Grêmio vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Aug 2026
Grêmio vs São Paulo Predictions
Grêmio are available at odds of -152 and that can be taken with confidence when it comes to Asian Handicap 0.0 against São Paulo. We will get our stake returned if the game ends in a draw.
Read our in-depth Grêmio vs São Paulo betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Grêmio vs São Paulo Preview
Grêmio meet São Paulo, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 8 August.
Grêmio played Fluminense at home in their last Série A game. It was a 1-1 draw. The Porto Alegre club had 51% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Diego Caito scoring the goal.
Three days ago, Grêmio won 1-0 when hosting Mirassol in the Copa do Brasil.
São Paulo drew 1-1 in their previous game. This took place on their travels against Flamengo. Dorival Junior's side recorded one shot on goal and had 47% possession, with Jonathan Calleri finding the net.
São Paulo 2-0 Win in Previous H2H Encounter
It was São Paulo who triumphed when they last faced Grêmio, a 2-0 home victory was recorded. The past 10 H2H meetings have seen São Paulo land six wins and Grêmio register four victories.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | São Paulo |
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 17 | Grêmio |
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22:26 | 22 |
Grêmio have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts. Luis Castro's team have averaged 47.5% possession and 3.9 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.2 goals from 4.9 shots on goal, 14.3 attempts and 5.4 corners.
Top goalscorer Carlos Vinicius has found the net 3 times, Gabriel Mec 2, with Diego Caito and two other players on 1. Cristian Pavon is the top assists maker with 3.
São Paulo have 1 victory, 6 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 10.7 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. Tricolor Paulista average 52.0% possession, 7.0 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against them, while conceding 1.6 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.
Luciano Neves is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Artur Guimaraes on 2, with Jonathan Calleri and two others bagging 1. Wendell has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Diego Caito, Gustavo Martins, Wallace, Marlon, Erick Noriega, Juan Ignacio Nardoni, Cristian Pavón, Mathías Villasanti, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius.
São Paulo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Lucas Ramon, Robert Arboleda, Luis Osorio, Wendell, Damián Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Artur, Marcos Antônio, Luciano, Jonathan Calleri.
Main Match Prediction
Grêmio look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap 0.0. This Série A bet stands out at -152, with our selection expected to perform well in this game based on the available stats.
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Série A team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 60.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Those wanting an alternative to Asian Handicap can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Grêmio and their performance.
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Correct Score Prediction
A 1-0 win in favor of Grêmio is available at odds of +575. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio) can be backed at +120 to cover the shots on goal total. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.
Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio) is available to find the net at +900. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
All of the past three Grêmio home games have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 11.70 corners in the last ten São Paulo matches. The stats suggest that it’s worth backing Over for Total Corners, with -128 available.
Grêmio
São Paulo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a same-game multi, then we’ve got Grêmio with an Asian Handicap of 0.0, less than three goals in total accompanied by over 9.5 corners to be awarded.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Grêmio vs São Paulo Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have betting odds of +138 for Grêmio to win this Série A clash, while you could instead opt for São Paulo at +195, with the draw being the third Full-Time Result option at +215.
If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Grêmio are +190 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, São Paulo are +255 and the draw is priced at +112.
A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -141.
The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Série A match before making a decision.
There is +150 available that Carlos Vinícius finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +380.
- Série A: 12/02 2026 São Paulo 2 Grêmio 0
- Série A: 17/10 2025 Grêmio 2 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 18/05 2025 São Paulo 2 Grêmio 1
- Série A: 01/12 2024 Grêmio 2 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 18/07 2024 São Paulo 1 Grêmio 0
- Série A: 21/10 2023 São Paulo 3 Grêmio 0
- Série A: 04/06 2023 Grêmio 2 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 03/12 2021 Grêmio 3 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 15/08 2021 São Paulo 2 Grêmio 1
- Série A: 15/02 2021 Grêmio 1 São Paulo 2
Grêmio League Stats
São Paulo League Stats
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Grêmio this season are Carlos Vinicius (10), Gabriel Mec (2), Tete (2)
- Top Assistors for Grêmio this season are Cristian Pavon (3), Francis Amuzu (3), Gustavo Martins (2)
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Grêmio vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Grêmio vs São Paulo, check the team news first. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.
Grêmio Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Grêmio Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Grêmio Lineups
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Grêmio Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Luis Castro
São Paulo Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 47 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 39 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 37 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 34 |
| 5 | Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 32 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 8 | Botafogo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 29 |
| 10 | Atlético MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 28 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | 27 |
| 12 | São Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitória | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | 26 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | 23 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | 22 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 19 | Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletico PR | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 23 |
| 4 | Vitória | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 5 | Flamengo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Grêmio | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Santos | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 18 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 12 | Bahia | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlético MG | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 16 | Botafogo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 17 | Remo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 18 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 19 | Coritiba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13:24 | 7 |
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