Groningen vs Ajax Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2026
Groningen vs Ajax Predictions
It might be rewarding to back Ajax when they go up against Groningen. There’s plenty of value in the -115 that the visitors get over the line and we’re therefore going to wager on the Full-Time Result market.
Read our in-depth Groningen vs Ajax betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Groningen vs Ajax Preview
Groningen go head-to-head with Ajax at Euroborg Stadion, with kick-off set for 10:45 on Sunday 18 October.
FC Groningen have won two on the spin, triumphing 5-1 in their previous game. This was on the road against Excelsior at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. Dick Lukkien's side enjoyed 51% possession and nine shots on target, with Marco Rente grabbing two of the goals.
Ajax hosted NEC Nijmegen at Johan Cruyff Arena in their previous Eredivisie game, ending in a 1-1 draw. The Sons of God had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 61% possession and five shots on goal, with Tolu Arokodare finding the net.
Three days ago, Ajax were defeated 2-1 when travelling to Hajduk Split in the Europa Conference League.
H2H: 8 Wins for Ajax in Last 10 Head-to-Head Matches
It was a 2-0 win for Ajax at Kras Stadion when they last played Groningen. The past 10 H2H games have involved eight Ajax victories, a single draw and one Groningen win.
| Eredivisie | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Ajax |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20:14 | 14 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. Groningen have had 48.6% possession, 417.3 passes and 4.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.0 corners.
Brynjolfur Andersen Willumsson and Thom van Bergen are the top scorers with 5 goals each, while Tygo Land has 3. David van der Werff is the leading assists maker with 3, while goalie Etienne Vaessen has one clean sheet.
Ajax have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, averaging 22.4 attempts, 7.5 shots on goal and 2.9 goals. Michel's team average 63.4% possession, 605.1 passes, 7.1 corners in their favour and 2.3 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 3.6 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.
The top scorers have been Davy Klaassen on 5, followed by Tolu Arokodare and Julian Brandt with 4. Oscar Gloukh has been the top assist maker on 4, with Marc-Andre ter Stegen and Maarten Paes collectively notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
FC Groningen predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Etienne Vaessen (GK), Jorg Schreuders, Thijmen Blokzijl, Marco Rente, Hans Hateboer, Tika de Jonge, Pelle Clement, David van der Werff, Thom van Bergen, Jacob Ondrejka, Brynjolfur Willumsson.
Ajax predicted lineup (4-3-3): Marc-Andre ter Stegen (GK), Lucas Rosa, Thilo Kehrer, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal, Jorthy Mokio, Sofyan Amrabat, Julian Brandt, Viktor Tsygankov, Tolu Arokodare, Oscar Gloukh.
Main Match Prediction
There’s a realistic prospect that we’ll see Ajax secure a win and they are priced at -115 to triumph in this Eredivisie encounter. We think that the price offers bettors plenty of juice.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the Eredivisie form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.
The best betting apps make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
You can select a different option if you want bigger odds about a victory for Ajax. The Double Result market provides you with an angle to be in front by the interval and full-time.
Give yourself a head start. Explore the latest free bet promotions and bonus offers in our comprehensive guide.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
Ajax
Our prediction for the correct score is Ajax to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +650. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Thom van Bergen (Groningen) has fired over 2.5 shots in four consecutive Eredivisie home games. If you side with our view that he can cover the Player Shots line, then you are able to secure odds of -154 for this outcome.
Tolu Arokodare (Ajax) has found the net in his past two Eredivisie matches. There are odds of +120 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Groningen have had over 4.5 corners in seven straight home matches, while Ajax have had an average of 6.30 corners against them in their previous 10 away games. We think that there’s a strong case for this outcome and we’ll back Groningen to cover the Team Corners line which is available at odds of -119.
Groningen
Ajax
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can provide entertainment and we’ve got Ajax to triumph, at least three goals as well as Thom van Bergen (Groningen) to manage Over 2.5 shots.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Groningen vs Ajax Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 53% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Ajax are favourites to come out on top in this Eredivisie clash and they’re available at -115 with the bookmakers. FC Groningen are the +245 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
If you want to back Ajax to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -118, although Groningen +0.5 is -111 and the latter puts the draw on your side.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -286.
It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Eredivisie match interests you. The recommended football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.
Favourite Tolu Arokodare is available at +420 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
Stats: Last 10 Eredivisie matches only.
Groningen have secured five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Ajax have not tasted an away defeat in seven straight matches. The Sons of God have recorded five victories, four draws and one defeat in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 0.60.
Groningen enjoyed a 3-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Ajax at Euroborg Stadion. The past 7 H2H meetings at Euroborg Stadion have seen each team land three wins and there’s been one draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 3 | |
| Ajax Away Stats |
5-4-1 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 0.60 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Eredivisie: 21/05 2026 Ajax 2 Groningen 0
- Eredivisie: 07/03 2026 Groningen 3 Ajax 1
- Eredivisie: 02/12 2025 Ajax 2 Groningen 0
- Eredivisie: 14/05 2025 Groningen 2 Ajax 2
- Eredivisie: 06/10 2024 Ajax 3 Groningen 1
- Eredivisie: 16/05 2023 Groningen 2 Ajax 3
- Eredivisie: 14/08 2022 Ajax 6 Groningen 1
- Eredivisie: 02/04 2022 Groningen 1 Ajax 3
- Eredivisie: 25/09 2021 Ajax 3 Groningen 0
- Eredivisie: 07/03 2021 Ajax 3 Groningen 1
FC Groningen League Stats
Ajax League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 2.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 6.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 48.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 63.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for FC Groningen this season are Brynjolfur Andersen Willumsson (5), Thom van Bergen (5), David van der Werff (2)
- Top Assistors for FC Groningen this season are David van der Werff (3), Pelle Clement (2), Thom van Bergen (2)
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Groningen vs Ajax Lineups & Team News
The latest Groningen vs Ajax team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Eredivisie lineups and the latest on injuries.
FC Groningen Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Ajax Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
FC Groningen Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Ajax Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous FC Groningen Lineups
Previous Ajax Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
FC Groningen Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Dick Lukkien
Ajax Player Stats & Squad
Eredivisie Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 |
| 2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:10 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20:14 | 14 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Go Ahead E. | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:25 | 8 |
| 14 | Sp. Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 3 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7:23 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 10 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 8 |
| 5 | Go Ahead E. | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 6 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 10 | Utrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 11 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 14 | Sp. Rotterdam | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | 2 |
| 15 | Telstar | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 16 | Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | 1 |
| 17 | Willem II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
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