Hamburger SV vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Sep 2026
Hamburger SV vs Mainz Predictions
The way forward could be to back Hamburger SV with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -135 against Mainz. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.
Read our in-depth Hamburger SV vs Mainz betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Hamburger SV vs Mainz Preview
Hamburger SV meet Mainz at Volksparkstadion, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Sunday 6 September.
Hamburger SV suffered a defeat in their last game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred away from home at Signal Iduna Park against Borussia Dortmund. Merlin Polzin's side had three shots on target and 44% possession.
Mainz 05 hosted Paderborn at MEWA Arena in their previous game, ending in a 0-0 draw. The 05ers had four shots on goal and 52% possession.
1-1 Draw When Teams Last Clashed
The last clash between Mainz and HSV saw the former host a 1-1 draw at MEWA Arena.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Mainz 05 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0:2 | 0 |
2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. HSV have had 42.2% possession, 352.5 passes and 3.1 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.0 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 16.9 attempts, while being awarded 6.9 corners.
Fabio Vieira leads the way with 3 goals, Robert Glatzel has 2, with Bakery Jatta and two others on 1. The top assist makers are Nicolas Capaldo, Albert Groenbaek and William Mikelbrencis, all of whom have 2 on the board.
Mainz have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, averaging 14.4 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The Rhineland-Palatinate team average 44.4% possession, 382.2 passes, 5.6 corners in their favour and 5.0 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 4.2 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts.
Phillip Tietz and Paul Nebel have scored 4 goals, followed by Nadiem Amiri with 2. Sheraldo Becker has clocked up 3 assists, with Daniel Batz and Robin Zentner collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Hamburger SV predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Nicolas Capaldo, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jordan Torunarigha, Bakery Jatta, Albert Sambi Lokonga, Nicolai Remberg, Louis Lemke, Martin Adeline, Albert Groenbaek, Patson Daka.
Mainz predicted lineup (3-3-2-2): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Fabio Gruber, Stefan Posch, Anthony Caci, Kaishu Sano, Phillipp Mwene, Jae-Sung Lee, Nadiem Amiri, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz.
Main Match Prediction
When Hamburger SV line up for this Bundesliga game, we will back them at -135 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Bundesliga team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 57.5% chance of landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Bettors have the flexibility of being able to buy or sell goals depending on whether they want a safer or a riskier wager, with the odds moving according to the line.
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Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Mainz
We’re going for HSV at +700 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has finished with at least one shot on goal in six consecutive Bundesliga games away from home. We are in favour of betting the -118 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Target wager looking like it might yield dividends.
Phillip Tietz (Mainz) has racked up four goals in his past five Bundesliga matches away from home. We’ll throw a dart at +210 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
HSV have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in seven straight games. For Team Corners, we’re expecting HSV to fall short and you can land odds of -137.
Hamburger SV
Mainz
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can provide entertainment and we’ve got Hamburger SV to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, Over 2.5 accompanied by Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) to record a minimum of one shot on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
Hamburger SV vs Mainz Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that Mainz 05 are +140 for a Bundesliga victory, while Hamburger SV are +170. The draw is trading at +250 should you think the game will end all square.
It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Mainz can be backed at -137 or alternatively HSV are on offer at -105.
There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -192.
You can find hundreds of markets for every Bundesliga match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.
Benedict Hollerbach is the market leader at +550 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Stats: Bundesliga matches only
HSV have recorded five draws, three defeats and two victories in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Mainz have gone unbeaten away in the last six games. The 05ers have five wins, three draws and two losses in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
HSV beat Mainz 4-0 when the teams last met at Volksparkstadion.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV Home Stats |
2-5-3 | 2.70 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | |
| Mainz Away Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 1.30 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Hamburger SV League Stats
Mainz League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 6.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 6.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
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Hamburger SV vs Mainz Lineups & Team News
The latest HSV vs Mainz team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Mainz 05 Predicted Lineup 3-3-2-2
Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Mainz 05 Predicted Lineup 3-3-2-2
Previous Hamburger SV Lineups
Previous Mainz Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Hamburger SV Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Merlin Polzin
Mainz Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 11 | Mainz 05 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 | Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 17 | B. M'gladbach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 | Schalke 04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 10 | Mainz 05 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 | Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | B. M'gladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
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