners awarded and 6.33 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 5.75 corners awarded and 6.13 corners against in the last 8 home matches
• An average of 11.11 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 11.88 corners awarded in the last 8 home matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 4 of the last 8 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.67 corners awarded and 7.00 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 2.63 corners awarded and 8.38 corners against in the last 8 away matches
• An average of 12.67 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 8 away matches

Possession

• An average of 47.67% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 46.00% possession in the last 8 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 8 home matches

Possession

• An average of 49.56% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 43.00% possession in the last 8 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 8 away matches

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